iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

CHART ART: $IBB

For starters, the $IBB has a classic “sentiment look” to it. After climbing the Wall of Worry and staying up in a state of anxiety for a few weeks, we’re now seeing the $IBB in aversion.

2016-05-04_8-49-30

sentiment

Generally speaking, aversion will travel down to test the balance of “discouragement.” On a 5 year profile, the point of control happens to be at $259-$260. Watch this area for the $IBB to stabilize.

I am starting an investment in $CNCR today if this pans out as outlined here.

OA

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99 comments

  1. moneyteam

    My buddy and I were just talking about entering IBB and LABU…. timely post!

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  2. k

    OA, why not just $IBB

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  3. mateo

    Love the art and concise, highly educational content. Thank you.

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  4. thegametheorist
    thegametheorist

    big spread on CNCR. looking at PBYI avg down

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  5. kidstockibc

    Market probing lows, TWTR trading near highs. Odd, no?

    Got a feeling there is a motivated buyer lurking on the sidelines.

    Bidding more FCX under 11.5

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  6. Option Addict

    Long $NQ_F $4299.5, stop 89.5

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  7. chiefton15

    get ready…. no way we end here by the end of day as a big move is coming either way. Loving this conditions for day trading.

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    • k_melancon

      Market is definitely causing significant emotional turmoil in participants.

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  8. zephler

    do you still like $NK?

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  9. joe

    guru thinks 240 for the ‘5th wave low’..then get on board..I’d love to see that broken with positive divergences but the market doesn’t listen to me

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  10. Option Addict

    There’s the $IBB bottom.

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  11. dlrago8

    OA, thoughts on MBLY with upcoming earnings. Autos reported somewhat well. Thanks

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  12. infinitezuul

    It does look a lot like that sentiment chart. Could be a longer term head and shoulders too.

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  13. Noni Kavuri

    OA,

    Would you dump $TNA bought yesterday near the close or hold firm?

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  14. imchrisbrown

    long $sq at 13.55. how do you think they’ll fair through earnings?

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    • Option Addict

      I think they get smoked based on how its been trading

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      • kidstockibc

        TSLA also trading like ass……..got my fingers crossed that Costanza principles apply in both situations

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      • imchrisbrown

        fair enough. I’ve been seeing them everywhere including massive music festivals ringing several million in alc for a weekend.

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        • Option Addict

          I love the idea long term, but someone is selling these recent rallies pretty hard.

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          • kidstockibc

            I find new issues difficult to trade but I love the SQ concept

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          • Jewishmantis

            Square has had its lunch eaten. Was popular for a while and now not a single small business that I work with uses it.

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  15. Bchu12

    Low of the day boys. Get ready

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  16. traderconfessions
    traderconfessions

    With respect to CNCR.. aren’t you concerned about buying such a very thinly traded stock? 90 day average volume is about 12000.

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    • Option Addict

      If I were, don’t you think I’d pass?

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      • traderconfessions
        traderconfessions

        OK your honor, let me rephrase the question. Why aren’t you concerned about investing in such a thinly traded stock?

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        • gapfiller

          I’m seeing a bid/ask spread of between 1 to 5 cents toward the end of the day. I think anyone can deal with 0.2% slippage.

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        • Option Addict

          Hey, no need for attitude here.

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  17. badduck

    Sold my GDXJ puts for +1.30 avg gain.

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    • kidstockibc

      well done…just rang the register on the rest of my JDST position

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  18. lplongo

    Long May LABU 25 for 2.85

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  19. k_melancon

    Traders are definitely engaged on the dark side on this May the Fourth trading session….

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  20. trung

    OA since you thought the pain trade was a gap up today and it did not happen, has your thesis changed in the short term?

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  21. GapFiller

    OA, do you see the Nikkei as — potentially — in the bottom part of aversion right now? (I’ve been Nikkei-obsessed lately.)

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  22. og

    Chanos has it out for Musk.

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  23. kidstockibc

    FIT is unusually quiet ahead of earnings. Usually the call buyers are all over it. Anybody playing?

    TWTR — 15+ this afternoon

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    • btn

      I had bought some TWTR calls a few days back when you had mentioned “someone will buy it at $20”. Basically a hedge for my short tech positions.

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    • k_melancon

      I had picked up some TWTR 15 calls yesterday at a nickel, but only bought a handful….wish I had bought a few handfuls, but am enjoying the pop nonetheless in today’s tape.

      thanks, kidstock!

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    • Jewishmantis

      Kidstock killing it. Good job man

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  24. chiefton15

    this is about to get fun.

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  25. kidstockibc

    Dear Mother Market: Please reject all NQ prices below 4300 and proceed to melt the faces off the bear-shitters that dared to short in the hole today.

    Your humble servant,

    Kidstock

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  26. greenlander1

    Long SPY 204.6

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  27. chiefton15

    long NQ 4300

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  28. Thomas Jefferson
    Thomas Jefferson

    Looking to add to one of 3 long term positions here: $DB, $AMBA, or $FSLR.
    I would like to wait for the mid-$40’s for $FSLR, but who knows if it will get that far from here.
    Any thoughts?

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  29. kidstockibc

    Sold TWTR weekly 15 calls

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  30. chiefton15

    out -2

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  31. Jewishmantis

    Sold BAC weekly puts for 200% profit and bought QQQ calls for .90

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  32. chiefton15

    may miss this one but I don’t like the action for an end of day rally but I will also still be stunned if we close around here

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  33. k_melancon

    I was early on my call for a SCTY drop – down 10% today – brutal

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  34. jalf

    OA,
    What you make of price action of FSLR- ive been long for a few years-not selling or worried just curious your thoughts. i will add around 50. dirt cheap.im in stock only fyi.

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  35. fryguy15

    Just brutal shake outs all day.

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    • Bchu12

      Yup. And earnings misses everywhere after hours. Hideous

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  36. kidstockibc

    Bought back JDST I sold yesterday

    Bears attempting to wrestle control away from the bulls after the reversal in futures overnight / pre-market.

    Operating thesis: Downward bias thru end of June / Brexit. Short breakouts / buy despair. If a stock isn’t moving in my direct — I’m going to be quick to move on.

    Good luck today guys.

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  37. kidstockibc

    Scratched out of TWTR and FCX shares. Not liking the feel of this tape — on the hunt for more short setups.

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    • Noni Kavuri

      You turned bearish that quickly? Two days ago you were a bull.

      I’m long $TNA still, so cautious myself.

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      • kidstockibc

        Two way tape — I want to be more precise with my entries going forward for risk control purposes. Anticipating wider swings and don’t want to be underwater and selling when I should be buying.

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  38. kidstockibc

    Bot DIS May 105 puts

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  39. Greenlander (@greenlander1)

    Added more SPY @ 205.4

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    • badduck

      People are wayyyy to bearish for a 50 es pullback.

      Nikkei gets its footing tonight and rips 1000 points. Markets are up up and away tomorrow and into next week.

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  40. k_melancon

    if you like a NFLX yolo, 92.5s here

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  41. Bchu12

    Vslr has that sune feel to it. Constant investigations. Bk soon???

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  42. kidstockibc

    You guys were right — punted those DIS puts. Grabbed some FB 121 weeklys.

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  43. badduck

    AAII Bulls now 22.3%. 19.2% at Feb low.

    Bears a-fire next week.

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  44. kidstockibc

    Bot TWTR May 15 calls

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  45. fu

    chart art? more like shit art!

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