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Monthly Archives: February 2012

Is Cheap ECB $ Making EU Leaders Reckless ?

“It appeared that the brinkmanship tactics had pushed Greece over the edge on Feb 12 as Athens was set ablaze in protest. Now it appears that the European finance ministers are slipping over the edge. Strong doubts remain, and are being expressed, about whether a second aid package is throwing good money after bad.

Papademos has failed to deliver. As former ECB vice president, he was expected to deliver two things: new austerity and implementation. He has, after much fanfare, agreed to the new austerity demands. The rub, according to the creditor nations, is the commitment.

Domestic considerations are blunting the international priorities. When this seemed to be the case in Italy late last year, Germany’s Merkel reportedly helped push Berlusconi out. However, it seems more difficult to repeat. It seems European officials would prefer to extend Papademos’s term. Samaras has no incentive to agree to postpone elections that he would likely win. Nor can European officials bar Samaras, yet his apparent reservations and desire to modify/renegotiate the agreements cannot but undermine confidence in a government he would lead.

In this environment, creditor nations seem to be making a bet on the LTRO that will provide banks with another large liquidity cushion. It will increase their ability to deal with a shock emanating from Greece, if necessary. Ironically, that may mean that the larger than take down at the Feb 29th LTRO, the more likely European officials will be emboldened vis a vis Greece.

There is plenty of room for policy error. The reasons to fear a Lehman-like event still seem compelling. European officials suggest the problem is the lack of implementation of reform and growth measures in
Greece. No doubt there is an element of truth with that assessment.

The problem is that it is incomplete. Part of the problem is that the program is working. Greek unit labor costs are falling. Demand is evaporating. The contraction is deeper than expected and despite optimistic forecasts of growth as soon as 2013, the risks are all on the downside.

The Troika are in Portugal to review their progress. They will likely praise Portugal’s efforts. However, it may still miss its debt/GDP targets because of the denominator…”

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What To Do With Squatters

“This nightmare took place in Covington, Washington, but it could happen anywhere.

An abandoned home in Crofton Hills suburban development was taken over by squatters. “You’d come home and find them throwing things out of the second-floor window,” neighbor John Wilson told The Seattle Time’s Sanjay Bhatt.

The squatters partied all night and trashed the house and lawn. One of them allegedly threatened to eat Wilson’s dog.

Kicking out the squatters wasn’t easy. The police refused to act because the Crofton Hills Homeowner’s Association had filed a lien against the house’s owner—and no one could get in touch with the owner.”

Full article

what to do ….

[youtube://http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iQU0JRq_mBY&feature=related 450 300]

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EMR

The electromagnetic radiation (EMR) emitted from mobile towers is so powerful that it affects the biological systems of birds, insects, and even humans. The study, released by the environment ministry, called for the protection of flora and fauna by law.

“The review of existing literature shows that the EMRs are interfering with the biological systems in more ways than one and there had already been some warning bells sounded in the case on bees and birds, which probably heralds the seriousness of this issue and indicates the vulnerability of other species as well,” the study found.

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52 Week Highs and Lows

NYSE

 
New Highs 89 

COMPANY                       SYMBOL      HIGH                VOLUME 
-------                       ------      ----                ------ 
ACCO Brands                   ABD         11.92              296,470 
AES                           AES         13.54              523,240 
Aetna                         AET         47.71              563,394 
Alliance Data Sys             ADS         121.58              84,906 
Allied World                  AWH         66.15               34,999 
American Tower REIT           AMT         64.55              276,231 
Ameriprise Finl 7.75% Nts     AMPpA       28.88                7,027 
Ametek                        AME         48.88               61,396 
Applied Indus Tech            AIT         41.75               21,483 
Ares Cap Sr. Nts 2040         ARY         25.96                  665 
AutoZone                      AZO         361.40              19,358 
Axis Cap Hldgs Ser A          AXSpA       25.99                2,813 
Bank of America Dep pfd E     BACpE       19.93                8,880 
CPFL Energia ADS              CPL         31.79               49,866 
Carters                       CRI         43.39               25,001 
Centene                       CNC         50.00              110,643 
China Mobile                  CHL         52.13              552,571 
Chipotle Mexican Grill        CMG         381.87              74,167 
Coach                         COH         76.70              282,215 
Comcast 2% DECS Sprint        CCZ         40.00                  955 
CompanhiaSBEDP                SBS         74.64               98,080 
Energ Gerais-Cemig            CIG         22.36              230,635 
Concho Resources              CXO         113.96             135,257 
Copa Hldgs Cl A               CPA         75.91               35,016 
Cosan Ltd A                   CZZ         14.40               60,813 
Crown Castle Intl             CCI         50.29              299,483 
DWS Hi Incm Opps Fd           DHG         15.58               17,709 
Dick's Sporting Goods         DKS         45.35               90,444 
Discover Fnl Svcs             DFS         29.18              641,307 
Donaldson Co                  DCI         77.78               53,824 
Drew Indus                    DW          29.02                9,136 
Ecopetrol                     EC          53.87               19,086 
First Tr Strat High Fd II     FHY         17.53               29,527 
Flaherty & Crumrine           PFD         16.10               10,948 
Flaherty & Crumrine Pfd       PFO         12.26                6,878 
Foot Locker                   FL          28.36              259,842 
FortuneBrandsHome&Sec         FBHS        19.99              126,815 
Genesco Inc                   GCO         68.15              146,865 
John Hancock Income Secs      JHS         15.85                4,512 
Health Net                    HNT         39.47               82,067 
Hornbeck Offshore             HOS         37.11               49,042 
Hospitality Prop Tr Pfd D     HPTpD       25.24                6,551 
Huaneng Power                 HNP         26.25               22,365 
Hubbell B                     HUB/B       75.87               14,932 
Intl Paper                    IP          33.29              261,272 
Jabil Circuit                 JBL         25.25              197,128 
KapStone Paper & Pkg          KS          19.15               19,802 
LSI Corp                      LSI         8.49               959,287 
LeapFrog Cl A                 LF          7.90               290,991 
LifeTime Fit                  LTM         52.14               48,299 
Limited Brands                LTD         45.95              227,631 
MI Developments               MIM         37.08                8,100 
MSC Indust Direct             MSM         80.50                5,362 
Main Street Capital           MAIN        22.89               22,197 
Men's Wearhouse               MW          38.53               66,652 
Metro Health Ntwks            MDF         8.80                25,890 
Michael Kors Holdings         KORS        44.82            1,007,614 
Molina Hlthcr                 MOH         35.95               98,297 
Movado Group                  MOV         20.41               56,276 
NCR Corp                      NCR         22.09              144,942 
Navigant Consulting           NCI         13.98               28,017 
Nike Inc                      NKE         107.01             196,241 
Nuveen Insured CA Muni 2      NCL         16.65                5,511 
Nuveen NY Div Sers 2015       NANpC       10.23                1,000 
Pall Corp                     PLL         64.55               37,966 
Penske Automotive             PAG         25.00              180,416 
Philip Morris Intl            PM          81.97              568,889 
Pioneer Natural               PXD         112.57             188,248 
Plains All Amer Pipeline      PAA         81.33               68,768 
Polaris Indus                 PII         69.95               50,551 
PulteGroup                    PHM         9.17             2,196,264 
Rex American Resources        REX         29.02               11,716 
Roadrunner Trans Sys          RRTS        18.36               19,986 
Rouse Properties              RSE         14.70               27,090 
Sara Lee Corp                 SLE         20.43              521,080 
Six Flags Entertainment       SIX         49.04              107,567 
Sonic Auto                    SAH         18.11               87,583 
Standard Motor                SMP         24.00               16,928 
SYNNEX                        SNX         39.76               30,342 
Taiwan Semi Mfg               TSM         14.44            1,028,126 
Terra Nitrogen                TNH         231.64              25,332 
Torchmark                     TMK         48.52              123,029 
Transamerica Income           TAI         22.46                1,507 
US Bncp Dep Pfd Perp F        USBpM       26.07               21,304 
UnitedHealth Group            UNH         54.60              670,841 
VF Corp                       VFC         146.63             244,295 
VISA  (Cl A)                  V           116.63             748,834 
WellCare Health Plans         WCG         71.54              813,161 
World Fuel Svcs               INT         47.94               20,009 

New Lows 1 

COMPANY                       SYMBOL      LOW                 VOLUME 
-------                       ------      ----                ------ 
Dynegy                        DYN         1.58                78,057

NASDAQ

New Highs 68 

COMPANY                       SYMBOL      HIGH                VOLUME 
-------                       ------      ----                ------ 
AFC Enterprises               AFCE        17.69               16,041 
Access National               ANCX        10.21                7,325 
Acorn Energy                  ACFN        8.95                56,073 
Apple                         AAPL        518.55           5,519,953 
Arch Capital Grp              ACGL        38.60              172,523 
Aspen Technology              AZPN        21.50               40,829 
Aware                         AWRE        4.10                 1,300 
BSB Bancorp                   BLMT        11.35                  200 
Bob Evans Farms               BOBE        39.71              109,029 
Body Central                  BODY        28.67               21,781 
Bottomline Techs              EPAY        28.70               19,636 
CA Inc                        CA          27.23              294,270 
Carrols Restaurant Group      TAST        12.65               11,149 
Cincinnati Fincl              CINF        34.95               87,413 
Comcast                       CMCSA       29.05            9,163,437 
Comcast A Sp                  CMCSK       28.02            2,344,791 
CONMED                        CNMD        31.93              140,835 
Cybex Intl                    CYBI        1.73               147,440 
Cynosure  (Cl A)              CYNO        17.58               41,508 
Discovery Comm B              DISCB       61.24                  100 
Dollar Tree                   DLTR        88.79               84,009 
EZchip                        EZCH        38.00               42,725 
Fastenal Co                   FAST        51.60              291,377 
Finish Line  (Cl A)           FINL        23.69              257,525 
First Fincl Northwest         FFNW        7.30                 3,120 
Golar LNG Partners LP         GMLP        36.16               10,453 
Halozyme Therapeutics         HALO        11.80               91,136 
Hibbett Sports                HIBB        50.00               18,530 
HomeStreet                    HMST        51.06                1,350 
IRIS Intl                     IRIS        11.00               14,779 
inContact                     SAAS        5.69                35,572 
Innodata Isogen               INOD        5.94                25,914 
Intuitive Surgical            ISRG        515.18              67,998 
iPass                         IPAS        2.16               739,837 
Jive Software                 JIVE        21.09              230,671 
Liberty Global  Cl A          LBTYA       49.50               86,480 
Lincoln Electric Hldgs        LECO        45.93               21,472 
Liquidity Services            LQDT        43.77               40,840 
lululemon athletica           LULU        67.08              503,411 
Mattel Inc                    MAT         32.69              473,184 
Mesa Laboratories             MLAB        50.35                4,437 
Monro Muffler Brake           MNRO        45.94               16,959 
Monster Beverage              MNST        111.18              64,780 
OmniAmerican Bancorp Inc      OABC        17.67                1,048 
On Assignment                 ASGN        13.95               95,565 
Parametric Tech               PMTC        27.75               74,788 
PwrShrs QQQ Tr Series 1       QQQ         63.60           12,652,635 
Procera Networks              PKT         19.19               20,058 
ProShares UltraPro QQQ        TQQQ        99.92              230,867 
SMF Energy                    FUEL        4.22               139,979 
Shire PLC                     SHPGY       108.32             172,209 
Simulations Plus              SLP         3.92                12,056 
Sourcefire                    FIRE        36.97               40,530 
Steven Madden                 SHOO        43.68               67,943 
Synopsys                      SNPS        30.45               78,653 
Tangoe                        TNGO        17.89              161,560 
Taylor Capital Group          TAYC        13.72                9,856 
Taylor Devices                TAYD        10.50               11,860 
Tech Data                     TECD        54.85               17,834 
Thomas Properties             TPGI        4.20                   300 
Tower Bancorp Inc             TOBC        33.23               89,758 
21st Century Hldg             TCHC        3.66                 5,250 
US Home Systems               USHS        11.60               90,116 
Ulta Salon Cosmetics          ULTA        83.49              202,740 
Vanguard Russ 1000 Growth     VONG        65.24                  585 
ViroPharma                    VPHM        31.71               71,843 
Volterra Semiconductor        VLTR        32.25               38,687 
Willis Lease Finance          WLFC        14.79                2,800 

New Lows 8 

COMPANY                       SYMBOL      LOW                 VOLUME 
-------                       ------      ----                ------ 
ESSA Bancorp                  ESSA        9.75                 1,321 
Intrnt Gold-Golden Lines      IGLD        8.85                 2,110 
NCI                           NCIT        6.91                 6,002 
Powerwave Techs               PWAV        1.19               453,187 
ProShr Ul Sh QQQ              SQQQ        13.17              329,483 
Savient Pharmaceuticals       SVNT        2.00               168,584 
Silicon Graphics Intl         SGI         9.10               112,836 
Summer Infant                 SUMR        4.67                 6,061

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Today’s Money Flows

ISSUE GAINERS                 SYMBOL   EXCH   LAST PRICE   MONEY FLOW    RATIO 
                                                          (in millions) 
Apple                          AAPL    NASD      517.77      +114.5       1.14 
Bank Of America                BAC     NYSE        8.09       +31.7       1.59 
Procter & Gamble               PG      NYSE       64.73       +22.2       2.43 
SPDR S&P 500                   SPY     ARCA      135.55       +21.3       1.11 
Johnson & Johnson              JNJ     NYSE       64.72       +14.4       2.18 
Schlumberger                   SLB     NYSE       77.58       +13.9       2.64 
DirecTV Group Inc              DTV     NASD       46.71       +13.6       4.15 
SPDR S&P Retail                XRT     ARCA       57.99       +13.5       2.74 
Abbott Labs                    ABT     NYSE       55.35       +12.3       2.11 
IBM                            IBM     NYSE      192.37       +11.2       1.61 
Raymond James                  RJF     NYSE       34.77       +10.4       1.99 
Kellogg Co                     K       NYSE       52.36        +9.3       1.60 
Citigroup                      C       NYSE       32.51        +9.1       1.28 
VISA  (Cl A)                   V       NYSE      116.20        +8.7       1.42 
Cummins                        CMI     NYSE      122.18        +8.4       2.04 
Merck                          MRK     NYSE       38.05        +8.1       3.19 
Federal Realty Inv Trust       FRT     NYSE       96.66        +7.7      11.53 
ExxonMobil                     XOM     NYSE       84.57        +7.6       1.40 
Abercrombie & Fitch            ANF     NYSE       49.17        +7.6       1.21 
Owens Corning                  OC      NYSE       31.42        +7.1       1.84 

ISSUE DECLINERS               SYMBOL   EXCH   LAST PRICE   MONEY FLOW    RATIO 
                                                          (in millions) 
Microsoft                      MSFT    NASD       30.24       -28.3       0.33 
Google                         GOOG    NASD      610.56       -23.1       0.72 
Intel                          INTC    NASD       26.80       -15.9       0.44 
Edwards Lifesciences           EW      NYSE       74.00       -14.0       0.22 
Oracle                         ORCL    NASD       28.17       -13.9       0.45 
Amazoncom                      AMZN    NASD      190.15       -12.5       0.73 
iShr FTSE China 25             FXI     ARCA       40.16       -12.2       0.30 
Service Corp Intl              SCI     NYSE       11.09       -12.0       0.01 
iShrs MSCI Emerg Mkts          EEM     ARCA       43.71       -11.9       0.52 
PepsiCo                        PEP     NYSE       63.49       -10.8       0.47 
CBS Corp B                     CBS     NYSE       29.73       -10.6       0.23 
JPMorgan Chase                 JPM     NYSE       38.22        -9.8       0.65 
Freeport McMoran               FCX     NYSE       42.94        -9.4       0.68 
McDonald's                     MCD     NYSE       99.49        -9.0       0.45 
Disney                         DIS     NYSE       41.68        -8.7       0.30 
iShs S&P Gbl Cons Staples      KXI     ARCA       67.69        -8.7       0.02 
Chevron                        CVX     NYSE      105.66        -8.4       0.61 
Regions Fincl                  RF      NYSE        5.76        -8.4       0.15 
SeagateTech                    STX     NASD       26.55        -8.1       0.36 
iShrs Tr S&P L.A. 40           ILF     ARCA       47.90        -8.1       0.16

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Most Active Options Trades

-CALLS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
VLO        3/17/12          25.0000         888            0.8900      up 0.0900 
AAPL       2/18/12         510.0000         757           11.0000      up 6.0500 
BAC        3/17/12           9.0000         679            0.1100      up 0.0000 
AAPL       2/18/12         525.0000         669            3.0800      up 2.1300 
AAPL       2/18/12         515.0000         561            7.0500      up 4.1000 
AAPL       2/18/12         520.0000         493            4.7000      up 3.0500 
AAPL       2/18/12         530.0000         381            1.9800      up 1.3300 
AAPL       2/18/12         500.0000         345           17.9600      up 6.7600 
BAC        2/18/12           8.0000         279            0.1700      up 0.0300 
AAPL       3/17/12         515.0000         189           20.8000      up 6.1000 

 -PUTS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
BAC        2/18/12           8.0000         400            0.1200      dn 0.0400 
AAPL       2/18/12         515.0000         301            4.4000      dn 5.1500 
AAPL       2/18/12         510.0000         281            2.5600      dn 3.0400 
ANF        2/18/12          40.0000         250            0.0300      dn 0.2200 
AAPL       2/18/12         500.0000         145            0.7300      dn 1.0000 
BAC        5/19/12           9.0000         132            1.3000      dn 0.0800 
AAPL       2/18/12         520.0000         130            7.0500      dn 5.3000 
BAC        4/21/12           7.0000          93            0.2600      dn 0.0200 
AAPL       2/18/12         490.0000          83            0.2300      dn 0.2700 
JPM        4/21/12          33.0000          81            0.5100      up 0.0000 

 -VOLUME- 
 CALLS      PUTS           TOTAL 
23796    24663        48459
-CALLS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
YHOO       3/17/12          16.0000       15085            0.2700      dn 0.0100 
YHOO       3/17/12          17.0000       10030            0.0800      dn 0.0200 
MU         3/17/12           9.0000        5269            0.3100      up 0.0600 
AAPL       2/18/12         520.0000        4604            4.8000      up 3.1000 
AAPL       2/18/12         515.0000        3932            7.1000      up 4.2000 
AAPL       2/18/12         510.0000        3160           10.1000      up 5.1100 
IBM        3/17/12         200.0000        2885            0.8900      up 0.1400 
AAPL       2/18/12         525.0000        2565            3.0400      up 2.0100 
BAC        2/18/12           8.0000        1987            0.1600      up 0.0100 
AAPL       2/18/12         505.0000        1777           14.1000      up 6.3000 

 -PUTS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
RIMM       2/18/12          15.0000       10129            0.3800      dn 0.1900 
RIMM       2/18/12          16.0000        5078            1.1600      dn 0.3300 
BAC        3/17/12           9.0000        3153            1.0300      dn 0.1000 
BAC        2/18/12           9.0000        3052            0.9300      dn 0.0900 
ZNGA       2/18/12          13.0000        2713            0.4000      dn 0.3500 
ZNGA       2/18/12          12.0000        2507            0.1300      dn 0.2700 
AAPL       2/18/12         500.0000        2429            0.7000      dn 1.0200 
ZNGA       2/18/12          14.0000        2377            1.1000      dn 0.1000 
AAPL       2/18/12         505.0000        2235            1.3500      dn 1.9000 
AAPL       2/18/12         515.0000        1943            4.4500      dn 3.9500 

 -VOLUME- 
 CALLS      PUTS           TOTAL 
446217    653584        1099801

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Ken Fisher Says Buy Now Before the Super Bull Arrives

It looks like all the usual bullish suspects are pounding the table on the equity markets now.  These comments are from Ken Fisher of Fisher investments (via Forbes):

“Last year I warned of a middling market, but this year will be different. I expect it to be a great year for stocks, including last year’s picks.

Volatility spooked investors in 2011, and as a result there are few superbulls or superbears out there. Most pros are noncommittal, mildly bullish or bearish. No one is expecting a huge trend. This is the perfect environment for an up-a-lot year.

We will soon begin the fourth year of this bull market. According to my research, fourth years have averaged 20% returns and sometimes have been much bigger. So it is best to think of the directionless daze the market ­suffered in 2011 as the pause that ­refreshes before the bull resumes.”

Full article

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