The market is losing ground fast, which is not to be confused with trading down. The market never trades down, because the color red makes Obama disgruntled. Obama “predators” things that are red, like hot spots in Yemen.
So the market is only green. Sometimes, it ends flat green. Sometimes, it is very green. But it is always green, because green things don’t draw attention.
The Greek CAC trigger is sort of a non-event, in my opinion. The numbers we’re talking here are a pittance, compared to what have been getting thrown around lately. Are you telling me that a miniscule $50 billion in losses is going to derail things?
I didn’t think so.
Of course, if there’s $3 trillion in Greek credit coverage being taken up by counterparties across the planet, then it’s a whole different ballgame. But really now, these clowns have had almost two years to scope out the potential damage of a Greek default. In fact, they’ve had little else on their minds. I just can’t believe this will directly do anything.
That being said, we are way, way, way too high. Prices are unrealistic, compared to the performance of the real world. Things in the U.S. are static; things globally are deteriorating. We may not need so much a real cause to sell, as a real excuse to sell.
So, I remain hedged tight, short oil and energy through ERY and SCO, while staying long AEC, CLP, CCJ, and physical silver.
Have a good weekend, and keep your guard up.
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What do you mean we are static? Things are deteriorating?
Which planet are you examining? Or do you ignore all the economic data points?
Was the jobs number this morning a fake?
Have you been watching the continent across the Atlantic?
Our numbers are not bad. I would not call them robust. If you un-erase people, then we still have persistently high unemployment. And our household debt levels/housing/income levels remain depressed. Unless we continue to grow as oil exporters, we are probably not taking off any time soon.
That macro backdrop may be 100% accurate, but I’d wager that most of the G-20 get the fucking picture & are committed to subterfuge and “orderly defaults” as the new way forward. I think the near term market market boils down to the psychology behind whether or not the EU can perform “containment” via cooperation, and continue to provide liquidity when and where needed. I think that if CDS implosions are off the table for the first time in in 3.5 years, liquidity is there, and the EU has a blueprint for future defaults, the market will react well to these actions which have followed a whole lot of words. That might keep the donkey show going until the sun comes up.
The cost to enable this Greek default, while holding the EU together, was a $1 trillion strain on the ECB over 3-6 months, depending on your time frame…
What you think about TWO?
No opinion. It’s an investment group with an enormous dividend yield. What do they own?
You may need to move away from Detroit, Cain. I think the atmosphere is beginning to affect your demeanor…
Indeuuuud!
__________
But he’s in the sweet spot of the housing recovery.
Only city in the US where housing went up last year.
Lol
Get in while the getting is good!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bvn3SjK8Oys