iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,441 Blog Posts

Market Sentiment

[youtube:http://ru.youtube.com/watch?v=bslpmwFlJoA 450 300]

For those of you who are unfamiliar with “Costanza trading,” watch this clip.

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Going Nowhere, Fast

I’m in Oklahoma City, throwing fire crackers, from the back of my town car, at the locals. This city has a certain “Great Depression” charm to it. It makes me want to give up all hope and become a mechanic or even worse: an IT consultant.

As you know, I bought Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. [[LEH]] yesterday, based upon ouiji board advice. I covered my short, then went long. However, I will sell it, first thing Monday morning.

As a whole, my hedging moves worked to a charm, as I am going nowhere, fast. Literally, I am up like 0.10%, as you read this.

Look the balance sheets of the banks are grotesque— and make me want to punch their eyebrows off. We are getting very close to “boot stomp” territory in the market, based upon price and seasonality. My best guess: we tread water for another week then get flung into a river made from gasoline.

Oil and gold are pulling back a bit. As a result, my purchases of [[DIG]] , Southern Copper Corporation (USA) [[PCU]] and Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] are not helping my plight for greatness.

And, as unbelievable as it may seem, morons with propeller hats are buying Legg Mason, Inc. [[LM]] , as Fannie Mae [[FNM]] /Freddie Mac [[FRE]] die a slow death.

This is a huge miscalculation, on behalf of low IQ investors.

To close out the day, I will probably short more LM, while nibbling at some more war stocks: Lockheed Martin Corporation [[LMT]] , General Dynamics Corporation [[GD]] , AeroVironment, Inc. [[AVAV]] and Northrop Grumman Corporation [[NOC]] .

NOTE: I will sell my bank hedges, [[UYG]] , [[RKH]] , early next week.

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“The Fly” Has a Secret Win

I was too ashamed to tell you what “unnamed investment bank” I bought yesterday. Had you pried, I might have told you.

Anyway, there is one person who knows what I bought: Ragin’ Cagin’.

Aside from that, I intend to make large buckets of coin today, Las Vegas style.

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A Public Service Announcement

Do me a favour [sic]. When visiting my Godly website, be sure to leave your retarded comments and market advice, at the last third rate blog you were visiting prior.

“The Fly” does not need, want or desire any of your ideas or “market positions.” And, he most certainly does not need the likes of you giving him financial advice.

If you are unable to read on a third grade level, this website is not for you.

If you are not able to grasp the concept of “hedged trading,” as opposed to switching a bias, this website is not for you.

On the other hand, if you are the sort of person who finds great pleasure in kicking old men down idle manholes, while banking coin—sonning this market, visit and do it often.

Just know this: I have no desire to hold your hands. I do not know you and would likely get into a fist fight with most of you, if I ever had the displeasure of meeting you in real life. Some of you are astute investors, who understand the difference between a bond and a bund. Unfortunately, many of you are regular meat loaf throwers, with IQ’s lower than my pet rock.

To make it perfectly clear, yet again, I am NOT net long of the banks, but hedged. I am net long commodities and a variety of names, that I deem worthwhile. Take my advice and talk less, listen more.

And, while you’re at it, go take a look at the percentage gains I just booked in my shorts, then get back to me—pal.

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Insane Asylum Trading

I would go on vacation, if I wasn’t scared to miss out on some HUGE cataclysmic event. Instead, I have resorted to weekend trips and late night chicanery.

As you know, intra-day, I greatly reduced my short exposure, after originally wanting to short more.

This was my day, in a nut shell:

7am: Woke up to the pleasant fact of lower futures, higher crude.

9am: Eagerly awaiting to view my gains at the open.

10am: Frustrated over the tepid weakness in the tape. However, I was pleased with commodity strength.

11am: Called stock loan and borrowed shares of Comerica Incorporated [[CMA]] , First Horizon National Corporation [[FHN]] , Legg Mason, Inc. [[LM]] , PacWest Bancorp [[PACW]] and Zions Bancorporation [[ZION]] . Sadly, I could not borrow Pzena Investment Management, Inc. [[PZN]] or Vulcan Materials Company [[VMC]] .

12: Went to the gym.

2pm: Increasingly angry over lack of follow through on the short side. Started to cover some names.

2pm: After covering some shorts, I bulked up on energy names.

2pm: Suddenly, I became panicked that my recent gains would wash away, like high IQ’s in N.Korea. Immediately, I made the decision to reduce my inverse etf exposure by 60% and to cover all of the little shorts on the books.

2pm: With proceeds, I hedged my existing shorts with a variety of long positions, focusing in on basic materials, like Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] and Southern Copper Corporation (USA) [[PCU]] . And, just in case commodities and banks were to reenter an inverse relationship with one another, I bought [[RKH]] , [[UYG]] and an unnamed investment bank—in order to “flatten out” my SKF/SRS holdings.

3pm: Seeing the market rally made me happy, for some odd reason.

4pm:What a non-event. I should have gone (thanks Jake) on that vacation.

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Freezing Myself Here

I don’t want to give back recent gains. Normally, I Iet the market run its course. However, this time, I am making a stand and will protect my gains.

There is no denying the mental illness that has infected the minds of dip buyers.

Nonetheless, I have decided to cover all of my shorts, with exception to Legg Mason, Inc. [[LM]] , First Horizon National Corporation [[FHN]] , Vulcan Materials Company [[VMC]] and Pzena Investment Management, Inc. [[PZN]] .

I will cover all my of my brokerage shorts, including Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [[GS]] , Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. [[LEH]] , Morgan Stanley [[MS]] and even Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. [[MER]] .

The little ones, like Cathay General Bancorp [[CATY]] , Pacific Capital Bancorp [[PCBC]] and East West Bancorp, Inc. [[EWBC]] : gone.

And, I will cover Bank of America Corporation [[BAC]] .

Lastly, I sold out part of my [[SKF]] , [[SRS]] and [[FXP]] positions, perfectly willing to miss out on “large penis gains” (pardon the lack of curse words), in return for safety of principle.

In an effort to hedge my existing shorts, I will go long [[UYG]] , [[RKH]] , Southern Copper Corporation (USA) [[PCU]] and Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] —in size.

Don’t ask why or if I got banged over the head with a large “homo hammer.”

For me, at this moment, it is the right thing to do.

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