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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

Death to Bear Sterns

Wasn’t it nice to find out there is NO inflation, via today’s CPI data? According to the Fed, gasoline and commodity prices went LOWER. Ha.

Something tells me the g-men are trying to save a few bad dollars in social security payments, via juking the inflation data to appear benign.

Forget about what the idiots with pocket protectors say. We have run away inflation. Trade accordingly.

Apparently, [[BSC]] is on the brink of insolvency. As you know, should the worthless assets of Bear Sterns be recognized for what they are (worthless), the world would slip into a black hole and be eaten by dinosaurs.

So, in order to prevent world destruction, the NY Fed, in their infinite wisdom, decided to save Bear Sterns. Very nice.

Let’s sum up the bullshit country we live in:

During the worst housing crisis in 100 years, we’ve learned, NO ONE is allowed to fail. Everyone is too big. From homebuilders to money centers to low-end brokerage houses to monoline insurers, if you need a little scratch, knock on the Governments door and they’ll help you out. This, as you know, is not capitalism. This is socialism heavy, not light, which is disgraceful.

However, none of my bickering or sharp spikes in interpersonal acts of violence will help anyone make money.

Here’s how I see it:

Fuck Dennis Gartman. Ride this sucker out. When I smell panic, there is bound to be some sort of shoe to drop. Just so you know, the Fed is panicking. If you’re the nervous type, hedge some of your downside plays, with a few longs. No big deal.

Inevitably, those betting on the downside will be right, as the recession deepens and little fuckers like Bear Sterns get washed out.

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Late Night Thought

Someone is going to lose a lot of money tomorrow.

UPDATE: Tesla was a bitch and a thief!

UPDATE II: Once Bernanke is done with your dollar, a loaf of bread and gallon of milk will cost 10 billion dollars. Fuck around, try to go to a movie and shit, that will cost you 100 billion.

We’re all gonna be billionaires!

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Misdirection

I cannot blame anyone, novice or pro, to be utterly wrecked with confusion, after witnessing today’s tape. Typically, after a “key reversal” like today’s (from down big to up), I’d say we will rip higher tomorrow. However, seeing how volatile the market is, I cannot say for sure what will happen next.

All I know, for sure, is that [[BSC]] is rife with negative rumors and the dollar is a joke.

If forced to bet, I’d say my shorts will cause me more grief tomorrow, but rebound nicely next week.

The bet is simple: the economy is in rapid decline. Therefore, on every spike, sell short and take the wind out of the bulls. Unfortunately, today, Mother Market punched me in the face, with brass knuckles and all—via [[SMN]].

Finally, there will be some new/interesting changes to iBankCoin soon. I would reveal these changes, but if I did, I’d be forced to track all of you down and punch a jelly donut into your face.

Top pick: Short [[MOS]]

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Fly Buys: UDN, DUG

I bought 1,000 [[DUG]] @ $37.50 and 1,000 [[UDN]] @ $29.44.

Disclaimer: If you buy DUG or UDN because of this post, your neighborhood will turn into a desolate cesspool. And, you may lose money.

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I Should’ve Stayed Retired

Thanks to my impatience, basically, I took an entire truck full of cash and drove it into the East River.

No worries, there’s a lot more where that came from.

Back to my original, cogent strategy: look to sell short around the 12,500 level. This week belongs to the bulls.

Aside from that, it was interesting to hear Governor Corzine of NJ declare shipments to ports are down 15%. Holy cow tits!

With that type of “ungrowth,” the shippers are doomed.

Short [[DRYS]] anyone?

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Riding it Out

Yet again, the market gets bailed out by some sort of crazy Government plan. If you notice, the only time the market rallies is when the Government is intervening. Fucking socialists.

Coming into today’s trade, my cash position was too big. So, as a result, I put a small percentage of it to work. Now, I never try to time bottoms or tops. It is very likely I will be under water on much of the shit I buy or sell today. However, that’s why it’s important to buy in increments.

I expect the bulls will try to bring the market up, by the short hairs if need be. My perspective is vastly different from theirs.

I’m not looking to get cute. I will not buy a few bad stocks, in order to take advantage of a short lived rally. Since my bias is to the downside, where I deem all the risk remains, it’s nonsensical to go long. If I did that and lost a boatload of bullshit dollars, I would not be able to swallow it. It would eat away at me forever.

As you know, “The Fly” lives and dies by his convictions.

Ahead of next week’s rate cuts and brokerage earnings, anticipate a lot of volatility.

NOTE: With [[SRS]] reversing from $120 this morning, down to $111, I like my chances of a short term rebound here.

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Fly Buy: SRS

I bought 1,000 [[SRS]] @ $112.50.

UPDATE: I bought 2,000 @ $113.

Disclaimer: If you buy SRS because of this post, your mailman will misplace your most important bills. And, you may lose money.

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