iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,463 Blog Posts

The Inflation Trade is Back — All Thanks and Praise to President Trump

If you recall what preceded the 2008 financial crisis it was the 2007 $100 tomato fear. You can search these archives and see the fun times we had — a much younger and verbose Fly grandstanding in front of the out of control commodity bandwagon. We pined for oil to keep going higher, not because we wanted to make more on our shale plays, but to physically remove cars from the streets because of the expense — leaving the working class to the busses and subways whilst I enjoyed the freeways in leisure and without traffic.

These were good times and Jim ‘Bow Tie Fucker’ Rogers was our leader. Then everything changed, housing collapsed and the dream of the $100 tomato wilted away — replaced by debilitating deflation.

Eleven years later, here we are with asset prices high, no one really giving a shit about tomatoes anymore — because they’re all obsessed with avocados. Thanks to President Trump’s tariff plan, real inflation is being priced into the market now. While we may never bear witness to the $100 tomato, we may very well see a $100 avocado. Praise the Lord.

Here’s the logic. If China has been exporting deflation to us via cheap goods, then Trump’s tariffs will not only increase the price of goods, but they might also reverberate into other goods, eliminating the deflationary forces of the foreign markets, paving the way for actual and real inflation.

The trade is to be long raw commodities, short dollars. We’re even seeing a reaction in the TIPs market.

As for the specter of the $100 avocado, perhaps get long CVGW and profit as hipsters around the country get fucking REKT as they order avocado toast with their little faggot friends.

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13 comments

  1. The Other Good Doctor
    The Other Good Doctor

    For there to be real inflation there has to be real aggregate demand, and there ain’t enough of that.

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  2. sarcrilege

    The mere appearance of inflation is good enough for goy Powell to keep hiking interest rates and give us the inevitable collapse in peripheral economies. Europe first.

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    • sarcrilege

      btw, Alex Jones and his green gay lizard aliens found their new home on bitchute,
      https://www.bitchute.com/channel/infowars/

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    • sarcrilege

      One more thing, I am waiting for CNN and marxists to tell us that it is ok to “kill the black man…” in white countries, i.e. Sweden as it is ok to “kill the the white man…” in black countries, i.e. South Africa; – just this Sunday,
      https://tinyurl.com/y8wjr4zb
      where’s the outrage? crickets…

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      • numbersgame

        1) Julius Malema is a racist scum bag
        2) He never said, “kill the white man.” He even said, “We don’t hate white people, we just love black people.”

        In order words, he is a lot like *you*: he prefers to empower his own race at any cost, regardless of the fairness of his actions.

        Besides his race-baiting hate speech, He has also been accused of treason and corruption, and has gone after the media who exposed him. Sound familiar?

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        • sarcrilege

          1) not according to his tribe
          2)

          The DA quoted him as saying in a previous speech: “[W]e are going to remove a mayor of PE… [we] are going for your white man in PE. We are going to cut the throat.”
          On Sunday, Malema echoed this exact quote.

          https://tinyurl.com/y95lpkhm
          3) what’s your source?

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          • numbersgame

            1) Understand that his tribe is not black people, it is not Black Africans, it is not even Black South Africans, it is the party he started, the Economic Freedom Fighters. The EFF received only 6% of the vote in the 2014 SA election.
            2) So you admitting that he didn’t say the words “kill the white man”. Progress.
            3) He dis say “we are going to cut the throat of whiteness” but he didn’t mean that literally if you look at the full context.
            https://tinyurl.com/ybms26lt
            https://tinyurl.com/y9xkf5br

            Now, I am quite positive that many of his followers and members of his party are even more racists than him and some do want white genocide. He is really not that different from France’s Le Pen (father and daughter), Italy’s Matteo Salvini , or Donald Trump, or other racists nationalist that have popped up in the last 5-10 years. They tolerate all sorts of “good people on both sides”, while professing otherwise.

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          • sarcrilege

            good source, good retort.

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  3. ironbird

    Cue the $500 taco with the $250 fried chicken leg kicker. Shit is gonna get real.

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  4. soupbone

    Energy has fracking related technology shift, gas or oil same issue.

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  5. ferd

    Bonds like this so far. I guessing the bump will fade. Safe haven bid on this news doesn’t make a lot of sense.

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