iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,455 Blog Posts

Looking for an Upside Reversal? Here’s What You Need to Happen

Santa Claus swooping down and kicking Fed’s Dudley in the cranium. Also, we need crude to stop going lower. The fuck. It isn’t enough to see oil stocks stabilize. This God foresaken commodity must get a grip of itself.

We also need to see large cap tech assert itself, whether it be MSFT, ORCL, AAPL or CRM. We know INTC isn’t going to provide succor today, after that abysmal conference call.

How about some momentum oriented stocks going higher, like biotech, cyber security or solar?

Lastly, TLT needs to sell off and breadth must steadily improve. Right now we’re at 93% negative market breadth. Should that number double, I’d be intrigued about seeing the market reverse.

At the end of the day, we all know stocks are oversold. Emotions aren’t even playing a factor, at this stage in the rout. This is liquidation, full mercy, people getting margin calls and meeting them through sales. With the long weekend ahead, buyers are on strike.

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7 comments

  1. stockslueth

    We live in deflationary times, why buy now when we can buy lower next week.

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  2. Dr. Fly

    Even then we had sharp rallies. Hell, we had a 1,000 point rally then.

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  3. juice

    90% down day with fewer new lows so far … 1100 new lows , yesterday 1500 … squint and there are divergences

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  4. probucks

    It’s the longer term mother of all mean reversions. one way market. crouded trade. artificially low vol exploding.

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  5. fxtradex6

    Sings of crude reversal will probably be around $22/barrel.

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  6. steve-0

    US & US FED can either have QE4 etc to try and stabilize mkts, oil prices etc or it can have strong $US as weapon in fight to finish vs Russia/China, but not both. Think more of later until later this year when global oil production/supply collapses.

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