I added to YELP and HGG. Good, sell off stocks ahead of National Feast. See if that stops me.
In all seriousness, this week is always a thinly traded one, as people are traveling to visit loved ones. Typically, black Friday is a lot of fun, despite being only a half day. On occasion, we will get a sell off on Cyber Monday, as retail sales have been coming in light in recent years. But that’s not my bet. My play is for a robust retail sales climate that will offer upside surprises. I am basing this assumption off the recent data and of course the decline in oil.
I’d prefer the market to trade up today. However, if you insist on selling, I will simply have to dig deep and buy more. See, I am looking for a 3.5% move in the NASDAQS during the month of December. It’s nothing too outrageous and definitely within the confines of reason. After all, I am a man of ‘extreme caliber’ and reason. Within that 3.5% NASDAQ move, I suspect there will be multiple 10%+ winners. Selfishly, I intend to grab a few of those, then lighten up a little ahead of New Year’s eve.
My largest position, naturally, is GPRO–representing 13% of assets. YELP is almost 10% and everything else is rather modest. Again, I am a reasonable man of ‘extreme caliber’.
Some of you might have big profits and would prefer to mitigate risk ahead of the big question mark of holiday sales. I understand that 100% and would not blame you for wanting to reduce exposure, if sitting on big gains. But most of us mortals out there, who haven’t had the luxury of legalized insider trading (extra Ackman), have been through the meat grinder in 2014. We’re coming down the home stretch now and there isn’t time for hesitation or half assed positions.
In short, I’m not gonna try to figure out what the market is doing this second. I am buying now and hope to harvest bountiful gains five weeks from now. If any of you jackasses have a hard time understanding that the market isn’t the market on a tick by tick basis, you are better off punching holes in donuts than trying to figure out this web of lunacy on a daily basis.
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Logic cannot explain lunacy.
Fascinating statement.
you just opened a paradox. Good going.
Did you sell out of ANET already or just a piece of it ? The company seemed to have great results except for the lock up news muddying the waters.
Or just better places to be… ie your social Media list? Thanks Mr Fly!
I had to sell. Line in the sand.
Tweeter
RIP James Gandolfini. I miss that guy.
many studies have shown that investors do not take advantage of seasonality.
waiting on the shippers BALT
Oh really can you then please post links to a few of those “many” studies.
Listen “Bart”. Why don’t you do some homework and look around on the internets, or better some academic papers around this topic instead of sitting in pleather office depot chair trolling. I am not here to spoon feed you.
Its your thesis. You prove it.
180 do a 90 and read below. Or do you just react in a flippant manner wishing you were smart. Don’t bring a knife to a gun fight.
Here you go SFB. And lucky for you it’s pretty recent. Took me all of 2 mins to find this one
http://www.alphaarchitect.com/blog/2014/11/19/earnings-seasonality-and-stock-returns/
TQQQ 4 the win
Do you still like LITB?
looks like the market is not too impressed with that GDP number. it means interest rates may go up sooner
Fly, what’s your concern regarding the end of GPRO’s lockup that expired Dec 22?
$gpro is going to $125 because that is what $goog is buying it for.
$habt going straight to hell.
Fly, what is your stop price on HABT? I purchased 4 cheeseburgers, but it wasn’t enough to help.
how’d you like the restaurant?
May buy some around 29-30.
$hgg trading at 6.66. That should be a warning.
What about $TRN? Is that still a sizable position?
All cops will now be wearing GPRO’s on their person
Go with the company the police trust and have a past with: TASR, they know have cameras to be worn by officers. GPRO is some gay shit.
http://www.digitalallyinc.com/body-cams.html