I don’t know whether to mock all of this talk about being in another tech bubble or be scared of it. Truth be told, it’s a very subjective topic, as the market, in some form or another, is continuously in price discovery mode. Whether it be tech, housing, banks or biotech, the valuations of these hot or cold sectors wholly depend on the mood of investors–plain and simple.
So, if people start to believe we are in a tech bubble, guess what: we will pop said bubble and the valuations of once rich tech companies will be reduced to garbage cans. My opinion won’t matter, as the chorus of bearish investors will scream at the top of their lungs to get out of tech. We can harbor opinions as to where XYZ belongs and we can buy those shares as they appreciate or decline, hoping to time it perfectly. But we’re never gonna nail it right. Investing is a messy thing, especially when you’re trading around a lot.
What is FB and YELP worth? Are we to value them at similar metrics, or should the smaller company be valued higher due to a possible takeover premium?
Will Bill Ackman assist in the next social media hostile takeover?
The world has a lot of questions and I have very few answers, sadly enough. However, don’t that stop you fine folks in the comments section from relaying certain truths about investing: how it should be done and where stocks are heading in the immediate, intermediate and long term.
After six days of gains, it’s depressing, frankly, to see most of my stocks down $3. It’s repetitive and even boring to lose money in such wanton fashion. I guess I could sell a bunch of stuff and “lock in” a cool 23% loss. Or, maybe I can weather the storm and wait for earnings to be the true arbiter of price discovery. Either way, you’re only as good as your last thesis trade. Thus far, I am an abohhrent mess–but can still find the time in my day to track down each and every one of you little trollops and correct your misdeeds–so remember that.
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If you don’t sell FEYE when it breaks 45, you truly are the fattest man alive.
be careful, hes been threatening to hunt you down and sit on you
But what’s with the fat talk? I’m curious as to how your brain works.
Fly is ripped you fools
Only a pure glutton would continue buying these horrid positions. It stands to reason that if you are this gluttonous with your job, you must be morbidly obese and all of this “gym” talk is your own form of trolling.
agreud
Distorted thinking death, as there isn’t a correlation between the two .
Nonetheless, I accept it for what it is!
I have found its better for the mind and soul to make losses back on something other than the positions that caused them. And that being trapped in stocks is not a good enough reason to not sell them. Trapped is subjective though and anything can be rationalized, which is a huge trap when it comes to the business we have chosen.
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… with all due respect, if you have an “opinion” or, a “difference of opinion” … with Fly … or, anybody else here for that matter, can’t you just post it without the sophomoric personal insults ?
Your “opinions” might even be taken a bit more seriously if you didn’t come across as such an obnoxious jerk !
Just MY honest “opinion” !
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Here’s the thing, alf. I’m TRYING to get into his head, so when FEYE gets to 45 he pukes. He wouldn’t want to be fat AND stupid for not selling below there, would he?
WHO DOES A SECONDARY 30% BIGGER THAN THE LAST ONE WHEN YOUR STOCK IS DOWN 50% IN A MONTH? SOMEONE WHO THINKS THEIR STOCK IS TOO EXPENSIVE, THAT’S WHO.
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… not lovin’ the ALL CAPS … but, your point was made without unnecessary personal attacks !
Maybe we’re makin’ progress !
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+1
Mandiant sellers from merger, moron
Still insiders, fat boy. They know something we don’t know and they want out.
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… oh well !
I gave it a shot !
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Today’s FB earnings will make or break me for awhile.
Great strategy.
How do I favourite “your” reply?
😉
fb calls look niiiiice here
What exactly is so nice about them?
the fact you don’t own em
Maybe I can sell them to you
Why are they coming out with this shit before Alibaba? Is it somehow connected?
Oil and gas names have been on fire. A lot of good is going on in the market, away from the high flyers
Aerospace is stable today, LMT, BA, NOC
I don’t see alot of big moves in this market.All the to and fro however suggests
agile traders (i’m not one) could kill it.
rather than valuation, I think it’s more important to realize who you are in bed with when you go long or short a stock/index. The only bubble I see is in people posting lists of “high short interest stocks ready to squeeze”. I’d say you’re more at risk to be long these names in the company of very weak longs than weak shorts at this point in the rally. 20/20 hindsight I know but my 2 cents.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLCL6OYbSTw
I like seeing bubbles pop because they are inflated by people and ideas that generally annoy me. Of course, no harm in traders making money on the price movement.
we need to find the metrics that Icahn and Ackman use in determining who to go after so we can front run their take over candidates.
You first will have to learn to read a balance sheet, which knocks me out.
if i had to guess with regards to social media it would be Twitter. Facebook has an established name and person with Zuck, and YELP is too lowbrow and hipster for those men. That leaves Twitter. It’s popular, it’s in mass general media, and there’s no real person attached to the head of it.
True bubbles are extremely rare. But there seems to be large cache in calling them.
I’m agreeing with Hook here.Indexes in the
U.S A. feel toppy.Canadian indexes however look like they have room to move higher.
The market is screaming at everyone to bust out your walker, slap some tennis balls to the legs, and buy grandpa stocks. Grandpa doesn’t need fancy technologies to protect him from the cloud, he already owns 3 umbrellas.
yes, but most on this site are fucking heros
u sir, strike me as an idiot, based on your commentary
sometimes
Why do you care, jerkoff?
The end of the world is just around the corner.
these stocks are doomed. FEYE, SPLK, IFON
GTFO!!
Sold splk yest
FLY
how annoying is this michelle caruso-cabrera ! she may be worse than the Kernen
Majorly stacked, though.
true, even if they are fake .. I remember when she had a rack the size of a couple plum tomatoes … then, voila! Casaba-ville
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… well, I remember the days of Liz Claman … and Sweaters …
SIGH !!!
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Liz the voluptous Claman, 100% natural .. I think she went to FOX, no pun
Fly, dont your ‘institutional clients’ get upset that you waste so much time on here responding to DEATH tell you that you are chunky
Curious
No they like it
Seems unlikely
Nonetheless, I accept it for what it is!
The Big Boys don’t want their quarterback being called a “Tub-o-Lard.”
sorry fly but nice DATA buys.
I told everyone on here that when Fly bought it that it was time to get short, he made some gay threat, and guess what….
great trade bob
*paper trade
Painful to watch people buying this dip in momos, don’t think it is over.
Sell when you can and not when you have to
Not Tech Bubble, lol, Shanghai Copper Bubble. Last night we saw another FLASH PMI out of China in the 48 range. Blah, Blah (lol, that is for Bullish). Anyway, way too much foreign money is holding loans secured by china commodities and should be getting very worried imho.
they will agree with you when it’s too late…. nothing changes if nothing changes
Mr. Partridge,The saddest thing I learned in watching it all form, is that no one stopped it. So many Investment bankers are now dumping their commodities divisions so they know it is coming…but no one says a thing. Bubbles are Mean 🙂
Granmdas brick filled hat box does a great job when placed on the buy button. SPY will never crack.
Where’s that whore ANGI headed tonight?
Fly, can we get an update on ytd performance
Down more than you, but still ahead of you
that is quite the name
Does Jennifer only talk about IBB appreciating on up days? Don’t see any comments from that idiot.
Interesting post on deflation/inflation vs rates.
http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.com/2014/04/the-neo-fisherite-rebellion.html
He is I and I am him
Fly,
Can you shed some light on this article.
http://solarcycles.net/2014/04/23/price-cheerleading/
he has a strong case and would like to hear your logic.
wow, uncle warren shoots down the bubble talk, stocks too expensive talk
If Apple and FB crush it after the bell, the bear shitters will be scurrying tomorrow. Just hope investors don’t get caught up on minor details and ignore the big picture of the results.