iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,445 Blog Posts

ANATOMY OF A SHORT SQUEEZE

What causes stocks to go squeeze higher? I can enlighten you into the sentiment of money managers and how they are scared to death of being caught in an epic run, like NFLX or more recently TSLA. Valuation is unimportant in the immediate term. All that matters is fear and greed.

Are the shorts fearful of the stock going higher and are the longs greedy? If so, that stock might be setting up for a monstrous run.

I’ve been studying correlations all of my life. I like to know why things happen. Sometimes they’re random: but most of the time they’re by design. There are certain traits that are common in all short squeezes, none more than shares in the float. If the stock doesn’t have full institutional interest, like NFLX, CMG or GMCR, there must be a small amount of shares in the float in order to get the stock going–preferably under 20 million.

Of those shares, I like to monitor stocks that have at least 10% of its shares sold short. Due to liquidity concerns, I am looking for stocks that trade at least 100k shares per day. And, one of the most important factors is the “pain threshold.” If the stock hasn’t been moving higher, there is little incentive for the shorts to cover. You want to look for names that are up more than 10% over the past month.

Now we get to the proprietary stuff.

Since hundreds of you are now under a free trial membership of The PPT, you can view the screen I am about to reveal. It finds stocks that have jumped by more than 10% in its “Daily Hybrid” score, which is a ranking mechanism that combines both technicals and fundamentals to get a daily read out. When the technicals explode during a given day, which is decidedly different from the prior day, the Daily Hybrid score will spike.

I’ve studied thousands of short squeezes and none of them start without a large jump in daily hybrid.

A perfect example of what I just described lies in the share price action in ESI. Here is a recent history of the Daily Hybrid.

ESI

Had you bought the stock based on the upgrade to buy on that 40%+ hybrid change, you would’ve been long under $19 with the stock now trading above $25.

The last part of the puzzle is technical ranking. The technical scores must reach a minimum of 2 on a scale of 5, with 5 being the strongest.

Here are the results:

Squeeze

Since tomorrow is the last day of your trial, take advantage of what I am giving to you now and view this screen for more results tomorrow. Since it’s dependent on daily hybrid movers, the population of stocks will change daily.

This is what The PPT is all about, finding an edge in the market by taking all of the data available to us and deciphering it via the power of a predictive algorithm. There are many aspects to the tool. In no way is it one dimensional. But if I had to isolate just one aspect of the tool that I find to be most useful, this is it.

If you enjoy the content at iBankCoin, please follow us on Twitter

15 comments

  1. Julz

    Don Senor Fly, do you see a potential squeeze in BBRY. I have no position right now. Thanks kindly.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
    • The Fly

      BBRY sported a -26% hybrid daily score today, meaning there is risk of downward momentum.

      • 0
      • 0
      • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  2. Crimedog

    What’s the score on QCOR? Think this break above 40 puts it in squeeze territory.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  3. Rick

    cool stuff dude… you’ve sold me on a lifetime sub

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  4. Yabollox

    3 hours of my life wasted at The Great Gatsby. Boring and pretentious movie.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  5. fifty2weekhi

    Surprised to see VIPS on the short squeeze list. Isn’t that one of the stocks that The Devil shorted? BTW, despite your cautious stance based on seasonality, you still went fully invested and upped your YTD return by, what, 7%? I don’t know how you did that but that’s darn amazing!! Congrats!

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  6. kelkun

    Love the choice of Volkswagen pic to head the article…the most epic short squeeze of all time.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  7. TeahouseOnTheTracks

    Can’t get back in … When I try to log in I get “select payment method.”

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  8. dominator

    great post!

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  9. JV

    Me thinks someone writes comments in house.

    Penthouse Forum anyone ?

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  10. mjolnir

    For Whoever It May Concern:
    “14 May 2013

    The supply shock created by a surge in North American oil production will be as transformative to the market over the next five years as was the rise of Chinese demand over the last 15, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its annual Medium-Term Oil Market Report (MTOMR) released today. The shift will not only cause oil companies to overhaul their global investment strategies, but also reshape the way oil is transported, stored and refined.”

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"