iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,433 Blog Posts

The Transportation Index Leads the Way

Please stop with the ever so coy Tranny/Transvestite references. It’s getting a bit old.

Anything that moves is going higher.

Trucking stocks are leading the session higher. Notable movers include KNX, ABFS, CNW, YRCW and WERN. Truck stocks like SWFT, NAV and PCAR are defying gravity. And of course the railroads are ripping higher, with movers in GBX, ARII and TRN.

I was eyeballing ABFS at $8 and of course missed out.

You ponder, are any of them still cheap and if so which ones?

Excellent question. Let’s run the sector through The PPT screener together, shall we?

First let’s look at Trucking.

Clearly there is a correlation between growth and share performance. Without having the luxury of news or research in front of me, it looks like QLTY is impaired somehow. That could either mean there is a great buying opportunity or the company is truly idiotic.  The safe bets are JBHT, FWRD and LSTR. If you want to take on more risk, I’d go with ABFS or QLTY.

First let me say I own a lot of NAV, so I am biased. The company is impaired and going through a transition, so the stock is on sale. As a matter of fact, the stock could triple in price and still be cheaper than most names on that list. The best all around plays, however, are WNC, OSK and SWFT. But SWFT is already up hugely today.

And now for the rails.

Once again, growth equates to superior share performance. Both ARII and RAIL are still cheap, and GBX is the cheapest, using traditional standards. The most levered company is TRN and CSX is the laggard. WAB seems to meet in the middle on most metrics and is likely your safest bet.

Keep in mind, this is quick research, using only data and figures to make assumptions. If you want to dig deeper, read some research notes and listen to at least two quarterly conference calls.

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18 comments

  1. Blind Read Ant

    $NUGT!

    (-%9 in two days!!!)

    Prudent entry in $8’s.

    Throw some caution to the wind.

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  2. Vertigo

    $WNC trying to penetrate $10 on big volume

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  3. Ashton Kutcher

    First I killed two and a half men by trying to replace Charlie Sheen and failing, now I’ve been killing AAPL and tarnishing the legay of Steve Jobs by playing him in the next movie….

    Moral is… the next time I play Charles Dow in a movie, go short!

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  4. Formerly DMG

    Why’d you get rid of the ‘page views’ counter?

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  5. No One

    Tim Cook should resign.

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  6. Joe

    MSFT hold or sell into earnings tonight? What you say?

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  7. No One

    Tell me you want to buy anything at these levels.

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  8. The Eye-Talian Stallion
    The Eye-Talian Stallion

    Talking about buying into the market at this level is quite strange.

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  9. The Fly

    To mock anyone buying stocks at all time highs simply do not know how the market works.

    Sure we can top out. But stocks at new highs, more often than not, continue to make new highs.

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  10. No One

    No chance MSFT did anything useful.

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  11. JTU

    I bought RIMM at the open today for 16.60 and sold at 18.01. That covered what I was down in AAPL today. Lucked out.

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  12. The Hoonster

    Decisions decisions! Never mind picking stocks – just pick TNA and its ilk.

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  13. Regsho

    Big day for VHC tomorrow?

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  14. TeahouseOnTheTracks

    If 1) the Trannys are right and the economy is recovering, 2) mfg is coming home (WHR, NSANY, etc) and 3) something can be read into HURC earnings and stock activity then the steel industry should be right behind.

    After all, if someone is buying machine tools for bending, cutting, stamping and processing metal then they are gonna need metal. And you can’t make metal w/o furnaces and those furnaces don’t run w/o graphite. So gentlemen and ladies, I picked up a nice value play for a Swing/LT play in GTI.

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