I just finished reading this crap, and I am appalled. Clearly, this fucker is talking his book, being short [[MVIS]] and all. What makes this article criminal, is the scurrilous rumors he is perpetrating on a low volume, micro-cap stock.
As some of you know, last year MVIS was “The Fly’s” largest position. I made lots of money in the name and, eventually, gave a lot of the gains back. Nonetheless, I have always found the CEO, Alexander Tokman, to be honest and responsible.
This hedge fund manager who says MVIS gave away the Pico projector market to TI is full of shit.
First of all, the big market is not for a stand alone projector, but embedded. Also, Microvision’s technology is far superior to TI’s. While it’s true, at some point this year, MVIS will probably need to raise capital. It’s also true, they will have no problem doing it.
As a matter of fact, I like the stock here, under $3, and will begin buying some. If you recall, when I got out of the stock, in late ’07, I said I’d get back in late ’08, or when the stock represented a decent value. At these levels, I believe the stock can bounce.
Bottom line: MVIS is a highly speculative play, with a rough balance sheet and has fierce competition. However, it is my belief, their technology in the cellphone projector space is dominant to TI’s and worth a shot, considering how big the market is.
Remember, there is no fucking way TI can put that LED crap inside a cellphone, without melting that fucker down. Lasers are the way to go.
NOTE: A colleague of mine spoke with the company and they feel the Seeking Alpha article is a “deliberate and malicious attack by a short seller.”
UPDATE: I just got a note: A special MVIS shareholder conference has been scheduled for 1pm eastern.
UPDATE II: The conference was sponsored by a banker, not the company. It went well. Basically, it was a fireside chat amongst shareholders, with a few bullet points with regards to how retarded the Seeking Alpha guy is. In addition, he mentioned the possibility of seeing several volume orders, prior to year end.
Bottom line: I like the stock here, under $3.
Comments »
June 15th, 2008 at 6:09 pm 1. I dont cheerlead – I analyze. My analysis is sometimes right and sometimes wrong- unlike your convicted “no chance†that XLF can rally.
2. I have been short financials for two years before going long.
3. I believe my spreadsheets on Citigroup are more accurate that Meredith Whitney’s. I did not “sneer†at her work.
4. I dont believe C will cut its dividend – rather cashflows (using reasonable assumptions) suggest that C can modestly RAISE its dividend in 2009 and 2010. By contrast Meredith thinks C will eliminate its dividend.
5. Your rationale against the banks seems to be totally based on technical analysis – which is not my approach (mine is fundamental).
6. Ad hominem attacks, like yours on myself and Cramer are inexcusable and show little class.
Doug Kass
Seabreeze Partners