Some Wanton Predictions

Some longer term ideas for you to peruse. Poor people really like predictions and you’d like them even more if I offered a hard number of them, such as “TOP 10.”

$UBER 10x from present value
$BTC to $100k and beyond
$NVDA to $1,000
$TSLA back to $1T market cap
Solana $SOL to $500
Oil to $125
Gold to 3,000
$HOOD to $50
$SQ to $200
Dollar to $00.00

The only moderate goal there is $NVDA. Then again, I’m long from the $100s and really don’t have expectations for much more other than $1000. All of my other convictions are somewhat open to interpretation. There isn’t any logical explanation that I can provide you for my $UBER prediction other than to suggest that I really like it. That’s one of the differences between a person, such as myself, and you. When behaving with hints of delusion, I’m keenly aware of it and do not pretend, unlike so many of you who call for $BTC to $1 billion and beyond based off feelings.

I will admit, however, should dollar reserve status be revoked and the dollar begin to tank in earnest, $BTC will go to $1 million and beyond.

Best case scenario I’m wrong and markets collapse by 95% and we can all get on with it, and then start over with people liking baseball again.

Until that day arrives, America is a very gay nation with designs of depravity interlocked with evil incarnate. We are trapped inside the beast and cannot do anything about it because we’re not strong enough yet.

You just had to be there to understand the level of precision I operated on today — bearing witness to Babe Ruth but in stocks. I closed the session +142bps, moving higher in the AH’s thanks to a grandiose move in $IMCC.

Look here old sport, there are two types of people in the world: those who place bets into forays on the move higher and those too feeble and timid to take a swing. Yours truly has a profound understanding of the art of money management, keenly aware, at all times, when certain algorithms are in sync with my trading style. Whatever is occurring in this tape now, it is tailor made for me.

I, once again, stand before you a champion amongst champions, pinned to recourd highs, smashing my enemies, both real and imagined, down to an atomic level of nothingness.

If you let down your suspicions and trade anything, any stock without bias, this is a rather hot trading tape. I am seeing strength in pot, AI, biotech and select solar names. Some of these stocks are down 20% for the session, but now showing resilience.

The bigger, more secure, strength is in oil drillers, gold, and other commodities.

I’m +90bps, at session highs, and need need to get back to trading now since I am locked in.

I’m afflicted with seasonal allergies this morning. As a result, I’m not trading much. I managed to pare down most of my positions and now only have basic materials.

Judging by performance and geopolitical events, as well as seasonality, I’m fairly confident there are legs left in the commodity run.

Markets look fine and were right up against record highs so there isn’t a problem with stocks in general. However, there has been some bleeding out in growth and I’d much prefer greater exposure to oils, gold, and metals at the present.

For the first time in weeks, I applied myself in trading. I didn’t trade from my phone or laptop and I didn’t study or read anything other than the screen. I completely ignored Mrs. Fly and her missives and looked into the screen and came out the other end +187bps. It’s very convenient that this happened. I might’ve tuned in and got bogged out — trading frenetically in a dour tape.

It felt like the olden days when my intuition was peaking and could not lose in a trade even if I tried. But it also made me think that I’ve lost something, and I only realized it after attaining it again. There is a certain and distinct fire that used to burn very hot and bright inside of me, younger Fly on Wall Street attempting to make it big on his own.

Having achieved success very young and gone through the crucibles of numerous hardships, as time worn on I moderated myself and even preached austerity. Gone are the days when risk was fucking on and in abundance. In recent years, I’ve accepted supreme gains of the mediocre varietal. What I mean by that is, +55% last year is a superb showing and I am very grateful for having achieved it. But it’s moderate in the big scheme of things, barely noteworthy and not the sort of performance you’d ever boast to anyone about. Sure, I once made 10x in an options scheme back in 2012 and I made 17x in my $ETH gambit a few years back — but it’s all isolated events with my money.

I used to do this professionally, bob and weave for the masses — your brokers broker — the guy whose desk was crowded for today’s picks. In a sense, via iBankCoin and to a limited degree on X — I am still him. But it’s not the same.

I closed 95% long with a strong bias for commodities, and a portfolio beta of 1.76, +15.5% year to date — never been higher.

I decided to “lock in” today, turn on the trading turret and really apply myself, as opposed to trading by phone whenever the urge persisted. As a result, so far, I am +71bps, in what could only be described as “superb” trading. I have core beliefs in day trading and much of it revolves around both price and volume movement. I will shill for Stocklabs, not only because it’s my company, but also because I built the tools necessary to trade and trade well inside of it.

The idea is to find stocks moving higher on a 1 min, 5 min, and 15 min scale, but doing so with volume. When lucky, you will identify a theme, a group of stocks moving in tandem, predictably, such as gold or bitcoin miners or AI stocks.

The simple fact of the matter is, a good trade doesn’t need the market to go up. A good trader makes more money on the way lower than up and a great trader is able to anticipate these moves in advance.

Into the final hours of trade, I am reticent to commit to being bullish or bearish but will tell you that I have zero shorts and I’m just scalping day trades here. The move higher in gold, however, is most impressive and given the danger of war with Iran — the oil trade is on the table.

The velocity of money is a real problem for anyone not living in the west. All of the worthless dollars we have sloshing around don’t afford much in America. If you head on over to Mexico or any other nation not in the west, average salary is still $500-750 per mo. The state of California just announced minimum wage of $20 p/h to take effect and Mexicans believe this is all the money in the world, until they try to live on such a wage. We have lots of money — but the value of the dollar doesn’t buy much here any more, unlike in Mexico.

It’s all part of the fractional banking system, which has taken the dollar and printed it infinitum in order to finance wars, bribes, and gambits. One of the gambits everyone here has benefitted from is the stock market. The true value of stocks is likely 80% lower. You’d find that out very quickly should the FOMC ever cease to exist and the velocity of money paused. There’d be a worldwide crisis, a shortage of dollars, and a subsequent deflationary vortex that would courrect prices to their rightful places.

I say this now, with stocks down 2% and commodities soaring. Both oil and gold represent hard work and effort and is assigned a value based on demand for them. People need oil to survive and people want gold because they fear what the end game is for the fractional banking system.

Luckily, or smartly, I’m allocated heavily into both and have gains of 6bps for the session, all but skipping out on the carnage so many of you are bedraggled in now. Rates are spiking and the price has of food, healthcare, college and anything else that cannot be outsourced is at record highs — because your dollars, as great as they are compared to other currencies, simply do not posses great buying power.

Best case scenario, the Fed is abolished and the Jimmy rigged system of Monopoly money ends, restoring true value to the dollar supported by assets. But you and I both know that is not going to happen and the only way to protect ourselves against the hidden inflation is to make more money, either at work or through investments.

I closed the session +26bps in highly astute, highly professional trading. I was in control from the morning and very rarely lost ground. It was one of those days bereft of any meaningful purpose and the sole job was to not blow out and up.

My focus into tomorrow is financials and materials with very little interest elsewhere. I gather we are in for some minor correction — all to do with spiking rates. I haven’t any hedges because I don’t think the sell off happens tomorrow. Nevertheless, a defensive portfolio is advisable.

Good afternoon —

Markets are soft with notable strength in gold/silver. The apprehension is of course in the bond market, where yields are flying again. The US 10yr is +13bps to 4.32%. Once again, we are barreling headlong into peak housing months with restrictive financing. How long can the US economy endure these yields before it CRACKS ASUNDER?

The presumption is forever. However, I suspect it’ll end when I get back into the business and am immediately entreated to broken elevator cable PIN ACTION with limited ways to hedge.

The bias you see today with rampaging higher commodity prices and soaring yields would suggest a renewal in inflation; but I believe the underlying issues are far more insidious.

At least in my head, I have big plans for April. I’m biased towards basic materials and really feel this is the breakout month. I’m also reticent to chase semis here, based on seasonal factors. And, lastly, BIG FAN of cryptos here. I made my monthly contribution to $SOL today. My basis is around $73.

The market is middling this morning but major breakouts in gold/silver and semis. The semis up the most seem to be the ones focused on AI. In between all of this bullishness is a maudlin tape with pathetic action in many a growth name.

Today is also new quant day. Once per month the quant account is re allocated based upon the Stocklabs algos, choosing the best stocks. The Quant formula is different from last year, with a more aggressive bent.

Into mid-afternoon I’m likely to remain long with heavy cash in trading, due to my reticence of chasing stuff unworthy.