Moody’s analytics is out with their ‘final’ assessment of this election season and have concluded that because oil prices are low and the people are head over heels in love with Barack Obama, Hillary God Damned Clinton will win the election — by a landslide — to become next president of these Unites Steaks.
Also, the non-biased, hard news fuckers at Reuters are predicting a 95% chance she’ll win — based on their most recent polling.
Clinton is forecast to pick up 332 Electoral College votes against 206 for Republican Donald Trump, Moody’s Analytics predicted on Tuesday in the final update of its model before Election Day on Nov. 8. That would match Obama’s margin of victory over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in 2012.
The Reuters-Ipsos States of the Nation project also predicts a Clinton win, with a 95 percent probability of her winning at least 278 electoral votes. A candidate needs to win at least 270 electoral votes to be elected president.
The Moody’s Analytics model is based on a combination of state-level economic conditions and political history, and has correctly called the outcome of each presidential election since Republican Ronald Reagan unseated Democrat Jimmy Carter in 1980.
Rather than focus on the individual candidates in a race, the model instead centers on whether current economic and political conditions favor the incumbent party in the White House. This year those factors point to Clinton becoming the 45th U.S. president.
The economic factors Moody’s measures include the two-year percentage changes in real personal income per household, as well as house and gasoline prices.
Moody’s does add one minor caveat to their robotic thinking.
Moody’s warns, however, that its model does not take into account any individual characteristics of specific candidates.
“Given the unusual nature of the 2016 election cycle to date, it is very possible that voters will react to changing economic and political conditions differently than they have in past election cycles, placing some risk in the model outcome, particularly state-by-state projections,” Moody’s analytics economist Dan White wrote in the report.
In other words, if Clinton should arrested and tossed into Guantanamo Bay prior to November the 8th, she might not win. Or, if any more of her criminality seeps into the voter consciousness, it’s very likely support for her candidacy might wane.
Frankly, I find it incredible that these news agencies are still publishing this garbage, in light of recent events — which are developing and getting worse with every day that passes.
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How much money did Moody’s take in rating dumpster fire MBS shit sandwiches as AAA?
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-last-mystery-of-the-financial-crisis-20130619
“we now know that the nation’s two top ratings companies, Moody’s and S&P, have for many years been shameless tools for the banks, willing to give just about anything a high rating in exchange for cash.”
If we could only read their emails.
It looks almost 50/50 to me. La Times has Trump at plus 3.6. There are rumors swirling that Hillary visted the Epstein pedophile island. We’ll see.
Ocare turned the tide. Thinking 65/35 but that does not mean they could still not steal it. There is a blow it all up vigilance on both sides. Crazy times.
Iron bird doesn’t understand how the electoral college works. Trump is a huge long shot.
Funny how no one here is discussing Trumps Russian server.
Talking about citizens with a pulse you moron. Dead and illegals not factored in.
The truth is, Trump could win the college and lose the popular vote. Very unlikely that Hillary could do that. The college favors Trump apparently.
Killary going tobe fisted by lezbo dikes in prison. Trump will have wu tang clan for inagral celebration. Weiner told them everything.
You mean the FBI debunked server?
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html?_r=1
https://theintercept.com/2016/11/01/heres-the-problem-with-the-story-connecting-russia-to-donald-trumps-email-server/
“F.B.I. officials spent weeks examining computer data showing an odd stream of activity to a Trump Organization server and Alfa Bank. Computer logs obtained by The New York Times show that two servers at Alfa Bank sent more than 2,700 “look-up” messages — a first step for one system’s computers to talk to another — to a Trump-connected server beginning in the spring. But the F.B.I. ultimately concluded that there could be an innocuous explanation, like a marketing email or spam, for the computer contacts.”
Nobody is talking about the server because A) its a fucking server, so what. B) Even the most liberal media outlets like Washington Post have deemed it a non-issue. Try reading a book Freebie.
I’m not saying the server thing is necessarily true but neither is 75% of the Clinton BS people are posting. And yea, the FBI clearly has a bias in this election.
Social media has elevated confirmation bias to the level of a brainwashing.
Good point on Ocare
http://www.anonews.co/fbi-clinton/
Stunning Twilight Zone eff you to the plebs. Do these fuckers even care that the rep will never come back for decades. They are all finished with citizens. Makes one wonder just how many illegals are really in the homeland.
At least 30 million illegals here is my guess. They probably have better vote turn out than us too.
If we tell them she’s going to win, maybe that will make them vote for her. Everyone wants to back a winner. Kinda like how the fed and the admin are always telling us the economy is doing well, hoping we’ll act as if it is.
Fucking amazing how th DNC tards can still act like killary has a chance. The Deep state turned on killary. She is now going be the sacrifcal lamb. Run away from her while you can.
Dont just look at one poll. Fivethirtyeight.com. You probably wont like what you see.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast
Its bullshit. Trump will win florida in landslide.
You don’t get it. Lol
It looks like there is a counter coup afoot, if true very interesting.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ov5kvWSz5LM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-9PVeDjZJo
jbran, see most recent post http://ibankcoin.com/zeropointnow/2016/11/01/ex-kissinger-state-dept-official-you-are-witnessing-a-counter-coup-assisted-by-julian-assange/
All this polling business is total nonsense. If you want to know who the winner will be hit the prediction markets. They’ve never been wrong in calling presidential elections.
http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0Z600D