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Wedbush Out With Note, Talking Extreme Shit About $NTDOY

It’s hard to take such a bad firm seriously. I mean, really, Wedbush Morgan is the Rodney Dangerfield of investment banks. You know it. I know it.

Their scatter brained skepticism on Nintendo and Pokemon Go are, generally, incomprehensible. We all knew that Nintendo had a partner and everyone knew the revenue split. What exactly is new here, other than valuation?

Wedbush is skeptical about the game’s staying power and economics with Nintendo booking only modest profits from Pokémon Go and likely struggling to achieve its FY:17 guidance given its bullish 3DS software expectations and the potential for NX to slip out of the year Niantic is the publisher of the game and likely pays The Pokémon Company a royalty for the underlying IP. In addition, mobile revenues are split 70% / 30% between the publisher and the applicable storefront. Assuming Nintendo owns 32% of Niantic, matching its stake in The Pokémon Company, they believe that in a best case scenario Nintendo would be entitled to 22.4% of revenues or profits (70% times 32%), and any benefit will likely show up in non-operating income.

I’m not a fan of buying into a 100% melt up. But I do recognize when something special takes hold of people. Pokemon Go is something Nintendo will profit from, immensely. The question is, how sustainable is the hype?

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3 comments

  1. helicopter ben

    How’s your furby collection doing fly, enough room in your house for that and tbe beanie babies?

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    • Dr. Fly

      Ha. I remember those things. Beanie babies went through a mini bubble period where prices soared for those things.

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  2. The Maven

    Is this Michael Pachter? Because he was the asshole who claimed Blockbuster would crush Netflix. He said it when NFLX was at $8, he said it at $100, he said it two years later. Complete fraud.

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