iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,431 Blog Posts

I Have Good News and Bad News

The good news is Exodus nailed yet another oversold signal, now registering an 84% win-rate over the past 36 months (seriously, I don’t know why I bother with you people). The bad news is I am losing money, nevertheless, because of stock specific circumstances.

Exodus

When investing in stocks, you cannot escape horrific draw-downs due to news events. It’s part of the territory. It is the reason why I am +27% for the year and also why I am down by 1.7% today.

I do not want to bore you with my problems or complain about issues that plague me today that will most likely vanish tomorrow. The most important thing that you can do for yourselves today is to take advantage of the free trials for Exodus this week. Whether you’re a believer in Le Fly or not, I promise you will love the tools and gadgets I built.

They’re for closers only.

Email me for access [email protected]

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26 comments

  1. duckkell

    Could really use that G good Doctor…

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  2. vandamme

    Explain again why you don’t just trade SPXU/L per the exodus os/ob algos? Your historical return would be better and at a fraction of the headaches caused by bad management teams (extra Dick)

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    • alty

      There’s lots of evidence that signal based trading of indices underperforms buy and hold. Yes even exodus signals. You need to be a stock picker with a time machine or a passive investor. Anything in between makes you a piker like the reader class here .

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  3. UncleBuccs

    How about a little Blood Sweat &Tears to make you want to punch my face in…? https://youtu.be/TPkVEi3Woy0

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  4. it is showtime

    In other news. Shak…

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  5. tradercaddy

    Being a history buff, I like to read an occasional old paper.
    I read the NY Times published 70 years ago and read an eerie story of a bomber crashing into the 79th floor of the Empire State Bldg. killing and injuring a number of people.
    Also, the Senate approved joining the United Nations ( better idea back then , I guess).
    And fun guy Hermann Goering had a heart attack because of lightening (scared of thunder says the story-p.19).
    http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3317984/posts

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  6. fifty2weekhi

    $WFM is another earnings bomb dropped this week 🙁

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  7. foreverzuul

    Sold my SPY calls today.

    Still have my TLT puts.

    Now we enter the several day long malaise period. Then we go back down. It’s just the way it works.

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  8. thegametheorist
    thegametheorist

    Fly – “I win a lot.”

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  9. og

    FB working hard just to stay flat AH.

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  10. longview

    What’s the sell rule in your PPT OBOS algorithmic trade plan? Why not start a model portfolio based on the rule and publish results regularly. That would silence detractors. It’s worked well for me, but I don’t have a disciplined sell rule.

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  11. nocigar

    So for the record, on 7/17 you said IWM was oversold. It closed that day at 125.72.
    http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2015/07/17/lets-recap-shall-we/

    Today it closed at 121.93.

    How exactly is that a “win”?

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    • Dr. Fly

      Dickhead

      IWM is not the overall market, but representative of the russell 2000. Moreover, it was never OS on our 12 month algos, only the 3 and 6.

      To that end, nothing is 100%. It missed the oversold and the system will adjust to the new stress points. That is the very basis of the system.

      Worst case scenario: you bought IWM and now are down 3% on it.

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      • nocigar

        1) Gentlemen don’t use terms like “dickhead”
        2) YOU chose IWM, (in your 7/17 post) not me.
        3) Exactly what measure are you using to support the “win” cited above? SPY is down 7/17 to today, as is QQQ and IWM.

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        • Dr. Fly

          The oversold signal registered Friday and Monday of this week. Where is SPY since then?

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      • wolfdaddy

        LOL – why do you even bother replying to him? at least it makes for fun reading!

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  12. sethster99

    So since you lost money, I don’t get my $1000 check? I needed that money to pay for my kid’s braces. he’s going to have crooked teeth for the rest of his life now…

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    • UncleBuccs

      sethster – Its likely you’ve passed your social skills on to him. Those teeth are destined to be knocked out, anyway….

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  13. lplongo

    I’m definitely interpreting that Exodus speedo gauge wrong if that is showing OS.

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  14. daluke

    Your interpretation means nothing! Just read the buy/sell posts a day after The Fly actually makes the trade. That’s why “he wins a lot.” He does have lots of readers/pikers/zombies here…

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  15. duckkell

    Soooooo..about that GRAND bruh??

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