iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,433 Blog Posts

Milquetoast With Coffee

I am going to buy several Apple iPads. Steve Jobs is an American hero and should be ARRESTED and executed by the clown-fuckers on capital hill, being that they’re into hating on success and all.

We have a bullshit market upon us, mixed with pending earnings from Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. [[GMCR]] . I’m holding my little GMCR position through earnings, AND MORE (until $100). Let me just say, I was exactly wrong on the steel stocks, so far. The raping of United States Steel Corporation [[X]] has been very viscous and oh so dramatic. Both Nucor Corporation [[NUE]] and POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] have dropped off a cliff, as of late. It was a call, a bad one so far. However, I’m not in the stock for 1-2 days. Should we get the recovery I think we will get, in 2010, steel stocks will rip to new highs. They are very volatile and not for people with weak arteries.

Secondly,  education stocks are ripping higher today, led by DeVry Inc. [[DV]] . This is a heavily bet against sector, with LOTS of upside and cheap valuations. I like Corinthian Colleges, Inc. [[COCO]] until $20.

Finally, there is something to be said about enduring multiple punches to the scrotum without fighting back. In hindsight, I should have shorted something, especially since I knew the decline was coming. You live and you learn. I do not want to compound my first error (not shorting)  by shorting here, at the low end of the range. Although there is a shot we break lower, in homofied fashion, odds are we bounce soon and hard.

NOTE: Most inverse ETF’s in The PPT are ranked the highest in history. Once again, this is usually a sign of a pending reversal, meaning: get long.

Here is a little rally cry song for you [[GMCR]] longs aka bilingual coffee lovers.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6PlB3zS-_00 616 500] If you enjoy the content at iBankCoin, please follow us on Twitter

197 comments

  1. xxxHuggieBearxxx

    They are not going to be satisfied until we have dipped 10% or more.

    They are out for blood.

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  2. chessNwine

    “Mr. Speaker, I yield back the balance of my coin.” -Third-tier short-selling bear of choice.

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  3. Jonooo

    Waiting to see those GMCR numbers. Its pretty clear the numbers will be good I believe but how will the stock react. I feel O’bama’s speech tonight will of course have a negative impact on the whole market tomorrow.

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    • hoffy

      Can GMCR hit 100 with pos. outlook…..??

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      • Jonooo

        I would LOVE that. But, very doubtful… even with good numbers I wouldnt be surprised to see a sell off anyway.

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      • chessNwine

        Yes. Small float. Big short position. Bullish flag on chart for the past month.

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      • Vegas Martin

        I don’t see how this stock doesn’t sell off after the run it’s had. The company does $0.25-0.36 earnings per quarter. Yea, yea, yea… growth, growth, growth. Can someone explain why AMZN and GMCR can trade at PEs north of 50, but GOOG and AAPL are held to PEs under 30?

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    • DSB

      They better knock the cover off the ball AND guide like a motherfucking seeing eye dog. Anything less would be uncivilized.

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      • hoffy

        I am going with an ISRG —reaction….too many shorts…….Come on k-cups

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        • DSB

          Everyone in medicine knows those Davinci machines are the bomb. You feel the same way about k cups?

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          • hoffy

            They seem to be an industry changer just like the davinci

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          • chessNwine

            Here’s what I posted in the PPT. “The idea that this stock is too extended is somewhat laughable to me given that it is essentially where it was at the mid-late October high. I think the market is still underestimating the fact that Keurig brewers are in less than 5% of households nationwide, and that number is significantly lower outside of the northeast. When you factor in the K-Cup recurring revenue streams and profit margins as The Fly mentioned before, I think this is, indeed, another AAPL in the making. “”

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          • hoffy

            Nice info…..DDRX is out here on the west coast and this is going to be a really good match….Management seems pretty smart too–wal-mart–costco and people shying away from starbucks to brew at home…???

            Should be interesting cc…..good luck all longs

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  4. wilmer

    I think this can go one of two ways: We can either go up, or, we can go down.

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  5. SlayingDragons

    TM is tempting with everyone overreacting about the stupid gas pedals

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    • Yogi & Boo Boo

      I take it you’ve never driven an automobile with a stuck throttle?

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      • Spooky

        Not by accident!;)

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      • SlayingDragons

        Don’t get me wrong, it’s a serious problem. So long as no more bad news comes out – the stock will get oversold in the near future.

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  6. The Fly

    Off to take my 13 yr old son to take his SAT’s. Like his Dad, he is a genius.

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    • DSB

      What’s with all this “good parent” shit? One day you’re taking the family to the water park, wearing fancy water shoes and getting kicked in the chest. Then you go to Disney, creating “good memories” and whatnot. Now you’re taking time out of managing tens of millions of dollars (est) to take your doogie houser kid to his SATs? This is NOT behaviour [sic] indicative of someone in your position, seur.

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    • SteveTheNeighbor

      Wouldn’t it be great if Fly, Jr. and Steve, Jr. attended Queensborough Community College together?
      They could use your yellow PT Cruiser to commute.

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      • TraderCaddy

        Forget college.
        Get him to turn pro in tennis and get with the endorsement $$ after he wins the US Open.

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    • JakeGint

      SAT’s? Pah!

      My 13-year old is putting the final touches on his Rhodes Scholar essays…

      ________

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  7. Yogi & Boo Boo

    Gotta love it. Whipsaw Wednesday.

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  8. tgarfield

    What’s funny (for me anyway) is that I sold my longs last week and went short after YOUR warning. Not the only reason but it certainly was one. I covered today and very slightly long.

    Market is usually UP before FMOC and then down after. This I believe is due to shorts covering going into it. Today was the opposite.

    Your post before christmas about the 10% January loss also made me think. Lower is coming but not until a great rebound from those who shorted today and yesterday covering at losses.

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    • Swinging for the fences
      Swinging for the fences

      I did the same on Fly’s warning and saved myself over 2% on the downside.

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  9. Steve

    Fly,

    What makes you think GMCR will go up with strong earnings when GOOG, GS, , NUE, etc all beat expectations and were sold off?

    Steve

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    • mrsbuttons

      mr fly you are not wrong on the steel stocks – I have been buying and adding to my PKX core – also added to PUDA….

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  10. The Fly

    True. But none of those companies sell coffee.

    QED

    Anyway, I have a 20 point cushion. I am not buying here.

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  11. SlayingDragons

    FLY – AKS

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  12. henryfool

    Watch close on PEIX.

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  13. Kenshiro

    Best wishes to Le Fly from the snowy north.

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  14. jg

    ahem spelling.

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  15. AI

    out of your steel choices AKS was the best thats what I am in……

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  16. robert

    is there a setting so that the new streaming video will not run automatically? thanks.

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  17. Purdy

    Punish Success? WTFAYS?

    The successful were punished when those assholes bailed out your NY banker-buddies. The assets of those banks should have been sold the competent fools who planned for the meltdown. Aflac/Buffet should be running AIG’s insurance business and the many regional banks that didn’t deal in shit should have taken over the assets of the crooked bankers that you defend.

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  18. Cuervo's Laugh

    I applaud your choice of musica for this post.
    Oh that it would rain coffee indeed.

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  19. Helicopter Ben Rules!
    Helicopter Ben Rules!

    Key reversal day to the upside today… Tomorrow should be up big!

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  20. Mr. President

    Fabulous:

    “During fiscal 2010’s first quarter, 650 million K-Cup® portion packs were shipped system-wide by all Keurig licensed roasters, up 82% over the year-ago quarter. Supporting continued growth in K-Cup demand, there were 1,466,000 Keurig brewers shipped during the first quarter of fiscal 2010 compared to 711,000 shipped during the first quarter of fiscal 2009.”

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    • hoffy

      The goog of coffee….THis thing is going higher —-seems like its about to pop?

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      • Jonooo

        The report and numbers are much better than the stock movement is saying. GMCR is blowing up. I was pretty certain the stock wouldnt shoot up AH though.

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        • hoffy

          This was huge have a bunch of Mar 100 and 95 calls……Big short cover tomorrow maybe…..

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  21. Mr. Limm

    Wot da fluck wit dah clazy moosics rate-ree?

    I you goin’ to pray moosics dat not in Engrish, at REAST make dem in MANDALIN!

    ______________

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  22. slim

    Stop it with the scrotum punching… Liitle too close to home. Where’s my ice pack?

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  23. Speculation

    Healthcare seemed to finish strong today.

    http://bit.ly/bmjSUZ

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  24. OldA

    We’ll be up tomorrow, not because of today’s reversal, but because it is mark-up day (the second to last day of the month), and all of the big risk events for the week have past (Apple, Geitner hearing, Fed meeting, Obama State of Union)…while the last event being Bernanke vote is still coming, it was apparent on Monday that he would be confirmed. I still think there is more downside, possibly a lot more, but I could see the Qs rally to 45.50 first. Best day to reshort is probably next Monday afternoon/Tuesday morning.

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    • Purdy

      Mkt will not go up tomorrow unless Obama publicly genuflects to the Master Bankers tonight; this seems unlikely.

      GS robots will only permit a rally after our gov’t surrenders – – only after the confirmation of Bernanke will we pop. The message being “By not fucking with us and the status quo that we have engineered, we will permit your 401Ks to prosper.”

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  25. DSB

    That’s some solid tradable info grandpa. Weren’t you telling us yesterday not to listen to advice over the internet?

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    • OldA

      And what’s your advice buttwad? I never seem to hear any from you…and I’m up 30% YTD, so you better listen or else you’re going to have to move back to your Mother’s house.

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      • DSB

        You’re up 30% on what, total men satisfied YTD?

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        • OldA

          Still waiting for your market call, or stock picks…oh sorry, your Mom hasn’t opened an account for you yet…you’re just a blog leech…go back to playing your Wii.

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        • DPeezy

          I don’t know ’bout anything else, but that was fucking hilarious.
          Total men satisfied – still laughing, ovah heah.
          I award you +100 internets, DSB.

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        • Teahouse On the Tracks
          Teahouse On the Tracks

          Punk … but still funny, hahaha!

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  26. TraderCaddy

    iPad or MaxiPad?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YFNQE_TzQNI&feature=player_embedded

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  27. Jack Sparrow

    When will Jobs announce the iPatch? AAARRRGGGHHH!

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  28. dave

    The credit crisis is over. I’ve gotten 0% for 12 month balance transfer offers from BAC, COF, and Chase this month.

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    • TraderCaddy

      Read the small print. Usually they will charge at least a 3% transaction fee on the transfer plus other goodies.

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      • MX2101

        Yes definitely read the fine print. If credit score is changed this could produce an unintended result.

        I am Mr. Deleverage now. Recent phone call regarding cancellation of a $21 monthly service.
        Agent: “I’m sorry you are choosing to leave us, could I offer you a $ 3.95 a month rate to stay?”
        Me: “No”
        Agent is silent for several long seconds…

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  29. The Haj

    If you are a U2 fan like me, check this plumber from Norway out.. he won Norwegian Idol. Amazing! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qoE3ZL9vnos. Oh yeah, and PEIX will rock tomorrow.

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  30. Alvari40

    This type of IPad would be a hit.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YFNQE_TzQNI

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  31. jetpak

    GRCM is having its year… The business model of roasting coffee is to buy green beans for under $2.00 lb. Call them a bunch of different whacky politically correct names according to how much the beans were roasted. Then sell them for $10.00 lb or $2.00 a cup. Competition is crazy because it is easy and profitable. I see GRCM as a train I missed.

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    • JakeGint

      Next time, get the ticker right and you might have better luck.

      Sounds like you went home w. a Gremlin instead.

      _____________

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  32. Teahouse On the Tracks
    Teahouse On the Tracks

    Up wave should carry us to 1116 +/- per OEW:

    “Wave 4 appears to have ended at SPX 1104 yesterday, and wave 5 was underway. After hitting SPX 1085 the market drifted along until the FOMC statement. A quick spike lower to SPX 1083, still within the OEW 1090 pivot range, appeared to have ended wave 5 and with it Intermediate wave one. Especially, after the market became sufficiently oversold and positive divergences appeared at the lows. The volatility of a FOMC announcement continued as the market immediately spiked up to a new high for the day. To confirm that Intermediate wave one has concluded the market needs to rally above the OEW 1107 pivot. This may not occur too quickly since FOMC volatility usually lasts into the day after the announcement. Should this market continue to unfold as anticipated. Intermediate wave two should take the form of an ABC counter trend rally, and retrace about 50% of Intermediate wave one to SPX 1116 or higher. When it gets sufficently overbought Intermediate wave three should then begin.”

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    • Alvari40

      Seriously? Simplify – buy market and select stocks when market is above 50ema. Go flat when below 50 ema.

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    • hokum

      It if it works for you, trade it.

      Looks like hokum to me:

      appears, appeared, appeared, needs, may not, usually, should, as anticipated, should, when, should

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  33. Alvari40

    Is it me or are all of the intraday charts a fucking jumbled mess at this point? I am looking for patterns and I have candlesticks flying all over the place. No sense of organization over the past week or so. Maybe I should stop drinking.

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    • Teahouse On the Tracks
      Teahouse On the Tracks

      Or just buy stocks based on wave movements in conjunction with MA’s but Danny says that MA’s aren’t working so at least I have something to use as a tool along with trend lines …

      FYI: This is the start of Intermediate wave2 (ABC upleg) and the next intermediate leg down (wave3) is usually the largest of the five so I’d rather be out early than caught with by longs up

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  34. arch

    can we keep the shoe throwing to a minimum while the chosen one has audience with you ????

    thank you

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  35. Alvari40

    Go long index futures tonight – Oshamalamadingdong broke his piggy bank open tonight.

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  36. The Fly

    Lol at spending freeze. That fucker is spending tarp funds. Where’s brother Jake? Get me some gold picks asap

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    • Alvari40

      Get some nuclear pics too.

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    • JakeGint

      They will likely try to take gold down in the near term to prevent the “crowded train station” effect.

      When fuckers are huddled behind the newsstand, subtly eyeing Rahib’s porn offerings in the right hand corner, that train will silently leave the station.

      Note the number of “about to fold”-ers on my site tonight.

      One more hard shake ought to do it. I’m readying my barbed wire underpants.

      ___________________

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  37. No One

    “We only reward success”
    Oh the irony.

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  38. The Fly

    Free college for all!! I am glad to be long coco. O is going all in with retardonomics. Love it.

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  39. The Fly

    Pelosi is mentally impaired. Look at her crazy face.

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  40. The Fly

    Dan Marino and ntri can get rid of fat kids: why burden the first lady?

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  41. Jonoooo

    already found $20bn in savings! lol that was easy

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  42. Speculation

    I was reading tonight on Dan Zanger’s website about his own oscillator. Once his oscillator turns, then it will usually get to the other extreme. I noticed this same thing with the McClellan Oscillator. The same thing goes with the % stocks moving above 50 day ma. All of these charts have worked well these last 3 years to predict pivots in the market. Nothing else out there seems to work as well. They will keep working until the blogosphere figures they are there on the stockcharts website. When they stop working, then I will stop using them.

    So the pivot point is now.

    Here is the free summary that Zanger provides at AIQ each night.
    http://danzanger.aiqsystems.com/chartpattern.html

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  43. Alvari40

    USU: Supplies LEU for Nuclear commercial power plants worldwide. Profitable. 11.4% short interest.

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  44. Alvari40

    ES +5.75
    NQ +6.50

    Buy shit

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  45. Alvari40

    I figured it out. These assholes bubble the fuck out of the economy only to have it pop for the next prez. Party for the next 3 years!!! wooooohoooooo

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  46. Alvari40

    Got my post SOU stock pics: GE/USU on the nuclear side, and COCO/APOL on the education side.

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  47. hoffy

    Fly –Can you comment on the GMCR earnings –these guys r legit……

    Can shorts manipulate this thing anymore?

    Thanks for the info…..I give these Keurigs out to new homeowners’ after every purchase loan I close….They love it and my referrals are blowing up…..!!!

    Thanks again for sharing this wonderful company….

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  48. The Fly

    Obama is a master orator

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    • Alvari40

      Drove it home with “I don’t quit”…

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    • dave

      …… because reading a speech someone else has written from a teleprompter is soooooo difficult.

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    • Generational BOTTOM Picker
      Generational BOTTOM Picker

      What a Dumfuk he is. Gives his lefties “Don’t ask, don’t tell”.
      Which alienates them further from the mainstream.

      He should have said “I’ll give you “don’t ask don’t tell”! DON’T ask for more
      fuckin’ money for our Department of Attack, and don’t tell ME that the
      fuckin’ military is doing ANYTHING except running us broke”

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    • LiquidAsset

      Hitler was a master orator as well.

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      • Alvari40

        What is your point?

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        • JakeGint

          The point is — irony.

          Irony that for eight years the moonbats screeched about Bush being a “puppet” when there’s never been a more sterling example of an empty suit than Teleprompter Barry.

          I can’t wait until the puppeteers abandon this flake. Who will write his teleprompts then?

          _____________

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          • Alvari40

            First – he mentioned Hitler, not Bush. Second – are you telling me that Presidents typically do not use teleprompters and that Oshamalamadingdong is a fraud because he does? Please. I have yet to understand why the red-meat-right always bashes Oshama on this issue. It is a laughable point……..ahem, with all due respect.

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          • JakeGint

            It’s only laughable in contrast to him on the floor in its absence.

            An actor without his lines. Hence the puppetry aspect.

            ___________

            I mean… a teleprompter in a room full of sixth graders? The crutch is that necessary?

            ________

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          • Alvari40

            C’mon Jake. You cannot possibly be so annoyed with this guy being president that you make the use of the teleprompter a serious issue. I ask you again, are you saying that past Prezs don’t use a teleprompter and that this guy is a fraud because he does. I am not gonna defend him or why he uses a teleprompter – I am just bewildered by people who despise this guy so much grab on to this issue and address it like it really means something. This is one of those tea-bagger issues that get other Oshamalama haters that know nothing about the issues to say “yeah, that’s right – he reads his speeches. He is a robot and puppet of the puppeteers. Cut the strings! Cut the strings!…..” Dude, I have never seen you as a common tea-bagger.

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          • JakeGint

            Don’t be a rube, Lungsack. And cut with the cheap homosexual reference you libs love to cling to with regard to the Tea Partiers, — your partisanship is showing.

            Nothing has been a bigger meme for the supporters of this asshat than the alleged intelligence factor, especially in contrast to the alleged dumbass, George Bush, who — no– did not need to crutch around with the TOTUS to the extent this empty suit has.

            And yes, the sixth grader speech where he needed the TOTUS was exceptionally, unprecedentedly, lame.

            Remember “The Hungry Little Caterpillar” scenario that was an extended lib harp? At least “dummy Bush” didn’t need his TOTUS for that.

            _______________

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          • Alvari40

            You will never find me registered under either party. Haven’t been affiliated with either since I walked away from the Republican party prior to Regan’s second term because I believed that he was one wacked fuck – and still do. But that is another story.

            You would probably feel better if you got past the fact that your party lost over 1 year ago (your partisanship doesn’t just show – it slaps everyone in the face – but that’s the way you tea baggers do it.). Believe me, if your girl was VP right now, you would be screaming for everyone to get over the fact that that stupid bitch continuously accused Oshamaladingdong of being a terrorist. You would say that it was just election time tactics and now is the time to accept defeat and get on. Well, get on. You really need to get over the fact that your party lost. These nonsensical issues that piss tea baggers off really showing your party’s ignorance.

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          • JakeGint

            Again, Lungsac, your sob story would carry far more credibility if you did not use the Keith Olbermann/Rachel Madow preferred homosexual reference to your fellow citizens involved in the Tea Party movement.

            I wish I had the time for that stuff, btw, but “god bless” I say. Obviously, you’ve got a problem with first amendment speech, like many lefties (your POTUS, tonight, for example).

            I don’t care how much of a rebel hero you believe yourself, but do me a favor and don’t bullshit the bullshitter. I’ve got a pretty decent nose for it, being from Noo Yawk and all.

            Believe it, you California bullshitters are rank amateurs in comparison.

            Here now, what are you doing on this blog? There’s probably some Chris Matthews’ college outreach tour you can still get catch the last half hour of if you run….

            _______________

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          • Purdy

            Your Obama Derangement Syndrome has you comparing Obama with Bush and finding Obama to be less of a writer/speaker than Bush – – Obama has written more books than GWB has read for chrissakes.

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          • JakeGint

            Please, I know your BDS radar goes up when anyone questions the subject of Bush’s relative stupidity, but you can stop making excuses for your POTUS right now.

            Obama’s narcissitic self-hagiographies were written by activist mentor Billy Ayers.

            Why is it Obama won’t release his college records when even dumb ole Bush and even dumber Kerry and Gore released their’s?

            I mean, could he really have done worse than Al Gore’s D- in Religion for goodness sakes?

            ____________

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          • The Shocker

            What’s even more laughable is that I used to think traders who made regular $$ were smart. Now I know better. Most of you dumb fuckers don’t hesitate to point your lazy finger and regurgitate the words of your favorite paid-for TV hero when it comes to becoming instant experts in hunting down and identifying truth from fiction.

            Anyone stupid dumb fucker could have figured out that when most presidential candidates are members of the same fucking pro-communist thinktanks, that something was wrong with the media claiming over and over that there is some kind of fucking difference between Dem and Repub.

            Any dumb fucker could have figured out that when the largest investment firms in the world are backing a presidential candidate, that candidate does not represent the people.

            But you stupid fuckers go on and on and point your lazy stupid fingers at people who show you the fucking way, every step of the way. But all yu can seem to fucking muster is — gee, that smells like a conspiracy theory, so it must be one. As if you’re worried about your fucking hair or something.

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      • Teahouse On the Tracks
        Teahouse On the Tracks

        Hitler finds out Scott Brown won MA senate seat:

        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c4aQCiRjvZY

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        • JakeGint

          I had that on the blog the other night. Shit never gets old does it? 😉

          _________

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          • Teahouse On the Tracks
            Teahouse On the Tracks

            Funny shit .. sorry for the repost, guess I missed it on your blog, don’t know how as I read most of your stuff but worth another laugh for those that saw it already and those who missed it.

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    • Vegas Martin

      Dow futures moved from 19 right before the speech to 61 right after the speech. That’s pretty cool.

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  49. Generational BOTTOM Picker
    Generational BOTTOM Picker

    The fuckin’ arrangement of this site BLOWS. What happened to the listing of older
    posts (in order) by the Fly? The fuckin’ Technical Manager of Google could not
    navigate around here!

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  50. The Fly

    Oh look, we have another president. This one is from the south. The south is rising, again

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  51. Alvari40

    A bit too lispy for me – not that there is anything wrong with that….just ask Oshamalamadingdong.

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    • StratG

      Never fuck with JakeGint. Now put your ass back on and give up!

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      • Alvari40

        With all due respect to you and Jake – and I do respect Jake (however, I am up for a got jabbing every now and then). Seriously – read what he said – understand his words. The nonesense was obviously fueled by consumption of some late night magic.

        Really, all I got was “leftie, liberal, CNBC” shit from him with some wink, wink comments that made no sense. Don’t bullshit a bullshitter? My sob story would carry more credibility? I have a problem with first amendment speech? Really? You think he got me with those comments – lol. You see, that is what is wrong with the vast majority of people. They pick sides and then say “see – he got ya” without ever really understanding what the fuck was said. I have a friend from Virginia and he talks that way all the time, but it usually is after his alcohol consumption has exceeded logical limits. However, if you believe he got me and I should put my ass back on – well, ok. Damn, I wish I was smart and wise enough to see it.

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        • JakeGint

          Listen dipshit, you messed your pants with your first Rachel Madow/Keith Olbermann-copywrited “teabagger” reference, and then you continued on, digging yourself to China.

          If you don’t want to be seen as a clinically insane Dem Underground asshat, try not to use their moonbat terminology in intelligent company.

          You are fooling no one.

          __________

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          • Alvari40

            Jake,

            WTF are you talking about. I am not trying to fool anyone. Here are the facts: (1) I believe the Tea Baggers are 90% wack – that is why I call them tea baggers, (2) I watch Fox, CNBC and CNN FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, (3) I watched the prez last night on C-Span, (4) I am an independent that takes what either side says with a friggin grain of salt, (5) I don’t get worked up- when a party I favor doesn’t win, (6) I consider myself to be fairly straightforward with my opinions and do not talk in code or cicles or use winks to gain outside support, (7) I try to not use stereotypes when debating others.

            Look Jake, a typical conservative resorts to personal attacks and in your face yelling when they have run out of constructive things to say. It is usually because they know that they can shout down Liberals, the libs wont do anything about it, and it makes them feel powerful. But know this, I was raised by a man that was in Patton’s Third and took no shit from his 6 kids. I reject the vast majority of how he raised us. But one thing I accept is to NEVER back down regardless how respected the attacker – especially with childish personal attacks. So…. FUCK YOU Jake. Bring it on Bitch.

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          • TMoe

            a typical conservative resorts to personal attacks and in your face yelling when they have run out of constructive things to say —

            That sir is the trait of liberals

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          • Alvari40

            We could debate that point.

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          • Purdy

            WTF are you smoking? Were you asleep during 7 years of GWB admin attacks on the patriotism, orientation, etc. of the “people who hate America” because they opposed the Iraq fiasco?

            Your post is particularly stupid in that is was made in a thread where you are kissing the ass of this site’s resident insulter (Jake) after he just got done calling another poster with a different opinion a “dipshit”.

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          • JakeGint

            Only in response to similar insult from said dipshit.

            Attacks on patriotism? Are you kidding? You fool liberals strutted about claiming dissent was the highest form of patriotism.

            Just because we laughed at you doesn’t mean you were imprisoned or anything.

            As for First Amendment issues, it seems its you Libs who’ve been howling about the recent Supreme decision (finally) reaffirming “Congress shall make no law… abridging the freedom of speech.”

            _______

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          • Alvari40

            Purdy,

            It doesn’t need to make sense to them. It only needs to be loud and in your face. Makes them feel that they are being true patriots.

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          • JakeGint

            LOL. Yeah, you’ve made a lot of sense screeching “teabagger” and other erudite comments.

            Swear off teevee. Small steps…

            _____________

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          • JakeGint

            Patton’s Third Army dude would slap you for using Olbermannic references like “teabagging” in contempt of your fellow citizens, no matter how “wack” you feel they may be.

            Bring what on? I’ve already asked you how you countenance calling socialist window breaking “American Economic Policy,” and got “crickets” as a response, save for some bluster about how “conservatives” tend to burn you to the ground every time you make stupid statements.

            And how you resent all that, and it drives you to Olbermannic ends, all much to your chagrin no doubt.

            Less personal stories, more factual analysis. I’d start by turning off the teevee and cracking a book or three.

            ____________

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          • Alvari40

            You win Jake.

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          • DMG

            unnecessary comment

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          • Alvari40

            I reserve the right to retort a bit later. I need to catch a flight to So Cal to get some work done today.

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  52. JakeGint

    Where’s T-Moe? Remember our discussion of Bastiat tonight? Well , in re the SOTU:

    (Instapundit mentioned) … a CATO link that mentioned Bastiat, but do you realize exactly how precisely delicious that observation is? In extolling the virtues of the stimulus, President Obama cited several small businesses, including a “window repair company” (lol! — ed.) in Philadelphia.

    Having read Bastiat’s influential “That Which Is Seen & That Which Is Not Seen: The Unintended Consequences of Government Spending,” I don’t think he could have chosen more poorly (or perhaps more aptly?). The opening vignette of Bastiat’s seminal work, which demolishes the notion that government spending stimulates anything, is subtitled, “The Broken Window.” It explains that paying to repair broken windows doesn’t help the economy at large because the money used to pay for the repair is money that can’t be used to buy a shirt or to do whatever else the private citizen may be inclined to do with his money.

    Has nobody in the administration’s speech-writing team ever read basic economics? Never mind. I think I know the answer to that.

    ___________

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    • TMoe

      Nice work digging that up.
      No one and I mean no one in the Government is against more government spending. they are all Keynesians.

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    • StratG

      Are you referring to the book by Thomas Sowell ‘Basic Economics’ must read for Friedman loyalists.
      They reject the concept.

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      • JakeGint

        Which concept? Bastiat’s Broken Window postulate?

        ____________

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        • Alvari40

          Nice how you would try and use a French Liberal Economist to invalidate American economic practice. Guy never worked a day in his life.

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          • TMoe

            Maybe not, but has Bernanke and Tim Geithner work a day in the real world?

            I take you believe in the Keynesian bullshit of spending and stimulus

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          • JakeGint

            Like most moonbats, you fail to recognize the difference between a 19th century “liberal” and what passes for a “liberal” today.

            Get with the program, even Rachel has dropped the word they’ve ruined and started calling herself a “progressive.”

            And what pray tell is Bastiat “invalidating” with regard to American “economic practice?”

            Don’t be distracted by the crackling noises, that’s just me getting the popcorn ready.

            ________

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          • TMoe

            Correct- Today’s liberalism is a mental disorder!!! To prove it just look or listen to Peolsi. She is a psychopath that will destroy this nation

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        • StratG

          Sorry, They reject Capitalism. They somehow see a sustainable smooth running economy and with 100% government jobs

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          • JakeGint

            Don’t knock it… it worked for a good three years or so in the Soviet Union. All they need is media help to keep that ball rolling another… what? 70 or so years?

            ________

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          • TMoe

            100% Government jobs — That sir is Communism
            It’s where the BHO looks to lead the sheeple into thinking that it is the best path. In their eyes the people are all stupid and the government knows better than all. All the old men in empty suits in Congress should be tared and feathered. Old school style. Thats exactly what would have happened if a crisis like this one would have happened in the 1700’s or 1800’s. Tar and feathered starting with Barney Frank’s gay ass. Next goes Peolsi then Reid. followed by Snow and Collins

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          • Alvari40

            End of Days Paranoid Bullshit.

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          • StratG

            You don’t even know what paranoid means if you don’t think we are under assault here.
            Do you read the news? Do you know what the terms mean?
            China is becoming more capitalist than we are on a relative scale.

            Study up or shut up.

            Short NFLX @63

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          • Alvari40

            You just proved my point.

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      • TMoe

        No not referring to that book. Referring to Bastiat’s work. The book ‘ Economics in One Lesson’ is a must read for all of those who are duped by the government statistics and lies.

        On Friday, the government releases its initial reading on fourth-quarter gross domestic product. The GDP number, which measures the entire country’s economic output, likely rose at an annualized rate of 4.5 percent during the final three months of 2009

        These numbers are nothing more than guesstimates that are biased and flawed. The BEA comes up with three estimates of growth, a high, low, and most likely. The numbers then get re-massaged so that the reported growth rate is moved closer to whatever the economic consensus is expecting. There actually is a belief at the BEA that there is some value to economic consensus estimates. What a joke. IMO reporting of real GDP growth at present is overstated by roughly three percent per year

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        • Generational BOTTOM Picker
          Generational BOTTOM Picker

          Explain why COMMUNIST CHINA is so economically successful, Dipshitz.

          They OWN America’s ass.

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          • JakeGint

            No, they are owed about a trillion dollars.

            How does one collect on such a payment?

            Better question — what does the creditor due when it doesn’t feel like paying the tab anymore?

            China is, at best, “mercantalist.” Check your history books to figure out what kept mercantalism going.

            (Hint– they are going to need a bigger boat)

            _________

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          • StratG

            That is why we are safe in the short term. They need up to keep us going if they want to get their return. They are probably looking at these current clowns with trepidation.

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  53. Mr. President

    I’m holding a decent amount of SD at $9.97…this is so tempting today, to buy more…I am anticipating buying another 1/2 position. I want it lower, though. Low 8’s is what I’m after. If you can average somewhere in the 8’s in this stock, and just put it away for a time (months, maybe a year or two), nat gas will rebound and you will double or triple what you paid. Just saying.

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  54. mrkcbill

    IPAD for the win…..I’d say this going to be
    monumental game changer. Buyer

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    • JakeGint

      Your irony is getting “razor subtle” these days, Mr. KC.

      Kudos.

      _________

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      • mrkcbill

        Had to sleep on it… Uncle Fucker

        I’m in publishing….I think this little DooHickey could finally make me some coin in the field.

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  55. StratG

    NFLX short covered. That was scary. Shorts got squeezed on huge gap up.made a nice inter-day head and shoulder.

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  56. Doc

    Kudos Fly, second post in a row with over 100 comments. This blog is worth at least 10 billion dot com dollars.

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  57. No One

    LEAP moving finally.
    About time.

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  58. TheArtist

    another lovely day…

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  59. The Shocker

    The steel stocks you called was bullshit from the get-go. A little TA and I backed out of that one before hitting the buy button. Glad you recognize your fuckup. Don’t do it again.

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    • Sebaco

      Thought the Fly called for a 5% market decline too, before the march higher resumed. Plus, there was a warning his trades shouldn’t be followed and his holding period shouldn’t be measured in hours. In other words, f’ck off.

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  60. mhass33

    And the time to short approaches…

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  61. Purdy

    A decent bounce will be permitted only after the vote for the supplier of free money to the big banks (Bernanke) is secure.

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  62. dumas

    Fly? Certainly you are preparing an epic post? I can’t wait to read it.

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  63. Mr. President

    Geez…how frickin’ oversold can China get????

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  64. JakeGint

    SPY Gap fill at 107.38

    _________

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  65. billy

    crawl out of your hole fly. Buy APPL and GMCR.
    What about FTK at these levels?

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  66. JakeGint

    LoL. These guys are quick!

    _________

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  67. TheArtist

    what’s for lunch?

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  68. Speculation

    The $VIX is in a descending triangle meaning there is a 64% chance that it will break to the downside according to Bulkowski.

    The difference between the USA and China is that the USA has to loosen its policies in order for it to grow…China has to tighten its policies to keep it from growing too much.

    http://bit.ly/aJGFQM

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  69. sniper6

    will those iPads be maxi’s, or mini’s??????

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  70. FIG

    I have a sense this sell-off is for real now. I am shorting on any bounce now considering that this sell-off has been deep and has lasted for 2 weeks. My issue is now figuring out how to avoid getting fucked by my broker and the government in my attempt to profit from the destruction of this bullshit country. I have been searching for ways to avoid getting screwed by excessive margin requirements, bullshit options games, and inverse leveraged ETF decay. I have come to a conclusion that SDS matches 2x inverse S&P500 very well. So, I will be using this etf as my investment vehicle for getting through this bs. BTW, I have a feeling Bernanke may not get approved. Not sure what the rest of you think, but I have a bad feeling about it….

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  71. DSB

    Bot QLD @ 53.20

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  72. Doc

    The Fly did warn you…fuckers…

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  73. TheArtist

    for history buffs…
    and I will say this just this once more, we could be at the same place in time as folks were in April of 1930.

    just saying.

    earnings are very wide across all spaces, some good, some horrible, some so-so, some great, but for the most part they are less than anticipated. It all started with Alcoa, I sold my AA the morning after earnings, it hit 17.60 the day of earnings, traded below 16.00 the next day, it now is 12.70.

    bottom? or more to fall?

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    • FIG

      I shorted AA on the day of earnings. And profited nicely. I didn’t expect it to be the top of the market like it has proven to be however. Now that we have been continuing the downtrend, I am getting all short on bounces. This market is toast people. There is no bounce happening here, and that bodes poorly for this thing over the next several months.

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  74. JakeGint

    Hey, Fly — the survey questions #32-36 and #39 are dupes.

    ________

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  75. FIG

    holy crap, QCOM!!!! What the f….. I am buying that shit here, that is complete bs!!!!!

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  76. No One

    I-pad was invented 3 years ago
    Check it out
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YFNQE_TzQNI

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  77. StratG

    Its true Obama is pushing a spending hold as long as they increase the debt ceiling by $1.9T.
    Saturday night live = real life here
    This is real change. He has lapped Bush a couple of times!

    http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D9DGSHEO0&show_article=1

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  78. Purdy

    Sen. Levin caved – hence the little rally.

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    • dumas

      Probably a fake out. It will end as soon as someone from the gov starts talking again.

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