iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,433 Blog Posts

The Crash Has Been Postponed

Good thing I gave my longs “an hour or two.”

The market is on the verge of recovering from a pretty big intra-day hole. However, don’t get all happy and shit. There are many, many stocks down big today, unable to get off the mat.

At a minimum, I will avoid torturing myself through buying more [[FXP]] . And, I will look to sell off some longs into strength. I have to take a position, one way or another.

Either I bet on a fucking meltdown or some sort of disingenuous Thanksgiving rally. At the present, I am in no mood to bet on anything. So, for now, I’ll just hang out, roaming around my office, all neutral and shit—white robed and fully sandaled.

Top long pick: National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. [[NOV]]
Top short pick
: [[EEV]]

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59 comments

  1. Small Fry

    Can I get an upside, hold the relish?

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  2. Itchy & Scratchy

    Don’t forget the bowl of grapes and the scantily clad attendant fanning you with a palm frond.

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  3. Pete

    Welcoem to the team. I know most of us dont want to take part of being short or long. Everytime we short, we get hit with 300 point rally. Everrytime we buy its a 10% loss on investment. And the inverses dont seem to work lol.

    Nothing works. This market owns everyone.

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  4. The Fly

    When do we get to take over the streets, string up CEO’s who fleeced shareholders and give them the guillotine, like the French Revolution?

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  5. Juice

    X-mas 2009

    that will be the prevailing x-mas spirit of O-nine … if it works out well, it may carry over to O-ten

    guillotines will be the new cabbage patch doll .. they’ll propel WMT to new highs !

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  6. kidstock

    Any suggestions on Biotech ETF’s to play on long side?

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  7. Gwar

    How about the Gibbet before the Guillotine FLY?

    http://www.ushistory.org/oddities/gibbet.htm

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  8. Small Fry

    Mark Cuban going to jail. If we can’t rally off that, what can we rally off?

    http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/bus/stories/111808dnbuscuban.1c00744a4.html

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  9. Ed

    i dont think any CEO knowingly fleeced investors..with the exception of Jimmy Cayne maybe..they just didnt see the tsunami coming.

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  10. 4fl3x

    Shit, there goes the Cubs only chance for a real owner.

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  11. j

    Ed how did Cayne fleece investors?

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  12. Cuban going down!

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  13. Henry Fool

    3000 more CBST @24.30

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  14. Neil Sedaka

    Bennet Sedacca

    12:15:50 PM

    No positions in stocks mentioned.

    Warming up to closed end muni funds

    I have not ventured into this area since late 1999 in any sort of size, but am getting interested again.

    Retail will likely puke them into year-end, but I may begin slowly legging in soon.

    Keep in mind that many are leveraged, so size matters in terms of position. Also, they are not terribly liquid so you must be careful when buying.

    Many sport yields of 7+% and trade 15-25% below NAV.

    Given the expected 45% tax rate, the tax equivalent yield heads towards 14%.

    Equity-like returns without equity like risk.

    More on this in an article later.

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  15. Ed

    by virtue of being too ignorant..

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  16. T MOE

    Nice tits on the brit in blue

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  17. Ozark Hillbilly

    We will start lynching CEO’s and other perps in Summer 2009. Remember you heard it here first.

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  18. jig

    wow the market is gay as shit…

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  19. Jakegint

    … all neutral and shit—white robed and fully sandaled.

    >Fly looking to smite an evildoer.

    _______

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  20. Mandy Patinkin

    Nice one T MOE…trying to sound un-gay. Just so you know…it aint working.

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  21. Henry Fool

    Dear FLY,

    Could you run the PPT score on CBST for me.

    Thanks!

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  22. MV

    Todd Harrison

    12:33:40 PM

    No positions in stocks mentioned.

    Monkey? I’m a Gorilla, You Clown!

    It’s been a LONG while since we’ve spotted this type of flow and, as such, we wanted to pass it along.

    On Friday, a gorilla bought 275,000 QQQQ December 32 calls and word has it he’s again in the midst of further exposure.

    Maybe something, maybe nothing but so you see it.

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  23. My herpes itch

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWKtv4gxuvQ

    Jacobs isnt half the player this guy was.

    EARL!!

    November 17th, 2008 at 12:32 pm

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  24. Jakegint

    Through 880.

    Significance.

    ______

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  25. DevilD0G

    “On Friday, a gorilla bought 275,000 QQQQ December 32 calls and word has it he’s again in the midst of further exposure.”

    Yea, that was me hedging my SDP position. No worries though.

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  26. Jakegint

    Herpes:

    No doubt, Big Earl was a freaking Space Alien Rampaging Robot in the late seventies… like Jim Brown, a man clearly ahead of his time.

    Did you see him knock that one Ram DB completely out of his career in that one clip? Looked like the poor foo’ needed an immediate replacement solar plexus.

    That said, Brandon Jake — though he’s got a ways to go to equal Earl’s exploits, is doing THIS to 225 pound NFC Pro Bowl Safeties in the NFL in 2008.

    That’s some wicked shit.

    __________

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  27. Jakegint

    Mr. Russell’s “Crappy Little Index That Could” is still gleen!

    I think I can, I think I can, I think I can….

    _______

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  28. Juice

    Despite your ill humor, D-dog, you make a good point. It may be a hedge, so calling it an outright bullish datapoint could be a stretch.

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  29. TraderCaddy

    The only biotech etfs of any volume I am aware of is BBH and IBB. BBH is made up mostly of DNA, GILD and AMGN (about 70% of total). IBB is a bit more divers with all NASDAQ bios and AMGN,GILD making up about 20% of assets.
    Research it as I am doing this from memory.

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  30. Topper Harley

    FCX is looking strong

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  31. lol

    “On Friday, a gorilla bought 275,000 QQQQ December 32 calls and word has it he’s again in the midst of further exposure.”
    Yeah
    It could be that someone is positioning himself in calls, so he could short the market in a massive way. The calls would then act as a stoploss at 32.

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  32. lol

    Or the gorilla could simply be an investing bank in a position where it might be heading towards bk.
    If it’s going to fail, it might as well take a huge risk to save itself, or fail hard.
    anyone want to start an investment bank? We’ll call it suicidalbank ticker symbol DIE

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  33. Keyser Soze

    How do 275K contracts trade when open interest is only 62.5K contracts?

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  34. wtf?

    yeah Topper harley, FCX got a downgrade to nuetral from jpm today and holding up well.

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  35. The Fly

    CBST:

    Debt/Equity 3
    PEG Ratio 5
    Price/Book 2
    Price/Sales 2
    Profit Margin 4
    Sub Rosa 0.1
    Final Score 3.60
    PPT Recommendation: Buy
    Accumulation Distribution 2
    Price Performance 4
    Relative Strength 4
    Volatility 1
    Volume 4
    Sub Rosa 0
    Final Score 3.35
    PPT Recommendation: Buy
    3.45
    Buy

    CRASH ON AGAIN!!!

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  36. Jakegint

    Fly et al,

    Wise words from a wise man.

    _______

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  37. Yogi & Boo Boo

    What’s this shit like Karate Kid? Crash on. Crash off. This sucks. I’m takin my marbles back to Jellystone. Back to my cave…

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  38. Jakegint

    Things that are up in a red market:

    MON

    OIH

    SPY (yes, SPY)

    Odder n’ odd, no?

    ___

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  39. Mr Miyagi

    Clash off!

    Again, Daniel-san, Again!

    _______

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  40. ZenProfit

    You’ve got to read Weinstein’s book if you want to join the club:

    http://www.amazon.com/Stan-Weinsteins-Secrets-Profiting-Markets/dp/sitb-next/1556236832

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  41. ZenProfit

    You can’t trade here if you haven’t read Weinstein’s Classic:

    http://www.amazon.com/Stan-Weinsteins-Secrets-Profiting-Markets/dp/sitb-next/1556236832

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  42. wtf?

    wierd Jake,

    but MON did get egregiously and disproportionately (is that a word?) pounded on FRI…

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  43. TraderCaddy

    Jake- Don’t forget IWM. That along with the Russell 2000 have been resilient all day.
    FCX and SMH have been good for daytrading action thus far.

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  44. Jakegint

    Can you believe I have the balls to continue making recs here?

    Must be the donkey Irish in me…

    Ronnie Jame DEO ($55.80) is about to bust the triangle here.

    It’s a “buy on” if it clears $56.40 with some unctiousness, and a “get dah fluck out” at break down below $54.10.

    Nice yield while you wait, as well (5.70%).

    ________

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  45. BOOMER

    Dunno jake, everything feels soft and mushy to me. No longs at this time.

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  46. wtf?

    oil getting the smackdown

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  47. wtf?

    fly is the crash on or off??

    i cant figure this shit out anyomore.

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  48. jig

    fly,

    are you still bullish on DUG?

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  49. the Bull

    Going long EEM here. Trying a little anti Fly.

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  50. Jakegint

    Boom,

    You are probably wise. I am feeling fucktardedly optimistic this morning, and it may be wholly based on the smackdown the Giants put on the Ray Lewis Thuglifes yesterday afternoon at a swirling Giant Stadium.

    As a reminder, both times the Giants won the Superbowl prior to this one (’87 and ’90) it augered a market downswooping of bearish proportions.

    Looks like we are three for three. What happens if we repeat this year?

    __________

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  51. alphadawgg

    If Giants repeat, Dow goes to a five handle.

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  52. BOOMER

    Jake – I am so skiddish right now. I’m an optimist, but the market has broken me.

    I am one tenacious muddfuggah, always sending myself back into the fray for another round, only to come out bloodied worse than I went in. I keep trying to win, long or short, but I can’t.

    I put together a few good days two weeks ago. Made $35k. Gave back $70k last week.

    I can’t keep standing in the way. If I miss the bottom, I don’t care. If I miss the top, I don’t care.

    Now I just chant “Swiper, no swiping!” and rock myself to sleep like a Romanian orphan.

    Sorry about that CBL. Shit, that is just a bottomless pit.

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  53. Yogi & Boo Boo

    Jake, Is that Giant shit contagious? I know CBL was. (BTW the Ravens = insect analogy was priceless) Why do I feel like a Raven today?

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  54. Jakegint

    Boom, no worries re: CBL, I’ve made this trip before. Used to bank those folks. As insane as it sounds, I remain (relatively) unconcerned.

    But in honor of everyone’s gloom today, and of the one company which is Costanza’ing it’s own fundamentals, I give you one of my favorite R.E.M. tunes:

    Dusk is dawn is day
    Where did it go?
    I’ve been laughing
    Fast and slow

    Moving in a still frame
    Howling at the moon
    Morning found me laughing
    Up and down, down
    Low, low, low

    Night suits me fine
    And morning suits me fine
    I’ve been so happy, happy
    Way up high, high

    In between
    Down below
    Low, low, low
    Low, low, low

    I skipped the part about love
    It seems so silly and low
    Low, low, low
    LOW, low, low

    ____

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  55. Yogi & Boo Boo

    Jake, Thanks. Being that I’m a glutton for punishment, any thoughts on RBS common after it’s done going down post reverse split?

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  56. Jakegint

    Yogi,

    I don’t know if its contagious, I come by it genetically, however.

    _______

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  57. Jakegint

    Being that I’m a glutton for punishment, any thoughts on RBS common after it’s done going down post reverse split?

    Only to short it as a hedge against the preferred.

    Seriously, the preferred has got tons of upside here, a huge dividend yield, and is “safer” than the common, so I wouldn’t mess with the common, unless you want to do lotto ticket size stuff.

    ________

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  58. Yogi & Boo Boo

    I’ve been a Giant’s fan since I was a kid. Don’t tell anyone though… (I don’t think I’m as rabid a fan as you though)

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  59. Yogi & Boo Boo

    It would purely be lotto ticket on the common. From the looks of it it could be back below 5 pretty soon. I’m waiting for a 401K rollover to get some more of the preferred.

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