iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

BIGGER THAN THE BELLS THAT RING IN YOUR CHURCH

Clifton_Campville_Church_BellsIt required stones that most men can’t carry, but it looks as if it will pay me handsomely in the end.

My original thesis on this $TWLO idea was that it would be similar to the $TWTR and $BABA IPOs that we traded in years past. They were the stocks that would be chased into a buying frenzy. Not long after I made that call, Jimmy Cramer started pumping the stock pretty hard. Once I saw this, I doubled my position knowing that the pieces were in place.

I doubled down yet again a little over a week ago after earnings, and made this my largest leveraged position the last time this stock traded at $40. The stock had a great week last week as it rallied $13 into the weekend, which is where I made a difficult decision on whether or not to hold.

I held. I think there’s a great chance this stock trades to $70, but I am only covered on this til Friday.

For those of you that let a winner run, enjoy what I hope will be a good week.

OA

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30 comments

  1. Heckler511

    Hot out the gates running. What a call on TWLO! Cash cow. Wish I was in there still

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  2. k_melancon

    Awesome work on TWLO – I was too chicken to chase – that move is still explosive…speaking of, BIDU looks like it is thinking about breaking out, or just teasing for another week or so

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  3. og

    Sick call sir.

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  4. thomasjefferson

    Found a few good earnings setups with low I volatility. All across the spectrum of risk.

    http://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=211&t=BSPM,CREE,DE,KEYS,SFUN,URBN,VNET

    $sfun is lowest volatility I can see on ivolatility.com.

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    • boyaj

      $URBN could be a solid play into earnings, seeing as how retail stocks have responded positively lately after their reports

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    • ThomasJefferson

      Started with $sfun, hoping we found support

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  5. k_melancon

    FIT doing well following last weeks consolidation – I added calls at the close on Friday. GPRO having a great day too

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  6. Alan

    Great call on $TWLO. You plan on holding any of your $ATHM calls thru ER?

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    • Option Addict

      I booked them on Friday, and an hour later I realized I had intended to sell something else instead. My target was $27, so I’d be selling here had I not done that Friday. Pissed.

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  7. notkidstock

    Nobody calls IPOs better….well played.

    Question: Do you have a process for deciding when to sell winners and when to hold?

    I succumbed to the bchu noise and sold a slug of BABA Sept 100’s the day earnings were released and left a sizable chunk of money on the table. I had plenty of time (5+ weeks) and the trade was working so….now that you get us all trained on where and when to buy, how the $%@# do we know when to sell? I have tried holding thru expiration, rolling out to future months, and selling / not looking back — all with very limited success. I find it difficult on occasion to filter out the noise and let the trade work knowing that the if the entry is correct the setup will usually yield maximum results in a two to five week window.

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    • thomasjefferson

      Selling is much harder than buying. I have found that target discipline is best for me. You miss a little upside on some, you save yourself from getting too greedy on others, and just count on the two to average out over time. It is also the key to making decisions for yourself and not sitting with your hand over your mouse frantically trying to decide “What would OA do? What would OA do?” That led to me to transacting way too much and making a lot of mistakes.

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  8. baba

    Great call. I see many traders calling this since last friday or so, but none called it so early and held on.

    I am thinking $BIDU is in a good spot here. Thoughts?

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  9. NB

    Congrats OA!

    What do you think of $GDDY?

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  10. k_melancon

    so many things popping on my watch list – the chase is real

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  11. bchu12

    long term fundamentals for TWLO are also great. TWTR was a dying business that ran on steam. TWLO is running on steam but have the tailwinds of its fundamentals behind it as well

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  12. k_melancon

    VLTC looks like it is setting up for a move if you are looking for cheap stocks – no options on this one

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  13. Flash

    Awesome call.

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  14. k_melancon

    OA – if I send you over a few chickens, can you summon some gains for me in KMI? or does that require a goat?

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  15. notkidstock

    Steel stocks coming back strong….liking X and STLD here. Still not a fan of FCX and other PM stocks.

    Separately, I sense that the burger stocks are next to pop…HABT and SBUX are my top ideas.

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  16. notkidstock

    *HABT and SHAK….wtf

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  17. notkidstock

    Sold TWTR margin shares….rolled into SHAK

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  18. Noni Kavuri

    The cats that got into $TWLO, congrats. Holy shit. Especially for those that are still holding.

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  19. k_melancon

    I thought it may reach for 70 next week, not today…….

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