iBankCoin
Joined Nov 11, 2007
31,930 Blog Posts

Is Carl Icahn Playing Liar’s Poker with the Stock Market?

Recently, there has been quite a stir about whether Carl Icahn is actually as bearish on the stock market as he seems to be, in light of a recent letter he wrote to his investors announcing he would return all outside capital. In essence, it appears that he is playing it safe, and does not want to bear the responsibility to limited partners in the event we see another market swoon.

Insider Monkey, however, believes that Icahn is actually quite bullish on the stock market. The excess cash could easily be used by Icahn to lever up his long exposure. He has also not really hinted at selling core holdings. Food for thought, indeed.

At any rate, courtesy of The PPT, here are Icahn Capital LP’s top holdings.

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Maverick Capital Taking a Drubbing

Ten billion dollar hedge fund,  Maverick Capital (based out of Dallas), founded by suspected “sham system operator” Lee Ainslie and the Wyly brothers (Evan, Sam, Charles) are having their collective heads handed to them this week, long a plethora of stocks that have fallen victim to the market guillotine.

Here are the 1 week returns for some of their biggest holdings:

FNSR -35%

URBN -16%

MRVL -10%

VIT -10%

SWKS -6%

Additionally, according to recent filings, they own more than 3% of SVN, down more than 12% today.

On the flip side, again according to recent filings, they own more than 9% of retailer PLCE, up 12% during today’s trading session so far.

Other sizable holdings include: SWI, CSII, IRWD, HMIN, LFT, PWRD, APOL and PACB

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Raw Commodity Percentage Gainers, Year to Date

Cotton (BAL) +46%

Coffee (JO) +22%

Cocoa (NIB) +18%

Silver (SLV) +17%

Gasoline (UGA) +16% (obviously, not a RAW commodity-fuck off)

Tin (JJT) +13%

Corn (CORN) +10%

WTI Crude (USO) +9%

#No Inflation

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Stocks and Oil Going in Opposite Directions

We have a see-saw effect taking place here. As oil weakens, stocks strengthen, and vice-versa. As a side note, both silver and gold have reversed here, effectively signaling a “risk on trade.”

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Most Heavily Shorted Stocks Price Movers

(Ticker, % of float sold short, today’s gain)
1 LNG 31.6 +32.64
2 CSKI 16.6 +12.42
3 BONT 21.1 +8.24
4 EK 26.9 +5.82
5 AVNR 20.1 +5.41
6 CBST 17.3 +5.36
7 RNOW15.1 +4.71
8 CLWR 30.2 +3.47
9 LNET 31.9 +3.45
10 GMCR 24.5 +3.37
11 YOKU 36.39 +3.34
12 SKY 25.6 +3.29
13 BWLD 16.4 +3.23
14 NVTL 17 +2.69
15 HUSA 17.6 +2.41

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(ticker, % of float sold short, today’s loss)

1 SHZ 54 -12.1
2 CAVM 17.7 -6.96
3 UTA 17.5 -6.8
4 CSR 23.1 -6.11
5 LCC 19.3 -5.5
6 MHR 18.8 -4.53
7 BIOD 20.7 -4.46
8 NETL 23.4 -4.37
9 OSBC 15.8 -4.26
10 CCRT 21.3 -4.13
11 CISG 26.09 -3.88
12 ENTR 50.4 -3.24
13 CIEN 32.8 -3.24
14 RXII 24 -3.23
15 SATC 19.9 -3.16

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Oil Strong and Tech Weak in Early Trade

Within oil/gas, HERO (+14%) CQP (+16%), LNG (+34%) and PDC (+5.5%) are leading the charge higher, thanks to escalating violence in God’s sandbox. On the other hand, tech stocks are getting poleaxed, led by losses in FNSR (-35%), OCLR (-17%), OPXT (-16%) and JDSU (-12.8%).

With strength in crude, Airline stocks find themselves on the receiving end of egregious homo-hammers, while refiners, as well as most oil related stocks, trend higher— ever so gingerly.

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CRUDE OIL’S BIG DAY OF RAGE AGAINST THE MACHINE IN SAUDI ARABIA

With crude futures off their recent highs early Wednesday morning, there appears to be a bit of calm in the air before the proverbial storm or, in this case, spring. With the “Arab Spring” continuing to take hold in the Middle East, protests and Shi’ite marches are expected in Saudi Arabia during the now ubiquitous “Day of Rage” on March 11 and 20. Indeed, oil traders will be watching this situation very closely, as heightened political, social, and economic unrest is likely to cause similar types of spikes that we saw with Egypt and Libya headlines.

Of course, legendary commodities investor Jim Rogers is not convinced crude is rising due to tensions in the Middle East, so much as because “…the world is running out of known reserves of oil.” Either way, you can be sure that “black gold” will continue to be all the rage in the coming days.

___________

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BEHOLD: The iBC Financial News Network

Starting immediately, Mr. Caine Thaler will be leading the charge to provide macro/news related items for iBankCoin. Additionally, all of you small dogs, as well as staff writers, may participate in this new venture of mine. Should any of you feel the urge to post an editorial or news related item, inside the Peanut Gallery, there will be a box for you to check that will say “news.” Should you have the courage and the internal fortitude to check it, your drivel will be exported to my new box, named “The iBC Financial News Network.”

Upon being populated there, instantly, you will be greeted by beautiful woman and people will ask for your autograph. Tier one brokerage firms will send hookers to your apartments, in an attempt to woo you. However, all said attempts will fall flat, as you are a dedicated iBC Newsroom attendant, whose job is to deliver news items in a way that will appall, yet amaze, all of those who read it.

Why am I doing this?

Because I can. It’s as simple as that.

Should any of you stand out, as always, you might earn a spot here on iBC and partake in all of the advertising riches that come our way. In addition to that, you will have full use of our corporate jet and access to our news penthouse suites, located in the mountainous region of Azuga, Romania.

Be well and blog like the fucking wind men.

NOTE: Make sure your titles are relevant to the contents of the post, else I will murder you where you sit.

NOTE 2: iBC Financial News Network will have its own Twitter acct: @iBC_fn. Follow us here.

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