iBankCoin
Home / Market Update (page 13)

Market Update

Asian Markets Pare Early Losses on Cyprus Concerns

“Most Asian stocks dropped on concern Cyprus’s bank-restructuring plan will be used for other European nations, imperiling depositors and bondholders, and on a report China is stepping up property curbs.

Konica Minolta Holdings Inc. (4902), a lensmaker that gets 28 percent of sales from Europe, sank 6 percent in Tokyo. Country Garden Holdings Co., the Chinese developer controlled by billionaire Yang Huiyan, fell 1.7 percent on a report that banks have started to control the scale of loans for mainland real estate developments. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (HSI) rallied, led by exporters, in the final hour of trading as European stocks opened higher.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was little changed 135.55 as of 7:08 p.m. in Tokyo, with five companies falling for every four that rose. Japanese shares pared losses earlier as new Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said he’ll consider extending bond maturities.

“Cyprus doesn’t help in the sense that reminds us the EU leadership is basically improvising from solution to solution,” said Mikio Kumada, a Hong Kong-based global strategist for LGT Capital Management, which oversees more than $25 billion. “The Chinese government doesn’t have a lot of room to relax because if it does now, it will just create a bigger mess for itself. It’s stuck in that sense.”

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 4.9 percent this year through yesterday on improving economic data from the U.S. and speculation that Japan will deploy more stimulus.

The Asian benchmark traded at 15 times estimated earnings on average, compared with 14 times for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and 12.6 times for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index.

BOJ Governor

Japan’s Topix Index slid 0.3 percent, paring declines as Kuroda told lawmakers he’ll consider buying more government bondswith longer maturities and vowed to consider scrapping a self-imposed rule limiting the scale of asset buying. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average slipped 0.6 percent….”

Full article

Comments »

Investors Sold German Bunds and Take On Risk as ECB Pledges to Liquidity to Cyprus

“German 10-year bunds fell for the first time in five days after the European Central Bank said it would support Cyprus as the nation negotiates an international bailout, damping demand forEurope’s safest fixed-income assets.

Benchmark yields climbed from near an 11-week low even as Germany sold 3.36 billion euros ($4.34 billion) of the securities at the lowest rate since July. The ECB reaffirmed its commitment to offer funding to Cyprus yesterday, after Cypriot lawmakers rejected a levy on bank deposits, throwing into limbo a rescue package designed to keep it in the euro. Spanish and Italian securities advanced.

“We had a big move in bunds yesterday but things are stabilizing,” said Luca Cazzulani, a senior fixed-income strategist at UniCredit SpA (UCG) in Milan. “Investors are waiting for some more news to get a better insight into what is going to happen. There are some factors which may be supportive of risk, including the ECB saying it would provide liquidity.”

German 10-year bund yields rose three basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, to 1.37 percent at 11:48 a.m. London time. The rate dropped to 1.34 percent yesterday, the lowest since Jan. 2. The 1.5 percent security due February 2023 fell 0.235, or 2.35 euros per 1,000-euro face amount, to 101.18.

The two-year note yield added one basis point to 0.014 percent, after dropping to minus 0.006 percent yesterday, also the least since Jan. 2.

ECB Commitment..”

Full article

Comments »

China’s Stocks Rally the Most in Two Months as Analyst Expects a 28% Rally by September

China’s stocks rose the most in two months before a report that may show manufacturing expanded and as Market Studies LLC’s Tom DeMark said Shanghai’s equity index will rally as much as 28 percent by September.

China Citic Bank Corp. climbed by the 10 percent daily limit, leading a 4.7 percent surge in the gauge of financial companies on the CSI 300 Index. (SHSZ300) FAW Car Co. (000800) paced gains by automakers after Xinhua News Agency said the government ordered the company’s vehicles. DeMark said yesterday the Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) Index will resume an advance after falling 8 percent from this year’s peak.

“Recent declines have already priced in investors’ more pessimistic view about economic growth,” said Li Jun, a strategist at Central China Securities Co. in Shanghai. “Given that stocks are still not expensive, a rebound is justified.”

The Shanghai Composite climbed 2.7 percent to 2,317.38 at the close, its biggest gain since Jan. 14. Trading volumes on the index were 10 percent higher than the 30-day average, while 30-day volatility increased to the highest level since February 2012. The CSI 300 rose 3.4 percent to 2,610.17. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) rallied 2.2 percent inHong Kong after falling 12 percent from its Feb. 1 high through yesterday….”

Full article 

Comments »

Market Update

After a double top this morning, the markets gave in to weakness as all eyes are on Cyprus and the EU folly banking policy.

The DOW is off 30 bones and the S&P is off 8 points. Markets have paired almost half their losses.

Currently energy is getting spanked for 1% followed cyclicals and consumer stocks.

Europe closed on the lows of the day.

!cid_62B5BF4C829B48C0ACFC51845DC9CF60@JohnPC

Market update

[youtube://http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RdlfTQ0_sQ 450 300]

Comments »

Declining Sales of Cars Accelerates in February Across Europe

“Europe’s car-sales contraction accelerated in February as a steepening decline in Germany, the region’s biggest market, hurt previously resilient Volkswagen AG (VOW), Bayerische Motoren Werke AG and Daimler AG.

Registrations dropped 10 percent to 829,359 vehicles last month from 923,553 a year earlier, the Brussels-based European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association, or ACEA, said today in a statement. Two-month sales fell 9.3 percent to 1.75 million cars. The decline in January amounted to 8.5 percent.
Unemployment is rising as a recession deepens in the 17 countries using the euro. General Motors Co., Fiat SpA (F) and PSA Peugeot Citroen (UG) posted the biggest sales drops in Europe last month. Declines were exacerbated in Italy, the region’s third- biggest car market, by an inconclusive parliamentary election, while government incentives in Spain failed to stem a slide in that country’s deliveries.

“This is as lousy as expected,” Gaetan Toulemonde, an analyst at Deutsche Bank AG in Paris, said by phone. “We won’t see any sign of recovery before the second half.”

The ACEA reports figures for the 27-nation European Union plus Switzerland, Norway and Iceland. Deliveries in western Europe, which excludes countries that have joined the EU since mid-2004, plunged 10 percent to 774,415 vehicles in February.
‘Mixed Picture’ ….”

Full article

Comments »

Europe Falls for a Third Day as Investors Wait to See if Cyprus Parliament Decides to Rob Depositors, Bank Holiday Still in Effect for Cyprus

European stocks fell for a third day before Cypriot lawmakers meet to discuss a 5.8 billion-euro ($7.5 billion) bank-deposit levy needed to win a bailout. U.S. index futures were little changed and Asian shares climbed.

Rio Tinto Group (RIO) sank to a three-month low as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. downgraded the shares. ThyssenKrupp AG plunged the most in 15 months after a report the German steelmaker is considering raising capital. Cie. Financiere Richemont SA slid the most in almost two months as an investor sold a stake in the world’s second-biggest maker of luxury goods.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) fell 0.3 percent to 295.94 at 11:29 a.m. in London, trimming this year’s advance to 5.8 percent. The gauge sank as much as 1.2 percent yesterday, before rallying to close 0.2 percent lower, as euro-area policy makers pushed Cyprus into taking money from bank accounts to reduce the cost of its bailout package to 10 billion euros.

“Cyprus begins to lift the veil on how Brussels works,” Michael O’Sullivan, head of portfolio strategy at Credit Suisse Private Banking in London, told Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television. “One of the pillars of banking reform across Europe was depositor insurance, and that’s now unfortunately off the table. For other peripheral countries, there may be more bank refinancing to come.”

The number of shares trading hands on Stoxx 600 companies today was 7.2 percent lower than the average of the past 30 days, Bloomberg data show. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures added less than 0.1 percent, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.4 percent.

Cyprus Debate

Cypriot lawmakers will meet at 6 p.m. local time to debate how to spread the proposed tax on bank deposits among account holders. The levy, announced March 16, sparked outrage in the island nation and concern among investors about setting a precedent by breaking the taboo against raiding bank accounts. Banks and stock markets in Cyprus are closed today and tomorrow….”

Full article

Comments »

Japan Melts Higher as the Yen Weakens and Reports State Cyprus Will Not Rob Depositors

“Japanese shares gained, with the Topix Index (TPX) rebounding from the biggest drop in 10 months on speculation yesterday’s decline was excessive. Exporters and shippers climbed after the yen weakened.

Toyota Motor Corp., the world’s biggest carmaker, rose 1.9 percent. Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Ltd. (9107)Japan’s third-largest shipping company by market value, rose 3.2 percent, paring yesterday’s 4.8 percent drop. Daiei Inc. (8263) tumbled 5.7 percent after surging 34 percent yesterday on a report retailer Aeon Co. may buy a stake in the department-store operator.

The Topix gained 1.7 percent to 1,045.89 at the close in Tokyo after yesterday dropping the most since May as a plan to tax Cyprus deposit holders to fund a bailout sparked concern of bank runs in the euro zone. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 2 percent to 12,468.23. Volume was 36 percent below the 30-day average as Haruhi Kuroda prepares to replace Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa tomorrow.

“There was general panic in response to the Cypriot deal yesterday but now, after some reassessment, markets are realizing it’s a special case and so the risk of contagion is low,” said Nader Naeimi, Sydney-based head of dynamic asset allocation at AMP Capital Investors Ltd., which manages $126 billion and is overweight on Japan equities. “While the BOJ leadership change has been priced into stocks in the short-term, there’s much better to come if the push to end deflation gathers momentum.”

Topix Rally

The Topix rallied 45 percent from Nov. 14, when elections were announced that brought Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to power on a platform of increased stimulus and monetary easing from the central bank. The gauge is trading at 1.2 times book value, compared with 2.2 times for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and 1.6 for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index, according to data compiled by Bloomberg….”

Full article

Comments »

China Stocks Erase Weekly Loss, With Breadth Overcoming Property Company Losses

“China’s benchmark stock index rose, paring a weekly loss, after valuations dropped to the lowest level in three months. Airlines and railway shares advanced, overshadowing losses by property developers.

The Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) climbed 0.4 percent to 2,278.40 at the close, after rising as much as 1.8 percent and falling as much as 0.9 percent. A gauge of volatility jumped to a 10-month high. The index is valued at 9.4 times projected 12- month earnings, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The multiple dropped to 9.3 on March 13, the lowest since Dec. 21. Hainan Airlines Co. (600221) rallied 10 percent and Daqin Railway Co. advanced the most in almost a month.

“Stock valuations are low,” said Zhang Ling, general manager at Shanghai River Fund Management Co. “From a five-year horizon, prices will definitely be higher than the current level asChina’s economy is still growing. There are also expectations that the new premier will tackle structural problems such as high property prices and will boost consumption.”

Li Keqiang was elected premier by the nation’s legislature today, succeeding Wen Jiabao and making him in charge of economic policies. Xi Jinping became president yesterday, replacing Hu Jintao.

The Shanghai Composite dropped 1.7 percent this week amid concern the government is intensifying measures to curb asset bubbles and after industrial production and new lending data missed estimates. The 100-day volatility was at 19.2 today, the highest since May, while trading volumes were 4.1 percent lower than the 30-day average, according to Bloomberg data.

The CSI 300 Index added 0.2 percent to 2,539.87 today, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) fell 0.7 percent, retreating 9.8 percent from a Feb. 1 high. TheBloomberg China- US 55 Index (CH55BN) climbed 0.6 percent yesterday in New York.

Airlines Climb…”

Full article 

Comments »

Global Equities Fall on a Number of Issues

While the Yen and commodities strengthen, global equities continue a second day of downside. Equity investors were nervous that Asia has rallied to fast too soon. In Japan investors were worried that some of Samurai Abe’s dovish electives  might not get approval.

In Europe industrial production fell 0.1%; more importantly Europe waits to see what will come of Italy’s long term  bond auction given the recent sovereign debt rating downgrade.

Full article 

Comments »

Asian Markets Circle Jerk the Flat Line

“Asian stocks swung between gains and losses amid concern shares have risen too fast following a three-week rally that drove the regional benchmark index to a 19-month high.

Canon Inc., the world’s biggest camera maker, slipped 1.7 percent after the yen strengthened, cutting the outlook for overseas income at Japanese exporters. National Australia Bank Ltd. (NAB) lost 1.8 percent as the country’s largest lender by assets announced plans to cut costs after full-year profit fell for the first time since 2009. Newcrest Mining Ltd., Australia’s No. 1 gold producer, gained 2.4 percent as futures for the precious metal capped the longest rally in six months.

Full article

Comments »