About three-quarters of executives from a mixed universe of institutional investors think a significant tail-risk event is likely to very likely within the next 12 months, according to a new survey from State Street Global Advisors.
Survey respondents — money managers, family offices, consultants and private banks — expect the five most likely causes of a tail-risk event in the next year would be a global economic recession (36%); a recession in Europe (35%); the breakup of the eurozone (33%); Greece dropping the euro (29%); and a recession in the U.S. (21%). (Percentages total more than 100% because respondents could select multiple causes.)
About 80% said they believe that tail-risk management should be an integral part of portfolio management, and 73% said they are better prepared to weather a severe market downturn since making strategic asset allocation changes after the 2008 market crash.
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