iBankCoin
Joined Nov 11, 2007
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Have Analysts Drunk Too Much From the Profit Punch Bowl ?

Hearing and seeing are two different things. Analyst have stated that they expect profit margins to rise. Here is a graphic of that interpretation that will make your jaw drop.

Source

“Let’s start off with a chart you’ve seen a bunch of times on these pages: It shows the record-high levels of profit margins, and the expectations among analysts that they’ll go even higher.

Click to enlarge.

 

 

The basic gist is that current bullish assumptions are based on a trend that at least taken at the simplest face value seems unrealistic.

Well, here’s another similarly jaw-dropping margins chart.

It shows the percentage of stocks that are assumed to be able to produce a margin expansion going into 2013.

 

margins profit

Morgan Stanley

 

89% of companies are expected to expand their margins in 2013.

With fiscal and monetary tightening possible, is that remotely possible?

Perhaps not.”

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