iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,441 Blog Posts

LOOK WHO JUST JOINED THE 52 WEEK HIGH LIST

zr

 

They must read me.

Shipping is at the start of a two- year rally, led by advancing rates to haul coal, iron ore and grains, as fleet growth slows and China’s strengthening economy boosts cargoes, Morgan Stanley said.

Demand for ships will expand at a faster pace than vessels in 2014, the first time in six years that will have happened, New York-based analyst Fotis Giannakoulis said in an e-mailed report today. He upgraded estimates for the industry to “in- line” from “cautious,” and said demand for ships to haul everything from iron ore to grains will benefit most.

The more positive forecast mirrors wider predictions by shipping analysts that the worst of an industry rout is ending. Rates for 10 out of 11 commodity-carrying ships will advance next year, led by a 53% rally for Panamaxes hauling coal and ore, according to the averages of more than 50 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg News.

“We see a 12- to 18-month window to play the cycle,” Giannakoulis said. The industry’s recovery will last two years after which vessel supply will quicken again. The rally favors owners and operators including Diana Shipping Inc., Safe Bulkers Inc., Knightsbridge Tankers Ltd., and Star Bulk Carriers Corp., he said.

While China’s economic expansion will slow to 7.5% next year, the weakest since 1990, its growth will still be more than three times the global average, according to economist estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Fleet growth will decline to less than 5% next year and lower than 4% in 2015, Giannakoulis wrote. That compares with demand expansion of as much as 6.5% in 2014 and 5.5% in 2015, he said.

Source

Indeud.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BVH5ZRtsyAc

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45 comments

  1. Jennifer Aniston

    gnk go bankrupt and shit all the sector .

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  2. Amai zeg

    Buy $FRO!!!

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  3. ecchymosis

    BALT target 8 1/2 – 9

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  4. xochi

    MODN…what do you think?

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  5. paradoks cat

    if china is slowing why are rates rallying now and not earlier in the year or last year?

    huh

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    • The_Hotspur

      It’s still growing 7.5% pa

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      • Trading_Nymph

        Actually today they did not set a GDP level and they are shifting away from a GDP focused (for the sake of GDP growth only) economy. Rebar Futures sold off ugly last night so I am still not wild about dry shippers at all…but I am always wrong, so it doesn’t matter.

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  6. xochi

    Loving BALT, naturally!

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  7. chief keef

    double down, FLY. Go for the jugular.

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  8. Belzile

    The street is finally catching up with reality. You saw that coming in your time machine.

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  9. raul

    TFWA

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  10. dukesanddukes

    Fly – what is your target/exit for BALT??

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  11. heckler511

    two words: Fotis Giannakoulis

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  12. yoyo

    Fly….Thoughts on NUAN?

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  13. SK

    Golf clap.

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  14. bear54

    Fly
    Good call on BALT. I am glad I took the plunge

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  15. Mr. President

    15 vessels like i’m sha-shabba ranks

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  16. Sooz

    Very Great, Fly..

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  17. Jennifer Lopez

    exmcq gonna bounce likely

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  18. TaoOfPatrick

    BALT gonna take you higher,Baby Baby baby light my fire.

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  19. matt_bear

    balt option calls starting to outpace my shares. i like how this is playing out.

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  20. Jennifer

    You guys need to stop the pumping. Seriously. It’s getting kind of cheerleaderish here.

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    • Lopez

      you’re right .. please bash the balter$, I mean: we, the shippers.

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      • Aniston

        look , you have balt sprinting after consolidation , fro setting to a big uptrend , short-time: egle & free going to get the gap closed .. not pretty much to be bearish around ..

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  21. crimedog1976

    MS must read you fly! cheers

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  22. bood

    shipping&co is getting a hot sector . jennifer&lopez: beware.

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  23. bood

    bought a fuckload of $free last hour ..funds robbing the shares one to the other in a.m.

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