COAL IS DEAD; LONG LIVE THE FARMER

PCX, JRCC and others plunged today amidst rumours of imminent bankruptcy filings. Who would have thought the coal industry would have gone kaput under the Obama administration?

With every death comes a birth. As I sit here in the scalding hot weather, enduring temperatures that haven’t been seen since the grounds of Carthage were salted, I had an epiphany.

Milk the farmer.

Why the fuck not?

Those silly bastards are going crazy trying to salvage an already ruined corn crop. They will be forced to invest in irrigation systems and bulk up on fertilizer. The food supply as we know it is in jeopardy. I believe the United Steaks will begin importing grain from South America soon, if not already. This is a great blight on a nation filled with blights.

I want to be long excessive amounts of MOS. Therefore, into the bell, I bought more.

I want to own VMI, LNN and maybe some MON. I want it all.

In the hallowed halls of The PPT, one of the most reliable and trustworthy signals was flagged today. If you weren’t such misers, you’d know about it.

All in all, today was a set up day, where the weak got hoodwinked by the pinless hand grenade action in coals and other basic materials, while everything else set up for explosion. You need to be in the right sectors and industries, small man. Most of you are too inexperienced or stupid to see the forest through the trees. Take it from a space alien magician (SAM), with over 15 years in professional money management: it’s dangerous to be short here.

Previous Posts by The Fly
Tired Bones
30 comments

48 Responses to COAL IS DEAD; LONG LIVE THE FARMER

D'angeli says:

Dude, I feel the only reason you write the blog is to flatter your obnoxious and laughable ego. But you’re right – I’m an idiot – why would I waste my time reading those stupid rants?

Reply
alvari40 says:

Read between the lines: $YELP, $WNR over the past year, $RBCN now, etc. Get out of your own way and see what is being offered.

Silly.

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the boost says:

remember the last time some of you didnt hedge ??? i do it was in may ,some of you waited to long ..i didnt …some of you didnt do it at all and well probably arent reading this now any way ..and some of you made a complete spectacle of yourselves….protect yourself , i use faz

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30yrplan says:

I have a question. Why do some get so frustrated and upset at flys posts while some find it full of info and good humor. I am the latter. I think it has to do with your level experience and if your on the wrong side of the market. Also fuck off noobs. Don’t post here go do your own bs blog.

Reply
Sergeant Smiles says:

It took a little detective work, but I found the reliable and trustworthy signal you speak of. Looking at the PPT blog, I was expecting something other than a graphic interface update. I’ll get more excited when the 12 mo. signal is activated, though. The returns are much 2x better.

Reply
Sikander says:

FYI Heavy rains the last two nights in the St. Louis area. I am not sure how widespread but caution on the weather play. Things may be improving.

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the boost says:

plenty of rain in PA . corn popping up nicely in rows..wheat looks real good they just harvested alot..i see alot of beans growing to

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the man says:

farmers in the midwest will not buy irrigation systems. they are too cheap and they are too used to regular rainfall. they are indeed morons but, they know that once every twenty years they will get whacked with a drought. that is why they buy federal crop insurance and let the rest of you cretins pay for crop failure.

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the boost says:

i heard a rumor today that the earnings reports were not going to be good ..thought somebody might like to know

Reply
faultless poise says:

What are your thoughts on housing, Fly? I really like timber companies here and think they provide leverage to a housing recovery.

Builders and dealers have been through too many head fakes over the past several years and lack access to meaningful credit so their inventories are at historic lows while lumber mill operating rates are at ~95%. If housing starts pick up, builders will have to purchase more lumber from the dealers. Those dealer’s inventories are so low that they will be forced to purchase all marginal lumber from mills. Seeing as those dealers won’t care about prices, because it won’t be sitting on their books and will pass through, mills will likely raises prices and keep them there until supply catches up with demand.

Housing stocks seem to be pricing in a significant improvement, which IMO is a bit over-stated; Timber companies do not need a significant improvement and any improvement will be a catalyst, or at least I hope. Any thoughts?

Reply

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