More than 50% of stocks are down 20% or more from the top. The tera-caps have infected the indices so greatly, you can no longer see what the market, the real market, is doing. Then again, in this environment of crony-capitalism — why buy anything but tera-caps?
I ask myself this question often and I continuously chide myself for chasing momo stocks. I’ve had a reprehensible month and I am being chopped up like a scallion on a Guy Fieri chopping block. I keep thinking I know what to do — and then I do the wrong thing and start again. Small respites are met with rancid drawdowns, in the midst of the most incoherent economic environment in a long time. We are now harangued by supply chain issues, all the while a COVID lockdown and apparent fantastic economy — full employment lest you are unvaccinated.
This morning’s gap up was immediately met with unrelentless selling and we’re still in it. I bought at the open because I had cash. I bought because I wanted the market to go up. I want the market to go up because I want to increase my account value, and yet the opposite has occurred since then.
Now I am betwixt a cross road of stubbornness and malleability. Do I cut losses and wait and start again, risking getting bogged again — buying in higher and raped lower? Or, do I simply lay down in the bed I’ve made and trim gently when needed? The risk to that stratagem is wholesale collapse — which can occur during periods of oversold. We are quite oversold and the market feels on edge like it wants to do something terrible.
I am leaning towards the stubborn camp, especially this early in the day because nothing says “fuck you” like holding stocks knifing lower. I’ll show them.
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Ha. You’ll figure it out. It’s all about the stimmies. I think that the progs get their way this time. Manchin and Sinema are wanting to put on a show for a few weeks to save face but they’ll cave.
After that the direction will be up for the next few years. The next 2 weeks to two months could go everywhere.
I will take this bet.
Let the games begin. My opinion subject to change without notice.
China now panic buying fuels.
I don’t know whether to wait for natgas to do a gap fill or just but it here. I’ve been trying to snag UNG at around 68-69 but no luck.
Scuse me. BOIL I mean.
Vix up but peeps aren’t really paying up for puts today. Downright sluggish.
10 year yields are down but I would not take too much stock in this. The problem is that in a future of lower investment prices, bonds will drop 15% to stocks 50%, so there are incentives to buy bonds here beyond long term forecasts for inflation or market direction.
More important, energy prices are skyrocketing and agricultural prices are a mixed bag with some inputs selling off but others like sugar and cotton much higher.
Fly you can’t say betwixt Not unless you go raw Vegan. Come on’!