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Poll: Who Will You Vote For?

I’ve done these polls for the past year and the results have always been around 70% in favor of Trump. I’d be interested to see how the events of recent days affected the results.

NOTE: I will be live Tweeting the debate here tomorrow. Stay tuned.

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Trump: ‘I’d Never Withdraw. I’ve Never Withdrawn in My Life’

The outrage is almost too much to bear. The ‘I told you so’ people are out in force and numbers today, rightfully so. Everyone wants to be a winner. Politics is no different.

Trump has only himself to blame, chatting it up with a member of the Bush crime family about unsavory topics that should never come out of the mouth of a grown man. Like I said, its indefensible.

Now a sundry of republicans and GOP supporters are calling for Trump to withdraw. Why? That’s patently ridiculous and undemocratic. Let him fall on his sword and give people an opportunity to vote their conscience.

If your goal is to protect corrupt republicans in their reelection bids by having Trump drop out, I’d say your righteous indignation is woefully misplaced. Get them out. All of them.

Back to Trump. In a Washington Post interview today, the Donald said  he’d never drop out and will continue to press on.

source: WASHPO

“I’d never withdraw. I’ve never withdrawn in my life,” Trump told the Washington Post in a phone call from his home in Trump Tower in New York. “No, I’m not quitting this race. I have tremendous support.”

“People are calling and saying, ‘Don’t even think about doing anything else but running,” Trump said when asked about GOP defections. “You have to see what’s going on. The real story is that people have no idea the support. I don’t know how that’s going to boil down but people have no idea the support.

“Running against her,” Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, makes keeping the party behind him easier, Trump added.

“It’s because she’s so bad. She’s so flawed as a candidate. Running against her, I can’t say it’d be the same if I ran against someone else, but running against her makes it a lot easier, that’s for sure.”

Trump acknowledged that the video has consumed the presidential race — “it certainly has” — but he said he has endured past controversies, not only during his 2016 bid but during his career.

“I’ve been here before, I’ll tell ya, in life,” Trump said. “I understand life and how you make it through. You go through things. I’ve been through many. It’s called life. And it’s always interesting.”

Trump said “thousands and thousands” of backers have sent him letters and emails since the Post’s story was published. “You have no idea what it’s like,” he said. “So many people.”

Trump pointed to his disparagement of Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) during the early months of last year’s Republican primary campaign as an example of how he has weathered political storms.

“Everyone said, ‘It’s over, it’s over.’ The people didn’t say that but the reporters said that,” Trump said. When asked to explain his ability in the past to survive, Trump said it’s because “I’m change.”

Reflecting on his state of mind as he watched news coverage from his apartment, Trump said, “I’m holding up well. I’m holding up well.”

Trump said he may make a speech or remarks on Saturday evening, perhaps in a suburb of New York City, as a way of encouraging his supporters.

“That’s what I’m thinking about,” he said. “We’ll see.”

Trump insisted, again, that any possible speech would not be a departure from the race.

“Forget that,” Trump said dismissively of the suggestion. “That’s not my deal.”

While everyone is nonplussed over the contents of Trump’s remarks, one has to wonder how this tape was acquired in the first place — especially since the host of the show was none other than Billy Bush.

Neocons gonna con.

 

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Suspicious Trading in Goldman Sachs Ahead of Lewd Trump Tape Release

The streets of Wall are littered with stories of people gaining access to market moving information and trading off it for profit. After the close of trading on Friday, the biggest scandal of the Trump campaign to date broke, sending it reeling into turmoil.

But during the trading day, in an otherwise weak tape encumbered by 70% of stocks trading down for the session, one stock stood out amid the carnage: Hillary Clinton’s favorite investment bank, Goldman Sachs.

Amidst the Dow 30, Goldman outperformed all stocks. The only stock that came close was TRV, but that was related to Hurricane Matthew not being as strong as originally expected. For the session, Goldman was up 5x as much as JPM.

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The below list of stocks represents the largest financial firms publicly traded. Notice any one particular stock that stood out from the rest? Note that CB is an insurance stock and pressed higher because of Hurricane Matthew. Other than that, no financial came remotely close to Goldman on Friday.

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Lastly, here are the call contracts traded in GS today. On a 70% down day, with most banks lower for the session, it’s highly unusual to see aggressive option buying on a Friday afternoon. Over 4,200 contracts, expiring in two weeks, were bought today — representing over $70 million in notional value.

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Even more suspicious were the calls bought that expire next week. In various strike prices across the montage, over 5,200 contracts were bought for a notional value representing $87 million. For the 10/21 expiry contracts, over 3,000 were purchased for a notional value of more than $50 million.

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There could’ve been sundry of reasons why over $200 million in notional value of Goldman Sachs contracts were bought on Friday. I just find it to be out of the ordinary when compared to members of their peer group, coupled with revelations that may possibly cripple and end the Trump candidacy. It’s widely believed that a Clinton win would be bullish for Wall Street, especially the banks. That being said, should we see a sharp move higher in Goldman on Monday — after digesting the news — these trades are going to stick out like a brand new factory being built in Detroit.

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TRUMP STANDS ALONE

Following the release of what can only be described as a black pill for anyone running for public office, just about everyone in the GOP is livid and abandoning Trump — ahead of Sunday’s debate. Based upon what I am seeing now, this sandstorm of criticism is going to level the Trump run, unless something changes from now until the election day. Moreover, I think his actions and his words are more important now than ever before, dealing with this late stage crisis, so he should choose them very carefully.

Charisma is a delicate combination of both power and kindness. It should make for a most interesting debate.

Here is a run down of the fallout in the republican party and who is distancing themselves from Trump now.

Via The Hill

Rep Chaffetz:

“I’m out. I can no longer in good conscience endorse this person for president. It is some of the most abhorrent and offensive comments that you can possibly imagine,” he said.

“He’s put the party and this country in an awful place … I get the sense this probably isn’t the end of them. There might be more.”

Rep. Ryan:

“I am sickened by what I heard today,” Ryan said in a statement released Friday night. “Women are to be championed and revered, not objectified. I hope Mr. Trump treats this situation with the seriousness it deserves and works to demonstrate to the country that he has greater respect for women than this clip suggests. In the meantime, he is no longer attending tomorrow’s event in Wisconsin.”

Rep. Johnson:

“Donald Trump’s recent comments are completely indefensible and I refuse to even attempt to try and do so,” Johnson said in a statement.

Rep. Kirk:

Kirk called on Trump to drop out of the race, calling him a “malignant clown” that is “unfit” to be president.

Sen.McConnell:

“As the father of three daughters, I strongly believe that Trump needs to apologize directly to women and girls everywhere, and take full responsibility for the utter lack of respect for women shown in his comments on that tape,” he said.

Gov. Herbert from Utah:

“Donald Trump’s statements are beyond offensive & despicable,” said Gov. Gary Herbert in a tweet. “While I cannot vote for Hillary Clinton, I will not vote for Trump.”

Rep. Coffman:

“For the good of the country, and to give the Republicans a chance of defeating Hillary Clinton, Mr. Trump should step aside,” he said in a statement, according to a local CBS station. “And four years of Hillary Clinton is not what is best for this country.”

Coffman added that Trump “should put the country first and do the right thing.”

Sen. McCain:

“There are no excuses for Donald Trump’s offensive and demeaning comments,” the Arizona senator said in a statement. “No woman should ever be victimized by this kind of inappropriate behavior. He alone bears the burden of his conduct and alone should suffer the consequences.”

Sen. Cruz:

“These comments are disturbing and inappropriate, there is simply no excuse for them,” he said on Twitter. “Every wife, mother, daughter — every person — deserves to be treated with dignity and respect.”

Sen. Rubio:

“Donald’s comments were vulgar, egregious and impossible to justify.”
“No one should ever talk about any woman in those terms, even in private,” Rubio wrote in a tweet.

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The Knives Fall: Ryan Boots Trump From Event, Rips into Him for Leaked Remarks

This was a masterful stroke by the establishment elite. Remember that the GOP hated Trump even more than the Dems. I wouldn’t be surprised to learn that this was a coordinated event to stop Trump. This, of course, doesn’t invalidate the contents of the tape. However, it does demonstrate a level of control and sophistication by the elite to take down their opposition.

Paul Ryan is sickened by Trump and will not be campaigning with him tomorrow.

“I am sickened by what I heard today,” Ryan said in a statement released Friday night. “Women are to be championed and revered, not objectified. I hope Mr. Trump treats this situation with the seriousness it deserves and works to demonstrate to the country that he has greater respect for women than this clip suggests. In the meantime, he is no longer attending tomorrow’s event in Wisconsin.”

Ryan has been waiting to do this for a long time.

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Here is the New Wikileaks #PodestaEmails, Courtesy of Citizen Journalists via Twitter

Franky, there is so much fuckery to wade through, regarding these emails, it’s almost too much corruption. Do you understand what I’m saying. It’s like the democrats and Clinton are so corrupt and so devilish, it’s really hard to quantify and analyze properly. I’ll dump the relevant one’s that I’ve found here now, and sort it out later.

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New Leaked Audio Reveals Trump to Be an Arrogant, Garrulous, Fool

I’m not going to defend this ridiculous display of human debauchery with statements like ‘this was locker room talk’ or ‘every man says shit like that’, because it’s not true. It’s not like he made these private comments when he was a 17 year old kid, desperate for girls. He was 59, talking to another man like a juvenile moron. Despite what you might read on other sites and pundits online, I believe the jargon displayed in the leaked audio to be indefensible.

Maybe I’m more sensitive to remarks like this because I was raised by women and have always demonstrated respect for them. While it’s true, every man has objectified women at some point in their lives, it’s not supposed to still be an issue by the time you’re 59.

Ideally, we’d get to elect someone with unimpeded integrity, a person of honor and character that we can praise to our children as examples of excellence, a role model. Unfortunately, Trump isn’t that type of person and I think everyone who supports him already knew that.

Trump is immature, stubborn, crass and crude. As President, I expect that he will be strident in his approach to make new enemies in government, calling out the bullshit — and shaking things up for real, substantive, change.

In comparison to the litany of things Hillary Clinton has done in public office, at her foundation, and all of the stupid shit she’s been saying and doing since then, Donald Trump is a fucking angel, albeit a slightly maniacal and garrulous one at that — prattling about with fellow morons about grabbing the genitalia of women — exuding a sense of entitlement that has become wearisome to the American people.

It’s all very disappointing, frankly. We’re all striving for the green light, the ideal often talked about in novels and fairy tales. The truth laid bare is always a letdown, the starkness and depravity of man always seeps through the shiny veneer to reveal rot, waste and ruin.

Speaking of which, I’ll get to the new leaked Clinton emails shortly.

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