According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the direction of January’s trading predicts the course for the year 75 percent of the time.
Stocks could get a boost next week from the so-called “January effect,” when stocks that were sold off in December for year-end tax harvesting rally back in the next month as investors scoop them back up at lower prices.
Of the S&P 500 components, 301 were down 10 percent or more from their 52-week highs and 175 were off by at least 20 percent through Dec. 30, according to Ryan Detrick, market strategist at Kimble Charting Solutions in Cincinnati.
That broad decline was offset by the narrow leadership of the “FANG” stocks – Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Alphabet. Combined, they comprise more than 5 percent of the weighting in the S&P 500 and have all risen at least 35 percent for the year.
