As you know, “The Fly” is in the business of making money for rich people. Even though many of you are destitute poor guys with less than a pot to piss in; I am going to give you some high end advice.
The markets are severely oversold. Using all fundamental metrics, one must get long into this carnage. The problem is the fear of systemic failure, which may lead to rampant protectionism and the end of globalization as we know it.
So, with that pleasant thought in mind, here’s what I am doing:
On an account size of 1million, I have 500k in double inverse etf’s, like [[SKF]] or [[SRS]] . In addition, I am going long deeply oversold commodity stocks, for two reasons:
1. Dollar strength is overdone.
2. Valuations are rifuckulous.
My buy list includes The Mosaic Company [[MOS]] , National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. [[NOV]] , Occidental Petroleum Corporation [[OXY]] and Chevron Corporation [[CVX]] .
When buying stocks, in this tape, I am using a “legging in” approach. Meaning: if I intend to purchase 2,000 shares of a stock, I will execute that one trade in 250-500 share increments over an entire day, or in some cases multiple days. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to subside. And, there is nothing wrong with missing the exact bottom.
Out of 1million, my long equity exposure is approximately 40%, or 400k, leaving 10% or 100k in cash.
Here’s the dicey part:
On a whim of a major directional shift, I will deploy the 100k, or even lever up, and get long a double upside etf, like [[DIG]] or [[ROM]] .
Regarding my inverse etf’s, I will likely reduce my short exposure early next week, barring a complete collapse in the market.
The point of the game is survival. Cash is king, but entirely pointless. If you are going to attempt to navigate this tape, put your biases aside and protect your downside.
Now fuck off.
NOTE: Today I closed out my [[FXY]] position. That trade is also overdone.
NOTE II: Of course to pull off such a strategy, as mentioned above, timing is everything. Luck for me, I have a fucking time machine.
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