I know very well that if you were unfortunate enough to not have liquidated 100% out of energy names back in August, you are already aware of this. But for those of you who weren’t playing the insanely popular and theretofore profitable positions in the shale boom, let me let you in on a little secret.
This is a bear market and everything is going to go lower.
The EURUSD is now below 1.20. This is worse than at the height of the 2011 Eurocrisis. Indeed, the Eurocrisis never really ended. It was buried in a series of complex trade balance mechanisms, attempting to absorb the blow from the forward month expirations of the European bond markets. That staved off judgment day until…right the fuck now.
As I said long ago, the euro and the dollar are destined for parity. Europe is a rotting corpse, and they’re going to stain us once the bloat pops.
Until proven otherwise, this is a no-buy market. I am 75% cash and probably will sell the slim pickings I grabbed anyway.
I would appreciate if any reference to the oil market as being manipulated would stall. For you see, oil is not collapsing because of some insane gambit by religious fanatics.
It’s collapsing because we’re about to have another recession.
Comments »