(The Doctor Was Right!)

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Le Docteur du Drosfila was correuct yesterday when he promised that The Santa Bernank would arrive soon and solve all your troubles. 

Well, he would if you were an earl and precious metal investor at least.  The rest of the “stock” market may take a little breather here as we reset for the next devaluation of your crumbly-tumbly dollar (down another 0.6% as I type this).   I wouldn’t get too worried, however, unless you are on food stamps or some other COLA-regulated form of government teat.   Because be assured, your welfare state is not looking out for your welfare, even if you are on Welfare!

Yesterday, on weakness, I indulged — as per my announcements on The PPT, peace be upon it — in a double helping of additional gold stocks.  I am quite full up on silver, though I may turn fat fingered vulgarian and grab a smidge more AGQ to take full advantage of any weakness.  The stocks I added to yesterday were EGO and NGD.   Some comrades on The PPT followed me, at even lower prices than I received.

Cursed be their names.

Today, I am looking at some additional weakness in ANV and IAG, and those would be where I’d alight first.  I am also looking at AAU and IVN as “exotics” as it were.   Royal Gold (RGLD) is also looking  juicy.

We’ll talk more tonight.  Good luck and Merry Bernanke to you all.

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Relax, have a smoke with a glass of fine bourbon, over rocks.    Yes, I realize that the price of silver was up almost 5% today, despite both U.S. and Canadian stock exchanges being closed for President’s Day and Family Day, respectively.

Yes, I realize that, were those markets open today, anyone holding AGQ would be running around, madcap-style, kissing their latest brokerage statements in adulatory dis-belief, handing out shiny new dimes to children and mendicants as is the right of all wealthy individuals.  

But savvy AGQ veterans have seen this kind of thing before and so, rather than spending the night on the Best Buy website outfitting their newly excavated man-cave with 126″ laser-guided 240 mhz 1080dpi 3-d LED moon-scaped wall displays, they are instead hunkering down and preparing for a temporary blow off spike in the precious markets, which may join equity markets in a pull-back tomorrow, no matter what the U.S. dollar does.

I will likely wait unti 10 a.m. to do anything at all, which would include eating a number of samiches (sic), lightly salted, lightly peppered.    As yesterday’s SLW illustration showed, I am expecting a run for that stock back to the old highs, and then a pullback, either at, or slightly higher than those levels.  If  we break old highs, I expect the pullback to be shallow, if we are turned before breaking to new highs, I expect we may find ourselves right back at Friday’s close when all is said and done.

You will find that if you watch these things over many years, you will get a sense for their trickery.   One would think that in a relatively consistent bull market like we’ve had for the last ten years in PM’s, riding this trend would be relatively simple.   Nothing could be farther from the truth.   They are evil wood sprites, as a rule, and they take pleasure in your pain and indecision.

They really love leaving you behind as well.  Yes, I am talking to you, PM skeptic.   If you have been watching this blog for any amount of time, you have no doubt kicked yourself enough times to form a large callous on your own buttocks.   Do not be chagrinned, I carry a similar leathery ass, and it’s simply the lot of all PM investors and traders.   The wood sprites are simply too crafty to allow you to take every trade profitably.

That is why I have urged you to always “keep a core,” and trade around that nucleus like the best Fermi Level Physicist in the CalTech Senior Laboratory.

Tomorrow we shall observe with anticipation and trim like expert barbers if necessary.   For now, we enjoy the anticipation… along with a finely rolled Dominican Cigar and only the best bourbon money can buy.

Best to you all.

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Listen up kids, I don’t do drugs.  

No, really.

No, I get high on… silver highs.   New one’s especially.  ‘Fact, I might even OD on breaking all-time highs, but I am doing wind sprints and having my sons jump out of random closets at me— “Cato-Clouseau-style” — in order to get my adrenaline glands in good condition for the eventuality.

Cause I’m pretty sure it’s coming.   Tonight we have new 31-year highs at $33.12, which is making me very happy.  Mind you I started buying physical silver at about $4.50 an ounce, and have never sold any of it.  That’s over 630% since 2002.  I wish I could say the same for my silver stocks, which I’ve traded perhaps with over-zealous vigour (sic).  In truth, they’ve been even more volatile than the commodity price itself.  

My favorite silver play continues to be the royalty play Silver Wheaton — SLW— which does not dirty its fingernails with crude dirt-scratching but instead secures royalty payment in silver at a certain price in exchange for financing miners.   Would you screech out loud if I told you that SLW had arranged to be paid in silver at the equivalent of less than $5.00 an ounce?   That’s like taking a time machine back to 2002 and rifling the unsuspecting corner numismatic storedfront for less than appreciated 100 oz. ingots, only to return to February 2011 and have them assayed for over $33… and counting.

Can you see why I’m so excited about royalty plays?  They are, in fact, leverage for the leveraged price of the precious metal, as that is what the miners do — they allow one leverage on an increasing precious metal price.  The royalty play is one step higher up the chain of amped return.  Is there risk of default and other mining related problems?  Of course, but like a bank, a diversified portfolio will absorb some of that volatility.  

 Remember this SLW  chart from a couple of weeks ago?   The two arrows are the places where I’ve made recent buys.  We’re still not back to our old December highs, but I think we’ll be there, maybe as soon as this week.  

 Royal Gold — RGLD — is another royalty play, this time on the gold side, and with an even more diversified portfolio than SLW.   That’s another Jacksonian you want to own.

I also like EXK, AGQ (be careful with this one), PAAS, MVG, SVM, AG, CDE (small), and SSRI.  Another great catch all for all of these (or most) is SIL, the silver miner ETF. 

For gold, the old standards, ANV, EGO, RGLD, IAG, GDX, GDXJ, NGD  are recommended, and newcomers IVN and AAU to taste.  I continue to believe also that the rare earth metals will resume their volatile climbs, and I like AVL and QSURD best.

Nothing going on in the U.S. stock markets tomorrow, but the precious metal, U.S. dollar and futures markets should be fun.  Ciao for now.

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Bottoms Up! 

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On the imminent demise of the buck today, I loaded up with stupid amounts of AGQ, NGD, PAAS, MVG and SVM today, not to mention another 25% of RGLD.

The dollar is dying, I am quite confident of it.  Take advantage of all opportunities to at least mid-$76 on the DX-Y.  

That is all, really.  Short, sweet, simple

And sweet again.

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Wholesale prices were up almost a full percent in January, I cannot imagine why.

Despite the dollar being somewhat oddly surge-ish this morning, gold and silver are holding strong.   We are in the right place, here.  I loaded almost to the brim yesterday, in AGQ, ANV, SLW, EXK, PAAS, SIL, and AAU, as reported yesterday in The PPT.

Funeral is this morning, so I will try to ring in later today.   Carry on.

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Action was in the A’s today, as in Ass-kicking Agriculturals and AG and AU stocks. If you were playing close attention to my Prometheus Unbound post of last Wednesday, you are a happy dog tonight. Mentioned almost at the very bottom of that post is AAU, which I noted looked coiled for a takeoff.   That prophesy was fulfilled today…

Note the blast off at the concentration of both the 20- and 50-day EMA’s?  Now look at the last time those two lines came together to form a launch platform, back in August.   Auspicious, no?  But the best is yet to come, and I think it’s soon, as the weekly reveals:

Note that AAU has a bit of work to do to break final resistance.   We may not make it there on this first run, so you flibberty gibbet traders may want to take that first line as an exit point if you feel we’re not breaking through.   There could be a bit of consolidation at the $5 mark as there is with many of these precious metal miners.   I’ll probably use that moment to accumulate.

Does that strategy sound familiar?   It should, as it’s exactly the one I employed in tearing off great hanks of EXK for my later consumption and nourishment.  These smaller miners tend to follow a similar pattern of skepticism and volatility, until they break through that infamous $5 barrier for good, and are then considered “mature” enough for institutional play.  I think AAU is very close to that status.  Pay it heed.

I’ve one last “A” stock to leave you with tonight, and no, it’s not AGQ, or even AG, AEM or AU though those stocks are certainly weurthy (and should be considered with this reading).   No, tonight’s last plug is The Forgotten Jacksonian, humble Mr. Anderson — ANDE– which has calmly and quietly broken out to all time highs and the coveted “free air” of newly traversed ground.   I like it on a retrace of this weekly breakout, and soon:

I will be around only sporadically tomorrow as I must attend to some heart rending family business.  My best to you all in these fecund and opportune times.

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