Joined Apr 1, 2010
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I have noticed that you use both indices and their ETFs for your analysis. But for some reason there has been a huge difference in their charts lately or have i just caught up to it now?! For instance, SPX and S&P futures are very close to their highs while SPY isn’t as close (not only percentage wise but also the charts themselves look off). Is there a particular one that you rely on more than the other and which ones do you keep an open eye on when the market is open?
I defer to the S&P cash
ETFs vs indices…dealing costs, various types of decay, simple admin/custodian costs etc – there’s always going to be “performance” divergence (catch it if you can/want).
Looking at BS ETFs, what’s TLT telling us? A picture of indecision in Treasuries combined with low volatility lethargy in equity markets… Commodities starting to trend higher, volatile Treasuries breaking down, equities in a low volume consolidation move – all coming up against a mixed, but predominantly negative, global macro environment.
Chess, thank you for your technical assessments. Wonder if you can take/construct an IBC engagement index; something to compete with Google data, and aimed at confirming market complacency vs uncertainty. Guessing the Fly would own the index, but you’d be the tech high priest responsible for interpreting the data (perhaps you’d re-recruit Woodshedder to aid with back testing and data significance/robustness).
thanks guys