Organized and Ready to Move at a Moment’s Notice

Earlier on Wednesday’s video market recap, I noted that the shocking lack of bids in the market warranted at least considering that we might need a few bloody days before arriving at a true tradable bottom. The good news for bulls is that sentiment seems to be finally shifting back towards the bear camp in a much more pronounced manner than what we have previously seen since the correction began. Betting on mimi-crashes is an extremely difficult proposition in terms of getting the timing down, let alone actually seeing the rare event transpire.

Thus, I continue to keep an open mind here, looking to pick off shorts here and there, all the while building a list of stocks holding up extraordinarily well during this correction. In my view, the leaders for the next leg higher of the bull (assuming we do not fall into a bonafide bear market) will be those fast-growing firms building bases right now in a rather orderly manner, while former leaders fall down the other side of the mountain. Instead of getting caught up in the emotion of trying to catch each opening gap higher or lower, I suggest the exercise of combing through charts to find such leaders. If and when the market actually bottoms, the likes of AMZN DNKN MIDD PCYC SGEN TRIP WFM may very well turn up first and lead the charge.

Inside the 12631 Trading Service here at iBankCoin, I am compiling a more extensive list for members on a daily basis. If the market bottoms soon, we are in a great, cash-heavy position to turn on a dime and prosper like we did at the beginning of this year. On the other hand, should we continue to drip lower in the manner which we have in May thus far, the defensive posture keeps our portfolios protected and our mental and emotional health sound.

We have recently received some fantastic testimonials from current members about our service. Please click on the 12631 hyperlink to see the testimonials (scroll down after my video and the description of our service) and join the best atmosphere and community for traders on the web.

 

 

Sad Cloud Song

It is tough to short the cloud-computing stocks in the technology sector with CRM reporting earnings tomorrow. Indeed, they tend to move in sympathy with each other, just as the optical stocks do. Nevertheless, keep the likes of CTXS FFIV NTAP and especially RAX on your radar for short entries in the wake of CRM‘s earnings. Ideally, shorts want to see CRM get smoked after earnings, with a lag effect in the other stocks tomorrow morning, giving traders a sound entry for shorts.

As far as the bulls go, we are looking at a myriad of sloppy charts here. For my style, even a CRM earnings pop with the group would not entice me for a long swing for quite some time, as they need to firm up even after the pop.

Be sure to tune into my video recap tonight as I go through these charts, among others.

Gave Up the Golden Financial Goose

To give you an idea of the damage that this market has seen in May, note the XLF (ETF for the financial sector) losing not only its primary breakout point from March, but also support from that base as well. $15 was the key level, and now with that lost, the next area to negotiate is support from February down around $14.40. Below there, and things get even dicier. If nothing else, this chart illustrates how quickly the market can change character when committed buyers do not continue to support a breakout, despite how pretty it initially appeared. Obviously, the carnage in JPM and GS has not helped the cause for financial bulls.

Even if we find support down at these levels, this is still a sloppy chart that needs time to heal.

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Intraday Look and Analysis: Be Like the Fonz

Note the immediate head and shoulders top made this morning on the 3-minute chart of the SPY below. That confirmed intraday top (remember your timeframe!) led to the morning fade lower we saw. Since then, we completed a gap-fill back down from where we popped at the opening bell. With the gap filled, we have since been basing along, or churning. Should we lose the $133.50 level I expect a fairly quick and sharp sell-off this afternoon. Otherwise, we look to be plodding along with no real rhyme or reason. I do not see much edge right now for basically any trades on any timeframe.

Play it cool.

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