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Yearly Archives: 2016

Russia Warns U.S. To Not Attack Assad Forces

It’s so great that Russia is our big giant enemy again. You must admit, the recent American wars have been boring and too small in scale. A war with Russia would reintroduce true war to America. Our democratic leaders could make military service compulsory again, in order to be racially inclusive and all. The cause will be worthwhile, stopping the Stalin of our time, former KGB head, the evil Vlad Putin (extra vampire).

Russian backed forces in Syria just retook an important hilltop in Allepo. As a result, it appears the Assad forces are on the verge of winning back the city. Knowing that Obama wants a US controlled force to win and displace the secular Assad, with some fucked up headcutter, Russia is now explicitly warning the US to not meddle.

Russian news agencies quoted Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova as saying that a U.S. intervention against the Syrian army “will lead to terrible, tectonic consequences not only on the territory of this country but also in the region on the whole.”

She said regime change in Syria would create a vacuum that would be “quickly filled” by “terrorists of all stripes.”

U.S.-Russian tensions over Syria have escalated since the breakdown of a cease-fire last month, with each side blaming the other for its failure. Syrian government forces backed by Russian warplanes have launched a major onslaught on rebel-held parts of the northern city of Aleppo.

Even pacifists are pro war with Russia these days, following a pleasant narrative being formed by the hacking cough victim, Hillary Clinton.

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Yields Are Too Low: The ECB Are Running Out of Bonds to Buy

 

I don’t even feel like mocking this news story. Last week’s bond rally placed $2.2t worth of bonds out of the ECB’s sphere of fucktarded influence. As such, there are many who want to change the rules in order to permit the PSPP buy bonds deep into negative territory.

The surge this week in relatively safe sovereign securities left about a third of the Bloomberg Eurozone Sovereign Bond Index ineligible for purchase under the ECB’s quantitative-easing program. The gains mean $2.2 trillion of debt in the index now yields less than the institution’s deposit rate — currently minus 0.4 percent — and is therefore off-limits.

That’s increasing speculation the ECB will have to tweak its public-sector purchase program, through which it buys 80 billion euros ($90 billion) of securities each month. The program is due to run until at least March as policy makers try to boost growth and inflation.

“It puts more pressure on the ECB to tweak the PSPP because with yields falling like that, more bonds are falling below” the buying threshold, said Vincent Chaigneau, London-based global head of rates and foreign-exchange strategy at Societe Generale SA. “That’s definitely adding pressure to make an announcement.”

The “big question,” Chaigneau said, is whether the ECB will opt for “selective buying” of bonds yielding less than the deposit rate.

While Draghi and his colleagues already appointed a committee to improve the implementation of QE, a bond selloff after the ECB’s Sept. 8 policy decision eased pressure on the central bank by reducing the amount of bonds it couldn’t buy.

Anyone have an opinion on this? Their $90b monthly bond buying frenzy has caused yields to drop deeply into negative territory, effectively disqualifying them from ECB purchase. To combat this problem, they want to change the rules, you know, in order to stoke inflation.

How’s that working out for them thus far?

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MARKETS CLOSE OUT SEPTEMBER WITH A BANG; DEUTSCHE BANK SAVED BY MEDIA

For the month, however, stocks went nowhere. The top performing industries were 3-d printers, casinos, industrial metals and biotech. On the downside were semis, food, building materials and restaurants.

In spite of today’s drop, TLT closed out the month lower by just 1.3%, not including dividends. GLD was higher by 0.42% and everyone is transfixed on DB, which ended the month down by 8% — despite today’s gangbuster move.

I do not think the saga at DB is over. It was never about the DOJ fine, but a material weakness in the underlying business. The shares aren’t down by half this year because of a stupid, fucking, fine, ok?

This is the core issue.

db

That’s called ‘sharply lower revenues’ due to a deleterious banking environment in Europe, in part thanks to the negative interest rate phenomenon. This whole DOJ induced collapse and then subsequent rally upon hearing of a much lesser fine is meaningless drivel — a large distraction and a three-dimensional chess move that many of you are unable to see.

Without the explicit support of the financial media to quell fears and constantly remind people that Deutsche Bank wasn’t Lehman, over and over again, I am convinced that today’s trading session would’ve ended a lot different than a +150 showing.

Bear in mind, during the financial crisis CNBC was deliberately reporting on false rumors in an effort to jack markets higher. It used to drive me fucking nuts and I am sure I’ve blogged about it more than a dozen times during 2008-2009.

NOTE: Don’t forget to check out Exodus in FREE TRIAL for today only. I have a financial contagion screen up in the blog post you should check out.

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Former Philly Fed’s Plosser Thinks Fed is Behind the Curve

Which curve is that? I’d like to toss this olde man into an alligator pit. Yes, he’s allegedly against rigged government sponsored markets and believes the Fed is behind the curve and he says lots of populist stuff that the small people believe in. But he’s a former President of the Philly Fed, which makes him a liar — by default.

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Hillary Saved from Coughing Attack by Magic Cough Drop

There must’ve been some cocaine in that cough drop, or maybe some heroin. As you can see, she was clearly about to stroke out and fall off the stage before popping that crack vile into her mouth.

When elected President, sick Hillary will need Dr. Frankenstein to keep her going.

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Whalen Fawns Over Deutsche Bank in CNBC Interview, Places Blame for Share Price Decline on Politicians

Bear in mind, this was the guy who said Bank of America needed to ‘declare bankruptcy‘ in order to save itself. He was often interviewed by CNBC and BBG, offering a grisly outlook for the banks. He had quite the penchant for prognosticating doom across financial markets. I must admit, after seeing the interview linked below, I was somewhat surprised by the Whalen I saw. He appeared to be tripping over himself, trying to make excuses for Deutsche Bank — blaming the whole ordeal on politicians talking down the stock. He emphatically said Deutsche Bank was a ‘good credit’ with a solid business and was well diversified. When asked about a potential equity raise and how dilutive it might be, he avoided the question and said it didn’t matter — then he delved back into the politicians causing DB to decline conspiracy theory.

Already knowing the answer, I asked him the following question on Twitter.

Whalen heads up a bond rating agency, dubbed Kroll (KBRA) — founded in 2010 and recently sold to a private equity firm named Wharf.

No answer from Mr. Quadruple chin, thus far.

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The UN’s Tweet to ‘End Trump’ Quickly Erased and Called a ‘Mistake’

I am sure it was all a big mistake. The pack of wolves at the UN love Trump.

Here was the tweet.

un

And here is their explanation.

un2

Via Politico

The tweet, published at 9:14 p.m. ET on Thursday, urged American expats to share a voter registration tool on the website of the activist organization Avaaz that states, “U.S. Citizens abroad could defeat Trump … if they voted.”

The Web page, titled “The October surprise that will end Trump,” allows users to sign up for help registering to vote in the Nov. 8 presidential election and encourages them enlist their friends as well.

“At a time when Trump is trying to divide us, we could help defeat him if we all share this page with EVERYONE. Let’s reach every US voter abroad,” it reads.

Indeud. Trump will be defeated by hook or crook.

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A Poor Set Up For Bears, For the Remainder of 2016

One could only hope for a major catastrophe to finally bring forth an end to capital markets — thrusting us into tribes to conduct civil war. But, barring some immediate fuckery of the first magnitude, things are looking bleak for the bear team.

Here are the seasonal returns, by month, for the S&P 500.

seasonal

For those of you taking the Exodus free trials today, we provide you with seasonal data for every stock, ETF, sector, and industry.

That’s not to say something can’t go wrong. October is filled with market dislocations and December is usually a snoozer. If you’re a bear, you need to be mindful of November, for the Turkey Gods rarely miss a ripping bull market into national festival day.

For the past two months, markets have traded down — but to a very small degree. While the general indices traded flat to slightly lower, a sundry of small cap and high beta shares shot higher, diverging from the market. This is a sign that risk is still being accepted, even embraced — in spite of the negative backdrop.

I will repeat this indelible point until I am blue in the face — because it’s a fact and not something up for debate. Everything that you see and hear about the market is a fiction. The CNBC-FOX-CNN-BLOOMBERG propaganda machine rarely gives investors a true glimpse into how rigged the market is. They might interview a guest who says it, who is then ridiculed by one of their permanently bullish ‘traders’ — making the one telling the truth appear to be a lunatic. And if markets go up and people make money, that’s great. To that end, just know that if it weren’t for the central banks fixing yields and propping up asset prices, none of this would be possible.

How long can it last? Apparently, this has never been tested before, so that answer remains a mystery.

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