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You probably think I’m being metaphorical and yet you’d only be partly right.  Actually, I am drinking from the NCAA Golden Cup this very evening.  You see, for the first time since I’ve been participating in the Big College Hoops Tournament pools, I’ve won my whole pool prior to the first Final Four game being played.  Ridiculous, but true.

How, you ask? Well, it’s largely a consequence of this utterly fuktarded (excuse my bastardized French) 2011 Tournament, where not only did none of the #1 Seeds not make it to the Final Four, but none of the #2 Seeds did either! Sacre Bleu, if I weren’t crazy enough of a homer to recognize the latent maturation of the Kentucky Wildcats’ mostly-freshman team, I’d have had picked zero Final Four teams.  As it is, I picked one, and that proved enough for me to win a large amount of money.

Sometimes life is not fair for the other guy, and I recognize that with humility. I will therefore buy the drinks for whomever is going to pitch a “Go Cats!” party this weekend, using my dirty winnings as salutory payment.

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On to the Golden Cup itself… Zombie asked for a “gold and silver update,” and while I scoff at such short term imprecations, I will humor him in appreciation of his long time one-liner hilarities on our collective blogs here.   My analysis will be based on the chart of the stodgy gold ETF, GLD, which I’ve owned for years but speak little about.  It’s part of my “core,” and therefore almost forgotten in any analysis of my day to day trading interests, as I’ve not interest in selling any for some time now.

That said, GLD’s chart can provide some insight onto the future movements in the precious metal environs, and particularly, the miners.   Note, that despite the great success of the miners recently, GLD has had some trouble breaking free of the $139-140 levels as illustrated below?

Note that since November, the price of GLD has flirted with that Maginot Line of $139, and only recently– in early March–  has it breached the promised land of $140 and higher?   We know our friend Mr. CANSLIM, William O’Neil, will quickly tell you that a higher right side of the “cup” in a “cup and handle” formation, is exactly what we should be looking for to best take advantage of an accelerating price situation.

Well, it seems that’s what we are looking at above, and what’s more, it seems the “handle” Mr. O’Neil is so fond of has also appeared over this last month.   Right now, the dollar is struggling to maintain it’s seemingly false Friday gains, and gold and silver seem to be shrugging off any attempts to sell them down.

That tells me, along with the chart above, that we haven’t long before we get a firm break of the $140 level.  I believe that will “bring down the house” so to speak, in terms of actively traded gold stocks.   While I continue to like silver, I think this week will belong to the gold flavor, like the rapper with the gold teeth and the big clock.

Oh right, that’s all of them. 

Carry on, won’t you?  I like NGD, AAU, IAG, IVN and of course ANV, here.

My best to you all.

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My world– it is broken.  I cannot tell up from down, black from white, cockatiel from northern tufted sparrow.

Fitty took Quaddafi Blood Money!

Fitty took Khadaffy Blood Money!

Ah haaaaah…  Fitteeeee  took the fuggin’ Choiduffy Blood Money!

(and so did Beyonce too!)

Where, where oh Lord, has the world gone off kilter when childhood heroes like this turn to ashes in our eyes?  Who now can we look to to fill the Muppets Tree Float on the Thanksgiving Day Parade route?  Who will take the opposite of Lil Wayne’s “Douglas” in the best stovepiped 16th Presidential fashion in the Annual Rapper’s Lincoln-Douglas Debates Re-enactments?

Who??

Warren Gee, where have you gone, man?

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Listen, that shit is all funny and everything but I was up over 3.5% in my stock portfolio and 27% in my option portfolio today, so I can afford to make light fun of a bunch of zillionaire celebrities taking more millions off a bloodthirsty murdering thug dictator who was personally responsible for the deaths of 190 of our fellow citizens, not to mention a schoolboy friend of mine, over the skies of Lockerbie, Scotland.

But let’s not play, that shit is pretty fucked up.   I’m sure there were quite a few celebrities who did the song and dance thing for old Adolph when he was in his prime, but I’m going to doubt it was after he started marching Tribesman off into the woods for target practice.

Curtis, what the fuck were you thinking?

Continue to purchase SLW, EXK, ANV, RGLD, EGO, etc.  We are on the thin end, yet.  Pax.

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As we enter the season of the Fisher of Men, I’ll humbly advance a fisherman’s theme this night. 

This is a time of nervousness and possible discord in the markets and in the civil society.   Revenue strictures have led to a fraying of the social contract, and the casual derision many aim at the government bureaucracy has curdled to something more angry.   It’s tough to watch state employees rioting about having to pay a portion of their health benefits when real unemployment levels hover in the double digits.

Maybe this is a good time to repent?

In any case, this is certainly a decent time to make like a fisherman on the Sea of Galilee and throw out one’s net for certain gold and silver plays that you’ve perhaps let slip in the past.   You are familiar with the number of headliners that I’ve chosen to lead my portfolio and I won’t bother repeating them here.  Any number of them are available on sale right now, and I continue to believe the silvers will remain the leaders, but tonight I’ve decided to illustrate one of my favorite gold picks.  

I think there’s a relatively easy buy point here, provided there’s not some sea change in either the dollar’s direction, or the overall market.  Behold:

How fortunate we are to be able to cast out our nets in such waters and bring up large gaping lunkers! 

Mazel tov.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2m2FIQzal9U&feature=related]

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The knock-out makes the fighter a star, but there’s a lot of steps leading up to the fatal punch, that money maker.   It all starts with foot-work.  Ali had the greatest footwork this side of Sugar Ray Robinson, and he defined footwork as a defensive weapon in the famous rope-a-dope strategy, that combined an amorphous passive-aggressive upper body roll with a sly shuffle-dance against the ropes that literally sucked the power from the brutish giant, George Foreman, on that signature humid night in Zaire.

I advocate a similar strategy to assist in absorbing the brutal retaliatory flurries that will inevitably arise from this tidal bull we presently enjoy.  Roll with the punches.  Bleed some shares if you must — 10%, maybe even 20%.    I would not go beyond 30% at this juncture, however.   Keeping cash on hand is one thing, keeping too much of the nasty stuff and missing the rocket launch that is coming is another.

I hope this post will be timely, if in fact today’s hesitation leads to something more stomach churning.  Most important is that you do not lose your focus while the roller coaster whips you about.  

In the end, you must ask yourself the rational question:  Has any single component or fact set changed in the paper money destruction thesis?   If not, you must carry on to the predictable end.

Hint — We’re not there yet. 

EXK, SLW, PAAS, MVG on silver.   IAG and ANV and RGLD on gold.  AAU and NGD and PGZ are for your higher risk plays.  All of these on the expected dips in the next few days.

Pax.

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My fellow Americans… on this dark, dark day, when your PM positions have pulled back an egregious and insufferable one to two percent, I say to you, do not despair!

Do not feel compelled to jump on the gerbil wheel of drunken Chinamen.

Do not wander over hill and dale for the next Great Internet Bullshittery. 

And do not even bother getting short anything.  The Ben Bernank will shower all with increasingly feeble greenbacks.   Some will feel warm.  Some will point to value.   It will matter little.

Today, you must ask not what the dollar can do for you, but what you can do for the dollar.  At $76.25 or so, you can cheer the dollar on, and celebrate it’s deceased feline trampoline action by indulging in a select group of excellent names.  

They be SLW, PAAS, EXK, NGD, AAU, ANV, EGO and MVG.  

One other thing.  If you are worried about 5% moves one way or the other, and trying to catch every inflection, this game is not for you.   We are riding a wave of pure cement, and you are too small to challenge the intractable.   You will be entombed like a random concrete pourer on the mighty Verrazano.  

That is all, be well and healthy.

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UP goes silver and gold!

Sorry, I only have a minute or so, and it took me a while to fix the pic (if it is fixed!).

Looks like the dollar is heading to at least $76 where it should bounce (no guarantees).  That should give you an entry into some of my wild babies, like SLW, ANV, RGLD, PAAS, and maybe even AGQ if you have the gumption.  

I also like IVN and of course NGD and almost any silver here.  Buy quality if you can, however, so only do HL and CDE small, if at all.

I continue to become enriched, thanks to the above.  Have you participated?

I will try to re-cap my DC adventures later tonight.  Bizarre town, this is. 

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