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Patience Warranted

Doctor 

Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] is the strongest of the litter, here, and most of the precious still have work to do.  The silvers in particular are giving me agita, but only in that they are making me wait.

I bot some more Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] today as it tested its 38.2% fib, and [[PAAS]] and Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] had similar (though not as severe) pullbacks today.   Seasonally, we’ve entered into a slow period in the PM’s, but I am just not willing to sell anything right now, given the precariousness of the bond and dollar situation.   Sure, we could have more strength in both, but I just keep looking at the amount they have to sell this week (hat tip to Scum Bucket), and… well, let’s just say hard money is looking a lot more appetizing, and I’m getting ready to reload on more [[TBT]] . 

Of my non-Jackson’s Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] was actually a gold miner that was up today, and I’ve already mentioned that I increased my position in Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] .   Pretty soon I’m going to look like a gypsy Queen with gold and silver (and a touch of platinum, though I’ve yet to add to my starter position in [[PTM]] yet) dangling off my fingers, toes, ears and dreadlocks.

But that’s what our major theme is going to be here, folks, for the duration, so get used to it.  Soon, you’ll thank me for my persistent nagging.  In fact, it’s quite likely that someday, you’ll be adorning your children in “just 4 Kids” NY Giant paraphenelia in my honour (sic), and sending them off to college with tuition bills paid for in gold doubloons and pieces of eight.

I have every confidence.   All I need is the patience of a Bengal tiger in the deep brush on the annual Marlon Perkins’ Eat a Safari Tourist Day.  

Non PM picks I like, if you’re interested, include [[BIOS]] and Health Grades, Inc. [[HGRD]] here.   Best to you all.

Name/     %    
Ticker 2-Jul 6-Jul Change   Comments
ANDE  $                 30.89  $               29.67 -3.95%   Bounced off 20 day, sell on break $28.90
EGO                       9.25                     8.75 -5.41%   Closed a cent over the 50-day ($8.74)
GDX                     38.31                   36.94 -3.58%   Gapped down, doji’d, 200 day $35.94 
GLD                     91.25                   90.76 -0.54%   POG $925 headed for $900?
IAG                     10.34                     9.93 -3.97%   Bounced off 50 day, patience, a keeper
MON                     71.96                   73.26 1.81%   Bounced as I suspected, but vol. sucks
NRP                     20.77                   20.70 -0.34%   Still oversold, but hanging in.
PAAS                     18.22                   17.83 -2.14%   Looking weak, still.
RGLD                     41.52                   39.04 -5.97%   Below 200 day EMA, looking weak
SLV                     13.16                   13.10 -0.46%   Oversold, but 200 week beckons (12.40)
SLW                       8.40                     7.75 -7.74%   Closed penny over the 38.2% retrace, I bot.
SSRI                     18.79                   18.20 -3.14%   Doji’d but could seek $17 one more time
TBT                     50.73                   50.94 0.41%   Looks ready to make a move
TC                     10.36                   10.07 -2.80%   Could target 50 day ($9.00)
TCK                     16.09                   16.88 4.91%   Chinese investment give a pop.
TZA                     23.63                   24.34 3.00%   Portfolio saver again, still 1/2 position
Cash (000)  $               13.44  $              13.44 0.01%   Same
AVG (daily)     -1.76%    
AVG (monthly)   -1.14%    
AVG (inception)   11.26%    

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Jake Takes Cake

Gold cake

Something about today’s low volume isn’t really convincing me today. Perhaps I’ll be shown the fool, I dunno. I do know the dollar is still shaky here with [[UUP]] having a tough time reclaiming the ever important $24.00 mark, and DXY only about fifty cents north of $80. Until the currency firms, I’m not going to be doing any “panic Jaeger bombs” in Danny’s basement.

I will remain in the defensive today, even as certain Jacksonian’s thrive. Our newest addition Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] benefits today from a weekend announced Chinese Gov’t investment, which shows that the Red Chinese are more Jacksonian than the Red Democrats running our Fed and Fisc right now. What irony, no? Also, [[TBT]] is up today, which gives me pause with regard to the Armegeddon scenarios as well. One would think the [[TLT]] would be up today given the dire portents afoot, no? But it’s not. Also, the hedge [[TZA]] is serving its purpose again today.

As a result of my skepticism, in true Costanza fashion, I am taking advantage of the worse wounded Jackson today — Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] — which has a intermediate term (10/25/08 lows to 6/4/09 highs) 38.2% fib retrace line at $7.74. Our lows today were $7.72, and we are now back at $7.74 as I type this. I bot another 2k at $7.82 all the same. I also got another 2k of Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] at $2.88 as I continue to believe this name will show M&A related relative strength as it has been.

As ever the caveats are in place, especially with SLW — for which I have an unnatural obsession. Purchase of either of these — especially today — will cause your Lance Armstrong “Live Strong” bullshit rubber bands to tighten in the sun, rendering your hands useless clubs for the duration.

_____________

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Give me More of These “Days Off,” Please

    [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4MXiUzCl9As 450 300]

Today I spent much of my “holiday”  (official, not actual) working on my bocce court in the blazing Southern sun.  Let me say that it’s days like this that give one an appreciation for manual labour (sic), though no avocation for it, let me assure you.

Know first that this bocce court is actually a 2+ year old “birthday present” from my loving wife, who — in a moment of true inspiration — thought that a bocce court would recall for me both fond memories of New York and my then-recently departed father– who though an Irishman through and through, loved the game like no other.  I was less enthusiastic, having a natural aversion to yard work of any kind, and this was looking more like “yard project” — a far more grim prospect.

The good woman persisted however.  We have a relatively large backyard, and she figured it would fit nicely at the far end, back by the willow trees.   As you might expect, this all ended up in the nightmarish category of  “never ending project,” where I’ve played the roles of designer, architect, general contractor, and — most recently — landscape engineer.

Mr first problem was that there was a dearth of Italian carpenters in my locale.   Well, “dearth” is a bit of a euphemism… actually, there were none.  There’s a restaurant downtown that has a bocce court, but I think they imported the guys who built it — a middle of the night operation.  What’s more,  the materials called for in the on-line plans we’d procured called for oyster shells and other exotic ingredients not readily available at the local Home Depot.   My loving bride would not be thwarted however, and she found a willing contractor who claimed he’d have no problem following our guidelines.

Never believe a contractor who says that kind of thing, okay?  They always have a problem, somewhere.  This one had all kinds of trouble grading my yard to a flat enough plane to lay out the 60′ court.   Three times he had to come in with the backhoe.   My two year old (at the time) loved it, at least.   After that, everything was “special supervision” on a Weekend Warrior basis– for the love of all green currency and compound interest.

So we finally got the court laid out and the sand, gravel and finally red brick dust (my secret ingredient to replace the “oyster shells” the online plan called for.  Note: I’ve never played bocce on oyster shells, that must be some kind of freaking West Florida bocce or something) placed within the 60 ‘x 10′ two by six pegged planks.   I was the one who personally laid down the brick dust,  after it was deposited by the dumptruck, btw.   I would trust no one else with it.  The old highball throwing Eyetals from Carroll Gardens would’ve been proud of my zen-like focus.

It was a beautiful thing up until the first major rains.   This is when I noted that “the ease of drainage” promised in my plans was a pile of horse.   The only thing that drained easily was my brickdust, down the side of the hill, out of a gaping hole carved by the rain on the lower slope of our planed lower yard.

So that’s been my Spring project this year – re-graveling and then shoring up my bocce court with various landscaping fascia, including, most recently, massive bricks of some unknown ground composite material.  I finished the last of it today, much to my lumbars’ chagrin.   My neighbors only chuckle knowingly at my Quixotic efforts and then go back to their more red-neckish pursuits of “corn-hole” (I do not jest) and deep fried turkey leg gnawing.

Tomorrow, however, we will have our annual Jakegint’s Dad Fourth of July Tournament,  along with Son #2’s 12th birthday.   God and my lower back willing, I will dazzle the locales with my ball curling prowess and it will be all worth it. 

God bless America and the Eyetalians who braved the cold Atlantic and  Ellis Island to bring us the perfect summer ale drinking sport.  Salud, and a Happy Fourth to you all. 

_______________________

Here are Wednesday and Thursday’s Jackson Port looks.  Nothing especially egrgegious save MONster, which I may have to cut completely loose upon a break of $70.   As you recall, I’ve a half position right now, and I think it’s so oversold right now, that no bounce here means extreme trouble, and therefore a recommended disposal.  Gold looks like it’s holding up here, which, as I’ve mentioned,  I believe means good things for silver as well.  The non precious metals seem strongest of all.  See my notes for further comment.  

Name/     %   %    
Ticker 30-Jun 1-Jul Change 2-Jul Change   Comments
ANDE  $           29.94  $      31.34 4.68%  $        30.89 -1.44%   Still riding the 8-day EMA like a champ
EGO                 8.95            9.17 2.46%              9.25 0.87%   Up, but on low volume.
GDX               37.82          39.41 4.22%            38.31 -2.79%   Low volume, just below the 50 day EMA
GLD               91.18          92.39 1.33%            91.25 -1.23%   Ditto,  POG just under $930.
IAG               10.12          10.65 5.24%            10.34 -2.91%   Bounced off 20 day EMA (10.06)
MON               74.34          73.20 -1.53%            71.96 -1.69%   Totally oversold, but sell <70 .
NRP               21.01          20.97 -0.19%            20.77 -0.95%   Ridicluously oversold, but sell < 20.50
PAAS               18.33          18.86 2.89%            18.22 -3.39%   Back in congestion zone.
RGLD               41.69          42.43 1.78%            41.52 -2.14%   200 day at $39.67
SLV               13.38          13.55 1.27%            13.16 -2.88%   Bot AGQ @ $39.20 yesterday
SLW                 8.24            8.55 3.76%              8.40 -1.75%   Closed right on the 200 day EMA
SSRI               18.75          19.07 1.71%            18.79 -1.47%   Close below 200 day EMA
TBT               50.92          51.06 0.27%            50.73 -0.65%   Still haven’t bot back yet… soon.
TC               10.22          10.38 1.57%            10.36 -0.19%   Still strong, above 20 day EMA
TCK               15.94          16.78 5.27%            16.09 -4.11%   Closed right on the 20 day EMA
TZA               22.75          21.54 -5.32%            23.63 9.70%   Portfolio saver today, still 1/2 position
Cash (000)  $          13.44  $     13.44 0.01%  $      13.44 0.01%   Same
AVG (daily)     1.73%   -1.00%    
AVG (monthly)   1.73%   0.65%    
AVG (inception)   15.12%   13.71%    

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Sorry for the Tardiness

tardy 

I’ve been out all day, and I just realized I never even put down yesterday’s Jackson Portfolio display.   Must have been a cognitive dissonance thing, as the portfolio was down a little more than 1.5% yesterday (with cash, which the intraday changes don’t incorporate). 

Anyway, I figured I’d make it up to you by including this somewhat pedantic, yet useful “tardiness” tip sheet I cadged from “CommunicateInnovate.com” — in itself a useful site.   I also left off the comments from yesterday, since the rebound kind of makes them useless.    Looks like both gold and silver are staying within the range, and Mr. Anderson continues his winning ways… Onto the “tips” —

Bottom line: Whether it is a thrill or habit, there are steps you can take to reduce and eliminate your chronic tardiness problem. How do you respect and effectively utilize the universally shared commodity of time?

Balancing your time with those around you is an ongoing challenge. Be vigilant about effectively using your time and anyone sharing your time. Your calendar, your day timer (or PDA) and the clock are intrinsic tools of the business trade. Learn to tell time, use timers and challenge yourself to get there on time. There are mental mind-sets and effective meeting processes that can help you kick the tardiness problem (they helped me). Consider your scheduled meeting times as just a center point of your overall meeting time. It is usually the informal meetings or contact before and after the formal session where most of the business or decisions are solidified.

Always allow time for this informal contact:

1) Allow yourself 15 minutes before each scheduled meeting or event to: – get your thoughts or agenda together at the location for the meeting – have a quick meeting with the main person to review the agenda – chat with the person who is setting up the meeting room to get information on the attendees. Executive Assistants and Administrative Assistants can be an invaluable source of information. Build trust with this individual. – socialize and introduce yourself to the attendees prior to the formal meeting. You are likely to pick-up on the temperament of key individuals attending your meeting.

2) Allow 15 minutes after each scheduled meeting or event to: – review how effective the meeting was perceived by your key customer (coach) or by an attending colleague. – Take time with the key person (key influencer) to review the outcome of the meeting and strategize next steps – Test the water and ask for the business. You might actually get the order. Alllow time for that too

3) Give yourself the 15/15 minute buffer before and after each scheduled meeting to allow for unexpected things. Plus you will less likely impact on subsequent meeting times. Early is always better than late.

Arriving on-time is the most visible sign of disrespect toward the other people involved. For first time meetings, being on-time is one of the major positive impacts on ‘first and lasting impressions’. Add to your good reputation – be on-time. Including this “15/15 Time Wrapper” around each of your scheduled appointments and meetings will afford you more time to prepare/strategize (before)and then assess/close(afterwards). Reduce stress on both yourself and those around you. Your respect for other people’s time is a measure of your own self-respect. Being respectful is an honorable trait – a trait that can only add to your glowing reputation.  

About the Author:

Carl Chesal is a business and channel development consultant, trainer, internet marketer and professional photographer. He operates BizFare Enterprise Inc, providing business development, marketing, and internet marketing services. Bizfare Enterprise also operates a number of secure on-line shopping sites.

____________________________

12.74%

Jacksons from Yesterday:

Name/     %
Ticker 29-Jun 30-Jun Change
ANDE  $      29.91  $      29.94 0.10%
EGO            9.45            8.95 -5.29%
GDX          39.15          37.82 -3.41%
GLD          92.04          91.18 -0.93%
IAG          10.30          10.12 -1.75%
MON          75.93          74.34 -2.09%
NRP          21.02          21.01 -0.05%
PAAS          18.55          18.33 -1.19%
RGLD          42.97          41.69 -2.98%
SLV          13.66          13.38 -2.05%
SLW            8.52            8.24 -3.29%
SSRI          19.16          18.75 -2.14%
TBT          50.65          50.92 0.53%
TC          10.57          10.22 -3.31%
TCK          16.06          15.94 -0.75%
TZA          22.52          22.75 1.02%
AVG (daily)   -1.72%
AVG (monthly)   -6.98%
 

 

AVG (inception)

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Bernie Madoff, Prison Bride

Bernie Madoff, Prison Bride

So they gave Bernie 150 years in the slam. Sounds like a big deal, but I bet he doesn’t do 12… this side of the daisies, at least. Hey fugheddaboudit, he might even escape the above elaborate costume by becoming the “prison accountant” and doing Bubbah’s taxes every year. Can you see it?

Bubbalah, I have news! Yoah tax refund estimates out at 16 cahtons of Marlboro Reds and a case of Mint Jelly Spam. No, dahling, it is no trouble.  You just pay me my “dahposit” of five cartons, and we can get the ball rolling on this new “thing” right away!

He should be fine.

But enough about old Bernie.  Let’s face it, he’s getting what he deserves, and that’s what we’re all about on the Jacksonian Plan too.   Right now, it looks like the market is taking its time taking a decision.   Will she run up to the top of the hill at 960 again, or jump off the cliff righ here at 926-ish, and end it all, emo lemming style?   I admit I don’t know, as today was a veritable “stick in the mud” despite the drop in the dollar and the increase in oil prices.

Earnings are still coming out favourably (sic) in some industries, including health care and selected technologies.  Aging pension filler behemoths like Johnson & Johnson Johnson & Johnson [[JNJ]] , Amgen, Inc. [[AMGN]]  , Merck & Co., Inc. Merck & Co., Inc. Merck & Co., Inc. Merck & Co., Inc. [[MRK]] and even good old staple stock Pfizer Inc. [[PFE]] are starting to look like they’ves got some gusto here, and the Jackson’s seem like they want to go into hibernation.  

That doesn’t mean there’s not money to be made, however, and on top of the Jacksons I’ll be watching these nutty juniors like Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] and Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] , and some key techs that The PPT has been alerting me to.   Two I purchased today were Fly’s current hot pick [[ARMH]] and perennial PPT favourite (sic) [[BIOS]] at $6.02 and $5.83 respectively.  I am also waiting on an entry for TEKELEC [[TKLC]] , perhaps tomorrow.  

In the meantime, the only Jackson that I think looks appetizing here is [[TBT]] , as I think it’s getting very cheap again.   I continue to monitor the silvers closely, however, as they’ve been volatile lately.  That said, the spot price of silver is back above $14 tonight, and gold is back over $940 again.   Good signs.

 I promise to make myself more available tomorrow, and keep you updated on the purchases and sales, if any.   Good night for now.

Name/     %    
Ticker 26-Jun 29-Jun Change   Comments
ANDE  $      30.23  $      29.91 -1.06%   Low volume pullback.  Keeping an eye.
EGO            9.40            9.45 0.53%   Plateauing.
GDX          39.20          39.15 -0.13%   Hanging on the 20-day
GLD          92.29          92.04 -0.27%   POG over $940 now.
IAG          10.48          10.30 -1.72%   Low volume pullback.  
MON          75.25          76.20 1.26%   Still a lot of work to do.
NRP          20.82          21.02 0.96%   Watch for break of bear flag here.
PAAS          19.08          18.55 -2.78%   Turned away at the 200 & 50 day
RGLD          42.07          42.97 2.14%   Low volume retrace, not trusting.
SLV          13.90          13.66 -1.73%   POS back above $14 this evening.
SLW            8.72            8.52 -2.29%   Between the 50 and 200 day EMA.
SSRI          19.52          19.16 -1.84%   Same as SLW
TBT          50.84          50.65 -0.38%   Very slight pullback… looking to add again
TC          10.44          10.57 1.25%   4th upday, on light volume
TCK          16.56          16.06 -3.02%   Low vol, still above 20, 50, and 200.
TZA          22.50          22.52 0.09%   Flat on low volume. Do or die, here.
AVG (daily)     -0.56%    
AVG (monthly)     -6.96%    
AVG (inception)     14.80%    

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Bizarro-Close

My friend Mr. Russell was reconstituting today, just as my enemy Mrs. Pelosi was trying to reconstitute our country’s energy markets.  So you can imagine it was a bit harum scarum.

I will come back later, and blog like the wind in the willows (maybe I’ll have illustrative capabilities back by then), but now it’s off to a super important pool party replete with screaming brats.  Ah, parenthood.

Later.

____________

Back, and I’ve looked at the JCHP for today, and save for the bizarro behaviour of usually reliable Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] , it looked like a general consolidation day for the PM’s, which is natural given the large moves a number of them made yesterday.  Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] continues to look good here, as do a the juniors I’d mentioned earlier in the day (see last post).

I will try to find out wtf is going on with RGLD this weekend. 

The other good news is that the non precious metals — Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] and Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] , as well as ag supplier The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] all look like they are uncoiling out of their bullish flags again.  Keep a close eye for volume increases.

Last, be sure to keep an eye on the biotech pinless hand grenades I’ve tossed around over the last couple of weeks.   A number of them did the astral elevator today, I think because of Russell Reconstitution Day.   They included [[HEB]] , [[CTIC]] and ImmunoGen, Inc. [[IMGN]] .

Lastly, Fly’s chip box chomper of the future, [[ENTR]] had a nice gain today, but more important, it rose on huge (almost 16x average) volume.  I did not see their name in the Russell rebalances, so this volume remains a mystery.  Something to look for on Monday, however, as significant volume is usually… well… significant!

The Jackson’s on Friday:

Name/     %    
Ticker 25-Jun 26-Jun Change   Comments
ANDE  $        29.95  $      30.23 0.93%   Moving nicely out of the bull flag
EGO              9.39            9.40 0.11%   Consolidation day for gold
GDX            39.99          39.20 -1.98%   Ditto
GLD            92.31          92.29 -0.02%   POG broke briefly over $940, then back.
IAG            10.58          10.48 -0.95%   Consolidation day for gold
MON            75.66          75.25 -0.54%   Ditto
NRP            20.83          20.82 -0.05%   Flat again, forming bear flag?
PAAS            19.34          19.08 -1.34%   Held up at the 200 day EMA
RGLD            46.00          42.07 -8.54%   Freakish late day drop.   Be prepared to cut 
SLV            13.81          13.90 0.65%   Up with the POS
SLW              8.81            8.72 -1.02%   Held up at the 50 day EMA
SSRI            19.65          19.52 -0.66%   Held up at the 50 day EMA
TBT            51.03          50.84 -0.37%   Near flat today, could be done w. pull back
TC            10.31          10.44 1.26%   Like ANDE moving out of flag
TCK            15.99          16.56 3.56%   Same, looking very strong here
TZA            22.74          22.50 -1.06%   Flattish for a triple.
AVG (daily)     -0.63%    
AVG (monthly)   -6.44%    
AVG (inception)   15.49%    

 Update: The Ozzie’s get it right.   Or at least their Senate does.  Let’s hope our own Senate can be as astute when this criminal theft Al Gore bill comes before them.   Hold your reps accountable on this one, people.

___________

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