iBankCoin
Joined Apr 19, 2009
721 Blog Posts

Patience Warranted

Doctor 

Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] is the strongest of the litter, here, and most of the precious still have work to do.  The silvers in particular are giving me agita, but only in that they are making me wait.

I bot some more Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] today as it tested its 38.2% fib, and [[PAAS]] and Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] had similar (though not as severe) pullbacks today.   Seasonally, we’ve entered into a slow period in the PM’s, but I am just not willing to sell anything right now, given the precariousness of the bond and dollar situation.   Sure, we could have more strength in both, but I just keep looking at the amount they have to sell this week (hat tip to Scum Bucket), and… well, let’s just say hard money is looking a lot more appetizing, and I’m getting ready to reload on more [[TBT]] . 

Of my non-Jackson’s Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] was actually a gold miner that was up today, and I’ve already mentioned that I increased my position in Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] .   Pretty soon I’m going to look like a gypsy Queen with gold and silver (and a touch of platinum, though I’ve yet to add to my starter position in [[PTM]] yet) dangling off my fingers, toes, ears and dreadlocks.

But that’s what our major theme is going to be here, folks, for the duration, so get used to it.  Soon, you’ll thank me for my persistent nagging.  In fact, it’s quite likely that someday, you’ll be adorning your children in “just 4 Kids” NY Giant paraphenelia in my honour (sic), and sending them off to college with tuition bills paid for in gold doubloons and pieces of eight.

I have every confidence.   All I need is the patience of a Bengal tiger in the deep brush on the annual Marlon Perkins’ Eat a Safari Tourist Day.  

Non PM picks I like, if you’re interested, include [[BIOS]] and Health Grades, Inc. [[HGRD]] here.   Best to you all.

Name/     %    
Ticker 2-Jul 6-Jul Change   Comments
ANDE  $                 30.89  $               29.67 -3.95%   Bounced off 20 day, sell on break $28.90
EGO                       9.25                     8.75 -5.41%   Closed a cent over the 50-day ($8.74)
GDX                     38.31                   36.94 -3.58%   Gapped down, doji’d, 200 day $35.94 
GLD                     91.25                   90.76 -0.54%   POG $925 headed for $900?
IAG                     10.34                     9.93 -3.97%   Bounced off 50 day, patience, a keeper
MON                     71.96                   73.26 1.81%   Bounced as I suspected, but vol. sucks
NRP                     20.77                   20.70 -0.34%   Still oversold, but hanging in.
PAAS                     18.22                   17.83 -2.14%   Looking weak, still.
RGLD                     41.52                   39.04 -5.97%   Below 200 day EMA, looking weak
SLV                     13.16                   13.10 -0.46%   Oversold, but 200 week beckons (12.40)
SLW                       8.40                     7.75 -7.74%   Closed penny over the 38.2% retrace, I bot.
SSRI                     18.79                   18.20 -3.14%   Doji’d but could seek $17 one more time
TBT                     50.73                   50.94 0.41%   Looks ready to make a move
TC                     10.36                   10.07 -2.80%   Could target 50 day ($9.00)
TCK                     16.09                   16.88 4.91%   Chinese investment give a pop.
TZA                     23.63                   24.34 3.00%   Portfolio saver again, still 1/2 position
Cash (000)  $               13.44  $              13.44 0.01%   Same
AVG (daily)     -1.76%    
AVG (monthly)   -1.14%    
AVG (inception)   11.26%    
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14 comments

  1. 4fl3x

    SLW is going to take your cake.

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  2. CavemanForecaster

    Jake, as usual I am questioning my crappy timing with the metals. But I am hanging in there on SLW… for now!

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  3. Scum Bucket Bitchez
    Scum Bucket Bitchez

    H/T 4 me, woohoo!

    Sorry about the PMs Jake, I was a believer for twenty years. Even now it’s hard to fathom that it’s not over $50. Where’s the love? One thing that got me thinking were those lines of buyers when it was $20, those were’nt chinese, they were yokels. Sooner or later they will need their money back, even at a loss.

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  4. JakeGint

    Sorry about the PMs Jake, I was a believer for twenty years. Even now it’s hard to fathom that it’s not over $50. Where’s the love? One thing that got me thinking were those lines of buyers when it was $20, those were’nt chinese, they were yokels. Sooner or later they will need their money back, even at a loss.

    Sounds like you were a believer for the wrong 20 years — or 13 at least ;)….

    Seriously, the one absolute tenet of a bull is that its known for shaking off as many adherents as it can while it grinds higher, just as a bear is known for sucking on as many “hopers” as possible before flushing them, en masse, down the toilet.

    Now is the time to take Fly’s advice and nibble patiently, like a mouse on the inside of a fireworks mortar tube made from pure semolina wheat.

    Soon, you will be shot skyward.

    Patience, my son. (FWIW — almost all the Jacksons are positive in a down market… notable exception, yesterdays “big winner” TCK).

    __________

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    • Scum Bucket Bitchez
      Scum Bucket Bitchez

      Hang in there buddy, long term the dollar is dead meat.

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    • ZMoose12

      Patience with SSRI too… That’s on my watch list, and I have my conviction that it’s a winner. One more day and the AA earnings come out, which is indeed the moment of truth for Aluminum and anything aluminum-based.

      I am still a Jacksonian believer, although I have no Jacksonians in my portfolio right now!

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  5. CavemanForecaster
    CavemanForecaster

    Jake, I think you should add DMM (the Case Shiller bearish housing ETF) to your port. I just picked some up today. Note my KOPG post about it.

    … of course I know there is no way you will add it to the Jackson port but I figured I would rib you anyway.

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  6. JakeGint

    Market obscene…?

    Jacksons green!

    _________

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  7. JakeGint

    Jake, as usual I am questioning my crappy timing with the metals. But I am hanging in there on SLW… for now!

    I’m not a huge fan of buy and hold, but in this sector, I make the exception.

    _______

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  8. Scum Bucket Bitchez
    Scum Bucket Bitchez

    Telegraph for the equities market:

    Sender: The Bond Market

    Message: Ur f@cked, Stop.

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  9. JakeGint

    Bond market– we must sell these bonds this week, stop.

    Precious metals market — we know., stop. Come to think of it, don’t stop. Stop.

    _________

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    • Scum Bucket Bitchez
      Scum Bucket Bitchez

      PMs will win the day eventually, either way it goes.

      Equities, not so much.

      IMO it is a lose -lose xmas future for stocks. Bonds go up it means people are shunning risk, bad for stocks. Bonds go down and they attract capital away from stocks, bad again. PMs will watch both with semi-detached amusement.

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  10. JakeGint

    SVA hangin in there baybee!

    As well as SLW, Mr. Cubs Sux.

    _________

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  11. JakeGint

    Any of you fackers get some HGRD today, as mentioned above? BIOS only off a penny, still looks good.

    _______

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