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Deserves Got Nothing To Do With It

One of the great things about the internet is that novice traders do not have to go it alone. There are plenty of websites, communities and chat rooms to flesh out ideas and strategies (with iBC and The PPT obviously being at the very top of that hierarchy). In some of the lower tier sites and platforms, of course, along with those marketplaces of ideas comes plenty of insecure, toxic personalities who feel the need to put other traders down, in order to bring themselves up.

In particular, many crusty veteran traders often talk about their decades of experience in “the business.” While extensive experience can indeed be extremely beneficial, many of these washed up types believe that they are entitled to make far more profits than you–the up and comer–could ever dream of making. Through their condescending and patronizing remarks, they just know, in their heart of hearts, that they deserve to make money in the stock market because of their years working in said industry. If the has-been is a trader who looks at charts, for example, you will often hear him refer to himself as being a “true technician,” unlike the other supposed dunces on the internet. The reality for many of them, of course, is that they are tired of working hard (if they ever did) and just want the market to give them a handout for all of their years of service. They are looking for shortcuts, if you will. As you know, Mr. Market does not give a shit about how many years that you have been working in “the biz.” He will Adebisi your ass the moment you think you have got this whole stock market timing thing down cold.

What I am here to tell you is that most of these “industry veterans” are likely less than two years away from being a bunch of losers sitting around a bar, saying “Oh yeah, I used to be a trader. It’s a tough racket,” just before they gulp down some loser microbrewery. Believe me, I have seen the same phenomenon, without fault, in the poker world. Whether it is in Las Vegas, Atlantic City or southern California, there are always grumpy players who claim that the newbies have all the luck, while they have to scrap for every penny and never get to “play their rush.”

While it is most certainly true that there are plenty of experienced traders to admire, you should be extremely selective in whose advice you choose to heed. Making trading decisions because Art Cashin expects a certain unique gravitational pull from the Moon, or because he’s feeling lucky in general due to the fact that his server gave him an extra side of cabbage with his corned beef, is not a good idea. Whether it be trading or poker, many of these old losers will try to use every gimmick in the book to look for an edge, as a substitute for hard (and smart) work. Just as with the traders sitting around the bar, most of those dilapidated poker players inevitably wind up drifting away into the Las Vegas night, living off of government checks or trying to find a job driving a cab, never to be seen with money inside a poker room again.

My point is this, and read this carefully: I do not care whether you are in high school, your 20’s, 30’s, 40’s, or whether you are a retired grandparent who just started trading. If you are consistently putting in hard work and performing unbiased analysis on the markets, and then following through with proper execution on your trades with a respect for risk, you will do well as a trader. What these decrepit scumbags fail to remember is that hubris and pride come before the fall. Do not, by any means, EVER let them get inside your head. If you are working intelligently and are making money as a trader, you have earned every last penny. You did not get lucky. Rather, it is the old loser who has been lucky to still be working in the industry (likely because of some personal guilt trip they laid on a former employer or fellow employee). TUNE OUT THE BULLSHIT.

Make no mistake, however, that you should definitely be using the internet to supplement and extrapolate your trading ideas and strategies. That is where iBC and The PPT enter into the picture. As an example, why do you think Danny is posting his nightly breadth readings as well as his “rip or explodes” list? I assure you it is not because he has deemed it a necessary part of some prescribed “treu champagne lifestyle.” Rather, he is posting that work to help YOU, the up and comer. So use it! The same holds true with every other blog on this site, as well as the invaluable tools and community inside The PPT.

Now, seeing as it is a Saturday, you’ll excuse me before I lose my temper.

Back to weekend festivities…

______________________

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N7hh2FwFVgU 450 300]

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CHESS MOVES

I have made three trades thus far today.

  1. I bought 1/4 more of my position in $LULU. I have now 3/4 of a position in the stock.
  2. I initiated a 1/2 long position in $DECK.
  3. I initiated a 1/2 long position in $THOR.

_____________________

TOTAL PORTFOLIO:

EQUITIES (Including ETF instruments):

  • LONG: 33% ($APKT $LULU $CRM $IAG $MDAS $ISH $DECK $THOR)
  • SHORT/HEDGED: 6% ($TLT $TZA)

CASH: 61%

___________________________

NOTE: These are posted to be trading ideas only. Should you follow me in, I urge you to use stop losses to mitigate your downside risk (I prefer a 7-8% trailing stop loss).

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uS5utRRlqXM 450 300]

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CHESS MOVES

Into the closing bell, I have decided to pick away at some hedges.

(All buy orders time stamped inside The PPT)

LONG:

  • 1/2 position $TLT
  • 1/3 position $TZA

TOTAL PORTFOLIO:

EQUITIES:

  • LONG: 27% ($APKT $LULU $CRM $IAG $MDAS $ISH)
  • SHORT/HEDGED: 6% ($TLT $TZA)

CASH: 67%

NOTE: These are posted to be trading ideas only. Should you follow me in, I urge you to use stop losses to mitigate your downside risk (I prefer a 7-8% trailing stop loss).


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CHESS MOVES

Continuing with my theme of putting out feelers into this market until proven wrong, I went long two more issues today. I consider today’s action to be bullish, and would be enticed to buy more, should we see a few more quiet days like today.

(All buy orders time stamped inside The PPT)

LONG:

1/2 sized positions in: $MDAS $ISH

WARNING: Both stocks are relatively thinly traded. Please be aware of this, should you choose to follow.

TOTAL PORTFOLIO:

EQUITIES: 27% ($APKT $LULU $CRM $IAG $MDAS $ISH)

CASH: 73%

NOTE #1: Should I add any more long exposure from here, I will likely put one some hedges to the short side.

NOTE #2: These are posted to be trading ideas only. If you choose to follow me in, I urge you to use stop losses to mitigate your downside risks (I prefer a 7-8% trailing stop loss).

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LeCYvHIISg0&feature=related 450 300]

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Charts Are Like Shakira’s Hips

They just don’t lie.

When you see the shares of some of the fastest growing publicly traded firms in the world continue to be bought up by institutions in this kind of macroeconomic environment, you would be remiss not to factor that into your analysis. As you know, I have been as cautious as anyone on the broad market since late April. In fact, I warned of the megaphone bearish topping pattern before most chartists, a few days before the flash crash. On May 3rd of this year. I posted this chart on chart.ly– click here (see chart below).

My point is that I am far from a perma bull. Recently, a big reason for me being cautious was because of the sloppy chart patterns of some of the market leaders. Although they have held up relatively well during this correction, their daily charts were less than inspiring in terms of compelling me to rush in and put on longs.

However, I have seen some strong buyers come in to support several key high growth names. Below are some charts of the high flyers, where I have denoted the underlying bid that helped to firm up the sloppy patterns. As The Fly notes in his evening post tonight, The PPT confirms that we are certainly extended in the short term.  If we continue to rally in a straight line higher from here, I will not chase. On the other hand, if we get the expected pullback or sideways consolidation, I believe some very good buying opportunities could present themselves, providing the market does not see more heavy distribution days.

While it remains troubling that the volume in the broad indices continues to be fallow, it is hard to ignore the price action supported by strong volume in these fast growing names:

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