iBankCoin
Full-time stock trader. Follow me here and on 12631
Joined Apr 1, 2010
8,861 Blog Posts

Trimming a Piece of That Mullet

101011_atb_fleckenstein

Inside 12631 just now, I sold a piece of my TMV (triple-levered short bond ETF) in the face of today’s bond market sell-off.

TLT (ETF for bonds) is back to its 50-day moving average (darker blue line on my chart, below) and I suspect bulls may try to put up a fight next week.

Overall, though, I am still playing for the bond bear to resume sometime soon, with a stop above recent rally highs.

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TLT

 

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8 comments

  1. zookini

    Staring at the red and missed PANW

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  2. mateo

    Well played, Chess.

    A lesson to be learned maybe: 12631 member suggested silver AG a little while back. I compared it’s relative strength to SSRI (from Rajin’s screens) and my own holding SVM. I said AG looked more similar to SVM (it was a bit stronger) but SSRI looked much stronger. Let’s say it was a month ago (I’m not sure) – to compare relative performance:
    SSRI +35%
    AG +9%
    SVM -10%

    If you bought SSRI three months ago, you’d be up 80% and have out performed SVM by 85%.

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  3. charlie

    Hey Chess, thoughts on natty into the bell?

    To my eye buyers in UNG continue to support from ~24.70 lately and headlines seem to favor higher prices.

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  4. mateo

    Things on my mind:

    – VNM nice retest weekly breakout. watching India too.
    – I wanna buy the heck out of EWZ. now? Not feeling it but hate regret and it be for the long-haul…
    – sometimes hunches bleed me good (EMAN mentioned yesterday. sorry.)
    – I want some more fertilizer. now?
    – blackrock bought into NURO. why haven’t I? Come on, shocking diabetic feet, there’s gotta be money in that!
    – Probably can’t buy ANAC here, but FDA gave go ahead for phaze3 eczema. results have been excellent and nothing else out there for the 15-30% kids affected. word.
    – I had no reason to sell to sell BIS yesterday. It was a hedge that I still should have.

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