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Monthly Archives: July 2016

Like a Fish to Water: Dennis Gartman Likes Cotton!

Southern born and charmed in the way of cotton production, Dennis Gartman, is very much elated with the breakout in cotton. Yes, indeed, he’s gone as far as to say it should be purchased upon any and all dips.

It’s mighty generous of Mr. Gartman to offer us such good tidings on an otherwise moribund day.

BAL is one way to play this. It is up 16% year to date.
BAL

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Shares of $VRX Collapse After Former CEO Dumps Stock, Citron Says it’s Going to Zero

Obviously.

First, the morons at Sequoia sold out of their 10% stake in VRX. Then news broke that former CEO, M. Pearson, dumped 5 million shares of VRX for $96 million. Lastly, A. Left from Citron Research, the man, myth and legend who started this whole VRX to zero campaign when the stock was north of $200, announced he’s taking on a new short against the stock, comparing it to a sinking ship destined to be broken in half and heading towards a watery grave at the bottom of the ocean floor.

vrx

The stock is down 5.3% for the day. No word on what a certain B.A. Ackman is doing with his stake.

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Stocks Lift All the While Oil COLLAPSES

WTI is off more than 4% this afternoon, as stocks–genteelly–make their way towards new record highs. I understand many of you are of a bearish quality, always preying upon the sick and the addled, scaring thy neighbors out of his or her stock portfolio. But you should know, as students of the market, up is down and down is up and sometimes $600 billion in distressed energy debt is a good thing. After all, how do you think this country was built? Back in the olde colonial days, no one gave a shit about credit quality. They’d lend money to folks building rail lines and never see it again. Said fellows would be residing up in the very best European manors, enjoying the fruits of the lenders labor.

Markets will spring ahead because markets like to spring. You and I can bellyache all we want about Italian banks being greasy, dirty, and wholly insolvent. But who gives a shit? Grab a bag of cocaine powder and throw it into the faces of anyone trying to fuck with your mood…man.

WTI

 

For the moment, oil and those dastardly biotech stocks are leading the downside, while gold and utilities are erecting higher.

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BofA/Merrill: The S&P 500 May Be Heading For 2,400

School is in session, fucked faces. If you thought the recent rally was special, you haven’t seen anything yet. According to the Bank of America stock market handbook, after periods of long consolidations, just like the 414 days in between new highs we’ve just enjoyed, markets tend to shatter the glass ceiling to the upside and rip out the jaws from bears.

There were 414 calendar days between the May 2015 high and the recent one, Suttmeier said on CNBC’s “Futures Now.”  The S&P 500 has been churning sideways for much of the last 24 months , without a meaningful breakout. But it’s that lack momentum that has Suttmeier convinced we could be on the brink of the next leg higher.

He explained that since 1929 there have been 24 instances where the market went 300 calendar days or more without making a new 52-week high, and in those times the forward return was much stronger than average.

“The bottom line is when I look at these numbers and if we do follow this signal, 250 days out the average return is about 15.6 percent, the median return is about 14.8 percent and the market is up 91 percent of the time,” he said.

Being the data loving guy that I am, I am forced to accept this porridge without complaint. Any technician will tell you the longer the consolidation the greater the upside breakout. However, maybe we can enjoy a brief end of the world panic again before we mash faces to the upside again?

Just a suggestion.

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German Rail Operator Issues $388 Million in Negative Yielding Bonds

Free money for Deutsche Bahn. I’m sure this perversion of finance ends supremely. Since Germany is the Mother Theresa of credit and everyone loves her, I don’t see how other European corporations could compete with their companies, who sport a capital structure which entails free money, unlimited. We hem and haw over Chinese companies dumping shit on our shores and how they great dog eating currency manipulators. But how is this better? This is far worse than subsidies. This is the fucking Elephant Man on the front page of GQ magazine.

($388 million) bond sale to funds, while banks bought 23 percent, according to a person familiar with the matter who asked not to be identified because they aren’t authorized to discuss the offering. Investors in Germany and Austria bought most of the bonds.

Investors in the state-owned German rail operator will effectively pay to lend to the company after its bonds were sold to yield minus 0.006 percent on Tuesday. Yields on more than $10 trillion of sovereign and investment-grade corporate bonds have been driven to zero or below as central bank efforts to boost their economies inflate asset prices.

“It must feel awkward to be exposed to a credit risk and simultaneously lock in a guaranteed loss,” said Hyung-Ja de Zeeuw, an Amsterdam-based senior credit strategist at ABN Amro Bank NV. “It’s the world upside down: you issue bonds and you get money for free. It’s a result of unconventional policy.”

According to BofA, the average euro land investment grade yield is 0.8%.

This is fuckery of the very first magnitude.

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Sequoia Exits $VRX Position, Reports 13.2% Loss For First Half

These guys just suck, plain and simple. Not only did they lose 90% on their largest position, they probably sold it near the bottom too. I don’t see how this is bad news for VRX, since they had no idea what they were doing anyway. Still, Sequoia was Valeant’s largest shareholder, ever bigger than big, stupid, Pershing Square.

Their mea culpa and -13.2% ytd reveal.

image

The he net result? They now find themselves in the buxom of Warren Buffett and a bunch of cash.

image

They should stop to embarrassment and shut this shit down.

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Jefferies: This Pokemon Go Shit is Just Getting Started

Jefferies is out with a bullish note today, exclaiming the virtues of Pokemon Go and how it will transcend ordinary stupid app store chicanery and morph into a money making machine, on pace to gross $2b over the next year. Basically, no one really knows how Nintendo will monetize this insanely popular app, segueing into new games and monetization schemes. But they have a huge winners on their hands and the stock is likely to continue trading up. Prior to this recent run, markets had priced the Pokemon Go app at zero, something Jefferies believes is inherently and overtly stupid.

The downside risk is some idiot mowing down a parking lots filled with elderly people, in search for a squirtle.

 

ntdoy

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Volatility Just Underwent its Largest 10 Day Draw Down on Record

The past nine trading days have been of the epic varietal. We get a lot of those these days, don’t we?

Volatility, measured by the VIX, just dropped by 50% over the past 10 trading days–representing the largest draw down ever.

MKM issued a research note today, discussing the event. In summary, markets are breaking out and volatility is likely to remain ‘subdued.’ However, they compared the recent malaise to the 90s and suggest we might endure a series of ‘high magnitude’ shocks to the system, especially since there are so many walls of worry to climb.

VIX

Like I said earlier, volatility is an interesting hedge at these levels.

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“The Bearded Clam” Bernanke Met With “Kamikaze” Kuroda, to Discuss Central Bank Swag

Dr. Benjamin Bernanke flew in on his private jet, accompanied by three dozen retired secret service agents, working for the Citadel corporation, to discuss monetary policy with the BOJ chief, famously dubbed ‘Kamikaze’ Kuroda–here on iBankCoin.

Amongst other things, the good Doctor schooled Kuroda and his minion, Prime Minister Abe, about how to properly bitch slap short sellers and to create an overall swag at the Central Bank that cannot be fucked with.

“We are only halfway to the exit from deflation,” Abe said at the start of the meeting at his residence Tuesday. “We want to be steadfast in accelerating our breakaway from deflation.”

Officials in Japan described their perverted monetary plans and how they’d like to monetize their own construction bonds and then spend said money, recklessly, in a desperate gambit to get the robot-anime loving weirdos who populate Tokyo to procreate and spend some fucking yen.

Bernanke’s message was indelibly clear: get your fucking C. Bank swag on and make a lot of traps to fuck with short sellers. Let them know your pimp hand is strong, and they’ll never fuck with you again. He said all of these things whilst smoking a philly blunt stuffed with high-grade marijuana.

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Liberalism is a Mental Disorder: Bernie Supporters Stockpile Beans to Induce ‘Fart in’ at DNC Convention

Come on, already. You Bernie Sanders miscreants make this too easy.

In an effort to show your dismay against Hill of Beans Clinton, you will devour said beans, like them, and then flatulate, en masse, at the DNC convention? Meanwhile, the Black Lives Matters folks are going to punch Trump supporters in their faces for being racist, obviously.

Advocates for poor people and progressive causes say they still plan to make a stink – literally – during Hillary Clinton’s big night accepting the Democratic presidential nomination this month.

The plan: feed beans to Democratic National Convention delegates for Bernie Sanders, and send them into the Philadelphia convention hall to show what they think of the former secretary of state.

Sanders-supporting organizers of the odious protest also are unswayed by the Vermont senator’s Tuesday endorsement of Clinton and will push ahead.

In fact, Cheri Honkala, national coordinator for the Poor People’s Economic Human Rights Campaign, expects more beans to pour into her group’s downtown Philadelphia office.

Boxes of dry beans and heavy containers of canned beans already have arrived by mail, Honkala says, in all varieties: navy, pinto, lima and baked, with return addresses in Texas, Wisconsin and across the Rust Belt.

“Those beans will probably quadruple” after Sanders’ endorsement, Honkala says.

Many Sanders supporters “are not happy” about the two major party candidates, she says. “They do not represent the American people. It’s like they’re reality-show characters, two villains who can’t be trusted.”

Organizers have not tested varieties to discern the smelliest option, but Honkala says baked beans likely will be preferred and paired with hot dogs at a feeding location in a “Clintonville” camp in northern Philadelphia.

A second feeding location is likely to be at the group’s office a few blocks from the convention venue for delegates, journalists and others heading into the speech.

You can tell a Bernie supporter by the crazed look in their eyes. Now tell me, am I lying?

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