Thanks, L’il Buddy!
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As Fly may have already catechized, The Turkey Gods are all about “giving thanks and praise.”

So this month especially you must dig out the old acolyte’s robe, dust off the incense urn, and begin “lubricating the pipes” with a mixture of chamomile tea and castor oil to ready them for the proper Gregorian hymns and chants of the Season.

This year, a full First Rite ceremony of Turkey Carols and strong-bourboned wassailing will be reserved for the Blessing of the Lemmings — that annual bishop’s tradition whereupon all good Lemmings worldwide are blessed by the Turkey Gods for turning over the proceeds of their accounts to those more weurthy (sic), in the Gobblers’ Mercy.

That would be we of the Jacksonian bent, who have been blessed once again with said proceeds, thanks to an Oracle from the West, who has instructed his flock to proceed swiftly over the cliff of “Short [[GDX]] ,” much to our non-chagrin.

May he and his tribe prosper and multiply — in at least a more favorable rate than they have been proceeding over aforesaid White Cliffs of Dover.
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To add to this morning’s glorious GDX burst, we are coming Turkeygod-awful close to $1,100 on the price of gold. This is a psychological barrier, obviously, as the more technical resistance resides about $20 north of that line.

That said, should we burst through $1,100, we may get a Maypole Dancing psychotic celebration of short covering in the miners as a whole, in which case, you want to be owning some juniors for purse-snatch quick gains that will accrue.

I like Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] again, but also Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] ,
Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] ,
[[BAA]] ,
[[CDE]] ,
Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] ,
[[EXK]] ,
Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] ,
Hecla Mining Company [[HL]] IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] ,
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (USA) [[IVN]] ,
NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] ,
New Gold Inc. (USA) [[NGD]] ,
Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] ,
[[PAAS]] [[PTM]] (platinum WILL catch up!)
Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] , and,
most important of all — Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] “The Grandmother Stock.”
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On other fronts, commodity plays Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] and Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] are doing well again, and The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] looks like it may have at least temporarily arrested it’s fall.

Monsanto Company [[MON]] is finally working on that Bollinger Band crash trade from a week back, at over $70, and let’s not forget about le grand merde fan hedge — [[TBT]] .

Last, pinless hand grenade [[CVM]] is on the move again, don’t ask me why, ask the Turkey Gods.

Pax Vobiscum, Children of the Turkey.

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Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]]

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There’s room for Every-frickin’-body!
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It’s quite likely I’ll be busy today, so I wanted to throw a couple of brontosaurus burgers out there for your barbecuing pleasure in case things get all jiggy like yesterday.

‘Cause, make no mistake, we are entering into primo deal season here, if all of my bidness (sic) radar array are working in proper function.  My group is busier than a one-armed Palo Alto Perma-Bear at a self-congratulatory back-patting contest, and if the middle markets are moving, then I’m going bet the big boys have more cooking than just Uncle Warren’s Train Set purchase yesterday.

For one example, look for deals in the edumacation business, for one thing — companies like Apollo Group, Inc. [[APOL]] and DeVry Inc. [[DV]] and Career Education Corp. [[CECO]] have all been beneficiaries of a sea change in education delivery in the last decade or so.  

However, I think the paradigms are going to change even more drastically going forward.  I am getting this intuition from the myriad start-ups and later stage deals I am seeing in this space over the last 12 months.   As a result, I’d look for tuitions at all but the most exclusive post-secondary schools to come down in the very near future.   As a father of four near-genius children, I couldn’t be more pleased.

That aside, I think there’ll likely also be acquisitions in the Precious Metalspace as well,  as the various hedged and non-hedged behemoths squat and mark their territories by gobbling up junior miners with promising cargoes of “ounces in the ground.”   

To my chagrin,  I have no insight from an M&A perspective, as the majority of that deal making occurs north of our borders in the frozen outbacks of Canuckistan, completed by cigar-puffing investment bankers wearing snow-blindness goggles and polar-bear fur pantsuits.

Therefore, I can only point you out the promising junior and middle sized firms that may be in the snowmobile screens of various behemoths like Barrick Gold Corporation (USA) [[ABX]] , Newmont Mining Corporation [[NEM]] , Goldcorp Inc. (USA) [[GG]]  and AngloGold Ashanti Limited (ADR) [[AU]] .    These include:

Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]]

IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]]

Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]]

Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]]

[[CDE]]

Hecla Mining Company [[HL]]

Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]]

[[BAA]]

Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (USA) [[IVN]]

[[EXK]]

[[PAAS]]

Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]]

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SA (ADR) [[BVN]]   ———->>>> note: this one can be an acquiror or an acquiree, given it’s geographic interest.

and of course, the “catch all”  — [[GDX]] .

There are quite a few more that I’ve left off as I’m rushing, so feel free to add your own, and I may or may not add or comment on those later.

Best to you all, and one last thing:  beware the bear traps — and those calling petulantly from within them.

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Update: In a shocking and unexpected move the dollar is down again [[UUP]] .

Who could’ve seen it?  Heh. 

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The Foundation of a Trustworthy Country
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I have no time to speak, only to reiterate that Friday’s “non-confirmation” of the gold break (unlike the rest of the market) gave me the “green light” on the continuation of this secular bull in the precious.

I’d add Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] on this pullback if the accumulated bricks of it weren’t already filling up my garage to the chagrin of my crappy Volvo.  So I’m getting the next best thing, which is [[CDE]] .

For the remainder of the market, continue to watch [[UUP]] for your “tell.”

Stay golden, pony boys and girls.

 

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Happy Halloween Surprise Mothah-Cluckas!
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Okay, just burn it if we don’t bounce here. Here’s the amazing thing about this Halloween Surprise we’re experienceing right now… someone almost predicted it.

And I say “almost” only because he said we’d retest the lows today and then rally all next week, and obviously, only Fly and his Time Machine can check that part out yet.

Here’s the thing. He said this when we were hitting Wednesday’s lows, and he predicted yesterdays’ massive rally and today’s retest!  If he hits on all cylinders  with this prediction, we may have to give him his own blog.

But let me tell you Fly aint gonna like it.

“Developing….”

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Let me tell you what I’m doing right here and now… I’m “wading in.’   I sold some more of my options yesterday under the “too good to be true” axiom, thinking we’d at least have a little pullback from yesterday’s move.

Well I guess we did have something didn’t we?     Well, we more than tested Wednesday’s lows (again, as mystery guest predicted) and even filled that October 6th gap.   We are now on the march back, however tentative, and I’m adding to my PM’s here, and other Jacksons.

I already bot 200 more [[AGQ]] this morning, too early again, at over $55.   Dumbass, right?  Well, I’m not too worried about AGQ long term, truthfully.

I am also eyeing my “strength” Jacksons, including suddenly cheap silvers Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , [[EXK]] , [[CDE]] and on the gold side Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] and Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] .  

Let the price of gold be your biscuit here… it’s not even coming close to the lows of Wednesday, which tells me this is one more false “whip” of our secular bull.   Don’t get bucked.   Those of you who were lucky enough to sell some yesterday (and even the day before) deploy cautiously, but wisely.

And with great vigor.   As your cautionary flag watch for $22.70 on [[UUP]] — that seems to be holding off the Huns for now. 

Best to you.

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I’ll just keep on, keepin’ on….
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I trust nothing these days, save my Jacksonian positions.

I certainly don’t trust the restless trolls reaching their gnarled fingers from under their respective bridges to nip at my knee-caps.  Back off, trolls, lest I take you off at the fore-arms with my trusty scimitar!

Despite the above imagery, I was relatively unscathed today.   Down less than 40 bips.  Odd, no?

And guess what else?

I bot some more PM exposure, like a crazed bandicoot, hungry for shiny tin foil. Options, even. (Am I mad?)

No, not even peevish. Just “taking advantage.”

I bot back the 30 December $9 strike Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] at $3.70 and $4.00.

I bot back the 40 December $40 strike [[GDX]] at $5.60.

I added another 300 shares of [[AGQ]] at $56.33, just for the heck of it.

I am eyeing Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] which I still haven’t bot yet. I think [[UUP]] will have trouble tomorrow, despite it’s recent strong price and volume move.

Remember it’s “Ridiculous Bond Sale Week,” and let’s be careful out there.

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Zut, Alors!

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Some of you may wish to take this opportunity to weep like a disgruntled Maginot Line engineer a week after the Blitz (see above).  

That’s right it’s crying time again.   That time when the gold and silver bulls that as of late have been so docile and yielding of fresh milk (as far as you know) have now grown into raging Tauruses (Taurii?), trampling your bloated carcass and rifling your pockets for loose Good & Plenties.

But let’s check our calendars shall we?   Has Sinterklaas arrived already, muling his burlap bag of kittens and freshly polished wooden clogs?  

Has Mother already placed a large roasted poultry on the dusty “for guests only” dining room table and surrounded it with gut-stuffing, cream-embossed ancillary vegetation  seen — thankfully — only once a year?

For that matter, have even any cleverly disguised neighborhood brats beaten on your manor door, claiming King’s Right upon any nougat resident?

No?

Well, then, heck — go order a Kung Pao or something.  Take the day off.   Feed the birds.    Go have a pigeon sandwich with pigeon sauce on the side.

Or if you’re of a mind, and have recently grubbed some coin selling an egregious biotech hand grenade with your one remaining three fingered hand, see if there aren’t some glittery bargains out there you may have missed the first time around.

Caution — nothing’s really much of a bargain, valuation wise.    To buy here you’ll have to accept the thesis that we are “dollar unhinged” at this point, and that gold and silver are going quite a bit higher.   If you’ve been with me since inception, you’ve probably bought into that much. 

We’ll look at the dollar later tonight.    There will be a low and a rebound, but I don’t think it’s coming until [[UUP]] is down below $22.00.   That said, we’ll remain cautious.

There’s not a ton out there that I’m eyeing to add, but that’s only because I’m so “jug full” at this point.     I  continue to think the silvers offer the best opportunity, so I may want to look at the double POS(ilver) [[AGQ]] .

I also think [[PAAS]] is an opportunity here, thanks to yesterday’s sell-off on the merger news.  

[[CDE]] is hardly taking a breath (and I forgot to include it in yesterday’s list, my bad).  

 Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] has been lagging, but it’s known to catch up rather quickly. 

  Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] is of course my favourite (sic) silver,and don’t forget mighty mite [[EXK]] .

On the gold side, my current favourite — and non-Jackson — Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] is pulling back here.   I also like Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] and [[BAA]] on this pullback.    

Of the Jackson golds, Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] is “the one” I choose above all others, thanks to its royalty leverage.   IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]]   and Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] have also been champions and will see the 20’s by Christmas, in my opinion.

One last thing, platinum is really picking up after lagging here, and I think  [[PTM]] is very close to “BTFO”  in the $16.50 area.   This is one to have in your portfolio as a “core holding” along with [[SLV]] and [[GLD]] , in my humblest opinion.

That’s enough for now.   Go to the boulangerie and weep over an anisette and black-black coffee.

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