Well it was a day so full of hammers in the Jacksonian portfolio that we could have built a break front works that would have repelled the stoutest of cavalries.  You can see my comments in the notes about them, but generally a lot of hammers means that you are seeing final bottomings in stocks as they open high, chase a bunch of sells lower and then close high again, working out final selling positions.

I say this happens “generally,” but we shall see what happens tomorrow.    The good news is we’ve gotten to pretty oversold conditions in almost all of the Jacksons, so those of you who have been picking up bargainst these last few days, bravo.   I think we shall see some action as we head towards the end of the week.   As it’s options expiry, I hope it’s not that X-rated kind of action no sensible gentleperson wants to see.

I was doing some work on fibs, but I have to run to a lacrosse game, so my findings will have to wait until an addenda is readied with my findings.   Let’s just say these ten year fibonaccis are, in the words of Commander Spock “Quite fascinating, Jim.”

Many apologies to those not named Jim.

Here are the “notes,”  I will talk to youse latah.

Name	16-Jun	% Change	17-Jun	% Change		Comments
ANDE	$ 29.04		$ 28.88	-0.55%		Still in triangle consolidation.
EGO	8.51		8.65	1.65%		Bullish engulfing, two days black now.
GDX	38.37		38.23	-0.36%		Nice hammer on the day, despite slight down.
GLD	91.93		92.35	0.46%		POG $940, beautiful hammer.
IAG	9.54		9.65	1.15%		Hammer off the 23.6% fib, too.
MON	81.62		81.08	-0.66%		Opened down, nice recovery.
NRP	22.44		22.13	-1.38%		Red hammer just above the 38.2% (22.05)
PAAS	20.74		20.39	-1.69%		Held support at $20, oversold like a mothah!
RGLD	42.90		43.73	1.93%		Bouncing on 43.50, another EOD selloff?
SLV	13.99		14.12	0.93%		POSilver @14.34, $13.80 support held
SLW	8.92		8.80	-1.35%		Hammer on $8.50 support, nice trade PPT!
SSRI	19.62		19.22	-2.04%		I bot it one last time as promised! $19.02.
TBT	53.59		54.17	1.08%		Bot back 1/2 my calls today as promised.
TC	10.68		10.50	-1.69%		Caught support @ 9.60 and then took off. Hammer.
TSO	14.98		14.98	0.00%		Is TCK the replacement, let’s hear your vote!
AVG (daily)				-0.17%
AVG (monthly)				-7.44%
AVG (inception)				16.22%

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PS — note the final comment on TSO, which goes away soon.  I am seriously thinking of adding [[TCK]] which I added today at $15.04, to the Jacksons.   It’s only serious competition is [[BHP]].  What say youse?

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Adding to my [[NG]] horde here, with an additional 4k @ $4.94.  I like how it came back down and filled this morning’s gap and then proceeded to power on.    I think the junior miners may point us the way out of this recent pullback, so I will be keeping a close on them for all of us.

Note that recent Tim Knight short [[GLD]] also need to fill this morning’s gap at around $91.24.   A fill and bounce here would be very encouraging.  

Silver is also showing signs of an “inside day” candle formation , which would be good news for a possible end to this recent pullback as well.   As predicted, the $HUI is bouncing today, up about $2, off the trend line and the short term 50% retracement line.

All of these point to signs of a respite, as the dollar is off a bit as well.    Let’s be cautious, but judicious in our picks here.

Caveat: If you follow me into NG, your favorite poodle may be accidentally pepper sprayed in a police dog obedience class gone disasterously wrong.  And you may lose principle.

Update:   Even though I’m officially “full up” in the position, I just added another 2k of SLW at the lucky number of $8.88.   Serious (38.2%) fibonacci line here if it holds.    Thanks to whomever gave us the phrase “moth hands.”

Update:   New pick, bordered on the verge of Jacksonian, but too much geography risk, being located in South Africa with it’s “sorta” stable government and kooky neighbors.  Gold Fields International — [[GFI]].   Just bounced off it’s TEN YEAR 61.8% fibonacci retrace at $11.42 this morning.   That’s like a signal from above.   “Starter” position of 2k shares @ $11.67.

 

______________________________

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Mmmmmmmmmm….. Deeee-licious!

Looks like our friend “Baby $HUI” — the Amex Gold Bugs Index is just about to pull back to our second line of resistance that I’d plotted out some week and a half back.   If you recall, the chart looked like this:

In the above, we’d hit that magic $400 barrier and come back already to our first point of resistance.  Well, as of late last week, we’ve come very close to that second line and will likely hit it sometime today (Update: We’ve hit it and then some at $341– next stop could be our 13 week MA at $337.30).   Therefore, I think we need to keep our eyes open for a bounce here at least back to that first resistance level at $375.    Here’s where we are today:

Because of the relative strength of this sector, I think it will continue to lead, and show it’s bull head before the rest of the market does (if in fact the rest of the market continues with its bullish ways).   Short synopsis, this is your only confirmed bull in the market right now, with most names riding above their 200-day MA’s.   Therefore, this is where you want to play for fun and profit, no matter with what specie you purchase your ice cream cones.

There are a couple of POS miners that have yet to truly participate in this rally, and that may be because they are POS, so take this next chart with a kiloton of salt.   It’s the old dog, [[CDE]], which has dropped back down to attractive levels again, and is down over 5% as I type this.  Keep a tight stop here, but I continue to think this old hag still has a chance to come close to her 200 day MA at close to $30 here.  Here’s her weekly:

One last note — be cautioned as [[UUP]] is back above it’s 61.8% fibonacci line of $24.06 as of about 9:40 am this morning, which could spell at least temporary trouble for the markets in general.   In the case of this PM bull, I believe it smells of  opportunity.  Best to you all.

__________

Update:  Barron’s weekend pick  and Jakepick (non-Jacksonian) [[NG]] showing her mettle, up almost 8% in a down market.  I own shares, but will likely add to weaker names.  [[RBY]] in particular looks good here.  Word on the PPT is that it’s a possible [[GG]] takeover.

Update: @ 1:57 pm, $HUI is right on the trendline right now at 334, give or take.   If UUP folds over, this could be an excellent purchasing opportunity.  Keep a gimlet eye!

Update:  Bot 1k more [[AGQ]] @ $44.01.

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With the summary dimissal of [[TSO]] this week, I have an opening in the ranks I’d like to fill.   In fact, I may open the barracks to two or more if the stars align properly and there are attractive combatants ready to take the pledge to hard money and portfolio longevity that our General Jackson demands.  

One course I’m considering is having the Jacksons act as a 20-man platoon, with certain soldiers being held either partially or fully in reserve during times of either overvaluation or imminent reversal, whilst the others take up the battle against the Federal Reserve and it’s 12-battalion band of Redcoat brigands.   I believe I will represent this through a “going to cash” metric that I will include in my daily reports. 

For example, my sale of TSO resulted in a net cash position of $9,357  (a little more than a $640 loss from the original $10,ooo invested).   While TSO will soon come off the roles entirely, I will keep that cash for reinvestment purposes going forward, thereby keeping the Jacksonian Portfolio to the same accounting I’m using in my own portfolio.  

This method will also help better track my partial sales, like my “one third” position sale in [[TC]] the other day at $11.21, which would have yielded me an additional $5,250 in cash (keep in mind, the original $10,000 in TC was invested at $7.11 on May 1st.  Therefore, even after having sold a third, I have over $11,000 in value remaining ).   

So given those two sales, my cash position is up to $14,600, and burning a hole im m’ pocket.

I will work on adding these cash parameters so you can have a better idea of what I’m doing every day in my portfolio, and a better view on how I’m hedging the port against cyclical downturns.

In the meantime, I welcome suggestions with regard to additional Jacksons.  I can tell you now that the precious players will have a leg up and [[GG]] and [[AUY]] remain in the top contenders.  That said, I will look forward to your calls here.   Remember that I like liquidity, and volatility is not a plus in the Jacksonian fold.  Long term value trumps all, however, especially in the context of an inflationary or continuing deflationary market.  

Best  to you all.

___________________

Addendum:   Forgive the indulgence.   I have one last tribute for my girl’s nativity.  Appropriately, it’s a song about a heart-stealing Kentucky woman, from the master himself, back before his voice went out altogether:

 [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iq7ZkdNNPKI 450 300]

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Today was that rarest of days — an entirely red painted day for the Jacksonians.  Even when the PM’s are having one of their regular group regurgitations, I can usually count on MON or NRP, or one of my less precious groups like TC , sturdy TBT or even blessed Mr. ANDE to come to my aid.   But not today.

All bloody red.  Impaled on the hard cold grounds of Boston to the tune of  some 2.5% down.  

 But that’s the breaks when you are building a hard money portfolio that was up some 25% in a month.  You are going to have to expect some pullbacks and yes, drawdowns.  We will talk about certain hedging strategies over the weekend and I will have a later post tonight to go over the specific individual Jacksons and some of my other picks in more detail.

For now, it’s off to a well-deserved libation and the start of my weekend.   I will see you all later tonight with the roundup.

Addendum:  I did add some today but just a bit.   1,000 shs of [[TIE]] at $11.01 and 1,000 shs of [[CDE]] at $12.50.   They looked like they had pulled back to some stability.  We’ll see, as I plan to add more of both in future.

Special Addendum:  Vincenzo explains to Fly what happened with the servers this afternoon:

 [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4KsU89R1A8M 450 300]

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Update:  “Bloody” Jacksonian Results for Today:

Name	11-Jun	12-Jun	% Change		Comments
ANDE	$   30.70	$ 29.79	-2.96%		Nice move down, next stop 20day–$26.40
EGO	9.15	8.79	-3.93%		Hung right on the 50-day @ 8.74
GDX	40.92	39.54	-3.37%		50 day at $38.39
GLD	93.70	92.17	-1.63%		POG under $940.
IAG	10.08	9.85	-2.28%		50-day @ 9.44.
MON	86.85	86.54	-0.36%		Relative strength is strong here.
NRP	24.21	23.85	-1.49%		Right on the 20-day line at 23.63
PAAS	22.61	22.04	-2.52%		Tested 20 day holding here.
RGLD	43.92	42.64	-2.91%		Bounced off 50-day EMA @ 42.22
SLV	15.13	14.63	-3.30%		PO Silver down 56 cent.
SLW	10.26	10.05	-2.05%		Held 20 day trendline pretty well.
SSRI	22.81	21.95	-3.77%		Closed just a hair below 20 day EMA
TBT	57.52	56.59	-1.62%		Continued pull back. 20 day @ 54.90
TC	12.13	11.76	-3.05%		Even TC needed a rest today.
TSO	14.98	14.98	0.00%		Flat, sold out.
AVG (daily)			-2.35%
AVG (monthly)			-2.67%
AVG (inception)			22.40%

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Actual Photo of Fly Taking in Today’s “Winnings”  (IOU marker from Devil Dog)

Over at the PPT’s special “User Notes” running commentary section, otherwise known as “The Smoke Filled Room,” we are slowly, slowly, ever so slowly, mining the equity markets for all of their loose cash.    We are being quiet about it, and despite the clamor on this site, not too braggadocious– especially considering how efficiently we are picking the purses of the slug footed, tuft-eared mutual fund “management” drudges. 

That PPT.   That conflation of laser-sited market research and shared expertise, combined with the real-time shout outs of the elite membership… Hooo!  That sucker is hitting on all cylinders right now!   By Jupiter’s Stone, we may just suck all the stamped coinage out of this market before we’re done  — that is, all but the occasional TARP fund or whatever other “rescue” device Congress manages to filch from your pockets for eventual distribution into ours.  

It’s almost not fair.   Almost.   Luckily, we’re accommodating folk and friendly to strangers, so you can still join us and add to the fun we’re having.   So far, there’s still some dough in the market not yet claimed.   Come, give a hand. 

_____________________________

In the land of Jackson, it’s a sad and blighted day.  Not so much as because of the over all portfolio performance — as it actually ended up today despite the laggard pace of the PM’s as they continue to consolidate last month’s move.   No, it’s sad because we’re tossing a soldier from the ranks today for gross insubordination.  Yes [[TSO]] fell below the $15 level again, and like Captain Bligh chewing apples seeds on the mizzen deck, I decided to make an example of him.  So I had him horsewhipped and thrown out into the street with the scallion leavings, bad porridges and other cobblestone-riding flotsam.

I had my stop set at $15, but the excellent execution of the House of Pershing took me out of my shares at $14.98, which is where I will leave that price (an ignonimous  loss of 6.43% since inception buy at $16.01) for the remainder of the week and/or until I find a replacement.   Because I “bought” every position in increments of $10,000 for purposes of this portfolio’s proper accounting, my next purchases will only use the $9,357 in cash left over from that sale.  

(As an aside, I suppose I should also make some allowance for the one third sale of [[TC]] yesterday, but that may be getting a bit overcomplicated for this grouping.  We’ll see how it goes).

The comments are relatively self-explanatory — I sold 1/2 the calls on my [[TBT]] position today, and probably should have sold more, but there it is.   Bruce gambled, and he won by selling early, as I sold my July 60 calls for $2.15 when TBT was just above $58.00.  [[TC]] remains a beast — like [[ANDE]], it’s over 70% since inception now,  while its exiled brother, TSO, remains a piece of dog offal.  

Be gone with it, and good riddance. 

 Jacksonian Core Portfolio Holdings Results

Name	10-Jun	11-Jun	% Change		Comments
ANDE	$    30.48	$     30.70	0.72%		Crawling up the trendline again.
EGO	9.13	9.15	0.22%		Nowhere on light volume.
GDX	40.80	40.92	0.29%		Closed right on the 61.8% retrace
GLD	93.86	93.70	-0.17%		POG actually up $4.10 today.
IAG	10.21	10.08	-1.27%		Mirroring the GLD chart.
MON	85.85	86.85	1.16%		Sold 25% more MONGO’s today at $12.70 (+63%)
NRP	24.01	24.21	0.83%		Still laboring, looking for $24.60
PAAS	22.15	22.61	2.08%		Stochs turning up again, low volume, though
RGLD	43.90	43.92	0.05%		Looks like it’s headed for the TL again (43.60)
SLV	15.01	15.13	0.80%		PO Silver up about 24 cents.
SLW	10.18	10.26	0.79%		Touched trendline, and rebounded.
SSRI	22.75	22.81	0.26%		Stoch up on low volume too.
TBT	58.77	57.52	-2.13%		Sold off as expected.  Sold 1/2 July Calls.
TC	11.32	12.13	7.16%		Godzilla rebukes me for selling some yesterday.
TSO	15.35	14.98	-2.41%		Sold on break of $15.  Frozen @ $14.98 price for the month.
AVG (daily)			0.56%
AVG (monthly)			-0.32%
AVG (inception)			25.50%

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