______________________

Some of you get a tad nervous and that’s understandable. You haven’t been sailin’ the seas lo these last ten years with a chest of silver and a chest of gold amid-decks, watching the waves break over your port bow and the rigging whip up under many a Jamaica squall.

‘Tis a pity, as it’s rendered many of ye as feckless and gray-faced as a feral stoat during the slaughtering season when it comes to any down-draft in ye positions. 

If there’s one thing I could keep in your mind it’s that the PM”s are a volatile lot.   Like a powderkeg in a burning fireworks factory, ye shall be shaken about before ye’re borne to heaven.

But your time is not yet, and neither is it the hour for hand wringing.   There may very well be one last shake of the lamb’s tail before we ascend over again into the high surf and the sun scuppered seas.   I say “may” because with silver’s recent strength leading the prow, it’s just as likely we take off like a shot tomorrow, mimicking the dolphins of tech like CREE and VECO, the latter of which blew out it’s numbers tonight and should offer boundless booty to ye faithful who stuck with her.   As well, POWR should benefit from that triumph.

As usual, I think it’s the weekly charts that give the best perspective, and the weekly of $GOLD should be no exception.  Look here on the direction I think we should take in the coming month.  That short dip may very well be our last gasp at these levels, and if so, I’ve amasse some dry powder to partake in more ANV and SLW in the coming week.

My best to you all, as ye make yer way through the shoals of Uncertainty.

__________________________

Comments »

Step away from the rabbit…
__________________________________________________

Pay no attention to Lady Mahket with the butcha knife.  This is the chop part of the summer, but I’m not fooled.  I know what’s coming this year and so do you.

It’s an American election and it’s an important one.   The forces of “status quo” are going to do what they can to make sure it happens in as stable an economy as possible, despite the double barrells of ObamaCare and Dodd-Frank that have been administered to our collective guts.

Make no mistake, we’re going to be dealing with those two awful — and I mean awful — bills for the next decade.  My hope is that the perennially corrupt Congress will be rendered poleaxed for years to come just in unravelling them both.   That is truly our best possible outcome, given the unintended consequences that have popped up even on the very first day of the horrific bank “reform” bill’s signing.   I point you specifically to S&P and Moody’s suspending their ratings for fear of being sued into (perhaps righteous) ignonimity.

This is what you get when you allow a group of largely innumerate corrupt Democrats (and select boneheaded Republicans) access to the vital wheels of commerce.   Truly, they are en masse, a shit show.   Tell me again how elections don’t matter.

_____________________________

Surprisingly, I’m sure, you’ll find my answer is grabbing undervalued gold, of which we have recently come upon a trove.   First, the weekly $HUI is approaching oversold whilst bouncing off a crucual long term (34 week) moving average.   That’s been a healthy sign in the past:

Then, a specific recommendation, one of my favourite Jacksons is  a bargain.  Look at the weekly ANV chart for my take on the situation:

I am back home this evening, so I will try to catch up on some sleep and be here tomorrow for any queries.   Best to you all.

Comments »

 

___________________________

Today was a warm and fulfilling Father’s Day.   I took the four offspring and their madre and her parents off to our traditional Father’s Day Lunch where we had a toothsome sup at our favorite restaurant complete w. sangrias out on the lanai. 

Then we followed that worthy repast with a late afternoon matinee (blessedly air conditioned, as it’s been over 90 for a week now).   We saw the highly acclaimed Toy Story 3 in “3-d” (sufficiently subtle that it did not bother my usually sensitive inner ear) and I can truthfully say it was the perfect Father’s Day movie, and just a great movie all around.   I might even pick up some DIS on Monday, so impressed was I by those Pixar geniuses all over again.

But this was a busy week, Father’s Day culminations aside, and none were more busy than the deep-mining dwarves of my portfolio that showered me with coyne (sic) even as I wheeled and dealed like a Soprano consigliari in Sinatra’s New York.

For those of you who think this recent market rip as a sign of light at the end of the tunnel, please disabuse yourself immediately.  You might as well ascribe the recent positivity to overzealous vuvuzallah (sp?) blowing as to positive economic news.

Make no mistake, this market is ripping on a combination of black smoke-sentiment rebound and fast money central bank printing.    As a result, stocks as a whole have risen, and my gold and silver plays (not to mention select platinum and palladium names) are looking Atlas holding up the world, but getting ready to shrug.

Last week I gave you RBY and BAA, which were up this past week 19.3% and 21.4% respectively. 

Yes, in one week.  And there will be moooore, on each, bless us both.

Even that damned elusive Pimpernel could not argue with those kind of results, but you must get them while they are hot, like slices of pizza thrown from the tenth story of important buildings.  

I don’t want to hear any complaints, either, as I illustrate my favourites (sic) which I have been recommending now for more than a full year of vociferous blogging.  

Remember my very favourite stock, SLW?  Well, it was only up a mere 8.5% last week.   But that only means you haven’t missed the entirety of the party.   In fact, I think it’s about to get started on the weekly here:

Then there’s my number two beauty, ANV.  It was also up a mere 12.4% last week, but I want to show you the daily on this one to illustrate the dramatic manner in which it made that increase last week.  Note how it, too, is approaching new highs?  Coincidence?

Maybe a little bit overbought on the daily, but that’s one you want to own for the long, hard times.  Weekly is a dream.

Then there’s my lovely EGO, up a mere 6.3% this week, but showing some appetizing possibilities as it too ends the week within a hair’s breadth of new all time highs.  Uncanny, no?  Check this daily out:

Some volume, wot?

Then there’s the grand-pap of them all, RGLD, which looks like it too wants to find new ground above $55 per share.  We may sell off a little bit of the last week’s 4.1% advance, but then we may just consolidate some of this overbought-ness and move on to new highs.    Let’s say I’m not selling any calls just yet:

That’s enough for now.   This should be an exciting week.  Watch the dollar index here.   If it breaks $85.00 here, as I’ve stated before, we could have some serious play in the fields of gold.   Keep an eye on CDE (up over 14%) and PAAS (up over 9.5% last week) for the silver stakes as well.

Best to you all.

_________________________

_________________________________

Comments »

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqlJl1LfDP4 450 300]

Love this version….

________________________

Going up to the territory of Monsieur Le Docteur du Fly for a couple of days for business that could very well shake the foundations of Finance itself..

Or barring that, I’ll at least grab a decent steak and catch up w. some friends.    Whatever the case, I will be “around”  these premises only sporadically as I cannot guarantee that my connections will be up to speed or that I won’t have all of my time accounted for whilst up there.

I’ll leave you with your rudders tied for the moment, as I think we may get a little bit more grinding into the Friday expiration, with the possibility of a last pop into that date after more muddling tomorrow.   The dollar bounced back very slightly today an ended in the lower part of it’s track for the candle pattern.   The golds, perhaps sensing continuing weakness in $USD are continuing to crank, almost in step-fashion across the board.

Today RBY finally took off as predicted last weekend, up over 5.5% today:

  

RBY looks like it may be finally launching off that consolidation of the handle.  I expect more this week.

 BAA — which took off right away on Monday as you recall — continues to rise, and has now completely recouped it’s 19% discount from the secondary offering level I’d mentioned over the weekend…. Recouped it… AND MORE.

As you can see on that weekly chart’s stochastics… BAA has a ways to go as well, and I believe it will.

I continue to see strength in my favourite stocks, which fills me with untold joy, as I’ve pallet loads of them.  SLW looked great today, as did ANV and especially IAG.   I continue to like EGO here as well, not to mention RGLD, EXK and PAAS.   Eat, and enjoy.

Best to you all, hope to speak to you soon.

______________________________

Comments »

“Dollar Bill,” the Three Legged Horse 

_______________________________

The formidable monster dollar days are as done as well oiled-Gulf cod, with a side of Pelican mashies.   The Euro may continue to break down and every paper currency in the universe could go the way of all tinder, but I do not think any of it will help our much abused dollar.

Nope, you see Bernanke caught that acrid whif of deflation over the last fortnight, and he knew exactly what he had to do.  And he did it — he opened lines of credit for crappy multinational and Euro banks to stabilise (sic) their burgeoning debt crisis.   He used our bucks to help sterilise (sic) bad Greek and Carpathian debt like it was mere Fannie Mae mortgages or something similar.

And what a time to do so — when the dollar was as healthy as a three legged horse in a horse amputee ward at the veterinarian hospital.   Heck, you might have even ridden that horse, were you forced too.

To the abbatoir.

So Bernanke saved all the legless horses in Europe with his three legged horse and guess what… the bill has come due and it’s stipulates right here in ten point Hellenic script: “more legs.”  

More legs down as the printing presses continue to fly and whirl and shuttlecock and do all things printing presses do whilst churning out fresh greenback, further diluting their wirth (sic) to one an all.   Note how in the weekly, we’ve got a two week breakdown in the works since our tumultous “third top” high back in early June….

As you can see $85.00 is my near term goal, and that should coincide with a nice spike in the overall markets (not just the PM’s though they should surely benefit too) after we work off the overbought high so adroitly noted in The PPT .   

You can see $85.00 makes sense on the daily as well:

$85 is very close to our 50-day EMA as well, which further reinforces that target as a resting point, if not a full rebound target.

What will happen as a result of this continuing dollar meander down?   I’m afraid that in the intermediate term, it’s bullish for the markets — even if only artificially so.   Luckily, one can better guard his well-earned profits by placing them in an operating company that measures its assets not in dollars, but in something more substantial.  

That’s correuct, “the precious” is just that substanital asset, and mining operators have that, and leverage too.

You know my favourites as they never fail to please… ANV, SLW, EGO, IAG, and PAAS for now.   Keep a firm hand on the best, and you will have ample “excess capital” to play with the rest, like the other evenings’ offerings (BAA and RBY).

Gun to my head best immediate picks :  TC, TCK, CREE, ANV and IAG.

Stay safe, my friends.

_____________________________________

Comments »

 

_________________________

The pot is beginning to burble over to the extent that I believe we are approaching one of those periods where even the crappy little small time gold and silver miners will begin to shoot golden fountains of coyne (sic) out of their arses.  Tonight I offer two to hold until the 4th of July, at minimum.   In the penumbra of the rockets red glare, there ye shall banque.

I have a bunch of these in my portfolio both as “option” investments and as long term plays, and they are usually characterized by their “less than $10” price range.  

Like an undiscovered vintage of small California vineyard Cabernet, however, these little gems tend to be “unearthed” and then the real fun begins.  I remind you here, and tell you later — SLW, EGO, ANV, and even IAG were all sub $10 stocks less than 18 months ago.    I believe these two juniors, and perhaps also GSS, possess similar characteristics.

First, my current favourite (sic) in the small popper category is the lovely FRG.  After announcing a measurable find in their most recent presser on Monday, they have been somewhat “off to the races.”   I think the release was just an excuse for the baby to rally.  She’s been waiting a while:

You probably remember this chart from late April on my site… well now you can see it is on it’s way to new rocket heights.

The second name is NGD, one of the famous “Three N’s” along with NG and NXG.  I like them all, but NGD seems the most promising for the next month or so.  Have a look at the weekly:

(Shit!)

It’s just breakout out above long term resistance at $6.50 and you see my target of $9.50 in the short term.  

I’m holding it for much more than that, but that’s the way I roll.

Best to you all.

Keep watching the best of the best, too — SLW, ANV, EGO, IAG, PAAS, EXK, XRA, MVG, CDE, even GG and AUY.    If you want ETF’s there’s GDX, GDXJ and SIL for the miners and GLD and SLV for the solid stuff.

Live long, prosper.

_______________________________

Comments »