iBankCoin
Joined Nov 11, 2007
1,458 Blog Posts

Time to Short? and Update to Testing Breakouts

Tonight’s post will be short as I’m running a long optimization in the backtesting software and it will not be complete until tomorrow. Without the software, I can’t publish all my nifty little charts and corresponding statistics.

I’m considering shorting a little SPY on tomorrow’s open, especially if we open higher. I think the conditions are ripe for a little pullback; a test of the 50 day average would be normal.

The optimization I’m running is testing breakouts of an X day high against an N day holding period. When it is complete, I will post the results. The idea is to see if there is a robust intersection between the X day high and an N day holding period. If there is, then those variables will likely serve as the baseline variables in future testing. I’m hoping that what will be found is that a shorter hold period yields a better return than a longer hold period. If so, this will mean more opportunity and more turnover and greater potential for profits.

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2 comments

  1. Gilbert

    step 1: buy September puts
    step 2: go on vacation
    step 3: profit $$

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  2. Chartkiller

    Didn’t we just have 3 days f testing the 50 period ma? imo. we did.

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