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Going Full Eeyore

Eeyore

He was Emo when Emo wasn’t cool.
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Stubbornly and like an ass, I sold continuously throughout  the day.    

In drips and drabs of course, but it becomes cumulative after a while.   Frankly, I don’t know how Docteur Le Fly does it.   It seems like one day he’s fully invested and then — BOOM! — He’s 60% in cash.

It doesn’t even seem to faze him.

I, on the other hand, agonize on every share sold in a rising market, even as I know deep down in my medulla oblongata (sic), it must be done.  I am at a little more than 25% cash right now and I feel as if I’ve been scourged on the wheel for a fortnight.

Perhaps I shall cut out that nasty M.O. and be shrived of my cognitive dissonance sins at last.  Who needs motor function anyway? I can always blog at you via sophisticated “eye-blink” technology, right?

Onto the shriving.   Needless to say, I bought nothing today, despite the ambulatory nature of such Ag Gems as Jacksonians The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] and Monsanto Company [[MON]] , which finally broke back over the $80 barrier.    You remember the old Fly-saying, yes?  “If it gets over $80, it’s going to $120?

We shall see.   I also like Intrepid Potash, Inc. [[IPI]] and Agria Corporation (ADR) [[GRO]] , but lower.

Sales today were across the board on the PM’s and I even took the time to sell off some odds and ends as well.

I sold some enormous Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] today — almost 30% of my stash, 4k at $13.12.     I also sold 2k shares of the enormous performer IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] , one third of my holdings in that name, for $18.85.    Sawing a hunk of my shoulder blade off would’ve been less painful.

Of my 6k shares of [[GDX]] I sold 2k outright at $50.18, and then hedged the remainder by selling March $50 calls at $5.25 a piece.

Taking a dull spoon to my eyes, I sold another 4k of Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , and then hedged 7k of the remaining 11 by selling 70 March $16 calls at $1.90 and $2.00.     Perhaps talking about it here will assuage my pain? 

I sold 2k of [[PAAS]] at $24.68 and another stray K of Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] at $12.16, leaving me with 4 and 10k respectively.    What will you have of me next?  My children?

Oh my, I must have been putting this one out of my mind, as I’d almost forgotten… I also sold 8k of [[EXK]] today (40%!) at $3.68.  Arthur Koestler, I know your Darkness at Noon!

Last on the precious fronts, I sold 1.5k of [[CDE]] at $21.99 and $22.03, and 4k of Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] at $4.16.  

On the “odds and ends” front, I sold another 2k of [[BIOS]] at $7.68, leaving me with only 2k left, which I will not sell outside of Armegeddon, where I may need River Styx fare. 

I also sold 6k of Citigroup Inc. [[C]] for a rare loss (only a couple of pennies plus commish) on a complete “cautionary” basis.   I think I can buy those back cheaper, is all.    Last, I sold a stub amount (1k) of Sinovac Biotech Ltd. [[SVA]] which I’ve owned since the low $3 range, for $7.51.

Last, but not least, I booted the remainder of my [[ERX]] (1.5k) with the dividend pushout, at $38.46.

I am quite exhausted and on tenter-hooks, ovah heah, but I must trust my charts and instincts, or all is lost.   I am thinking we will see a correction at least into Turkey Week, as Tim Geithner and the Klown Kircus will be selling more yummy T-bonds into the maw of Mother Market whilst we prepare for Pilgrim Foods.

You know what that usually means by now, I expect.   If not, you have not been paying close attention, and are condemned to suffer the fate of Piglet during Swine Flu Saison (sic).    (Ostracism)

Best to you this weekend.   Off to see an Opera.

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Addenda — if you haven’t already done so, be sure to ring up your block head Senator and tell him/her that this Obamacare is a train wreck waiting to happen.     It looks like Dirty Harry Reid and the Dem Senate are taking a page out of Madame Pelosi’s book of legerdemain and are going to try to jam this through in a Saturday Night Special.   If this were a good bill, of course they’d have no need to be so serpentine.

Ciao.

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Nekkid Silver Bears on the Piazza!

silverbears 

Be-ware!  Be-ware! Beware-Beware-Beware!

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What makes a bear run nekkid onto the piazaa you ask?   The promise of honey, mayhap?

Mayhap, rabbit… mayhap.

But you simply must ask, if only for the sake of  civilized conversation — what honey is available, Mr. Silver Urso?

I mean, the traditional price ratio between gold and silver has been in the 40x area in our “modern era”  (i.e., “Post-Rooseveltian gold grab, 1933.” )

This evening, with gold at $1,108/oz. and silver at $17.39, that ratio stands at a hamster’s whisper below 64x.

For those scoring at home, that’s a 60% premium to the historical ratio.  

Ironically, it appears shorting [[GDX]] is a better roll of the dice than shorting [[SLV]]  here.   Why you’d be cracked enough to short either, however, is a question for those better schooled in psychiatry than myself.  

I vote “secret death wish.”

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On seeing the Silver Bears in the Piazza this morning, I loaded a bit more [[AGQ]] — 400 shs at $60.55, bringing us within 600 shares of my longer term goal of 4k total.    First target on SLV is $18.08 and then $19.13 and then to the old highs at $20.66.   

Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] broke to post-crash highs today, and will run into congestion at $15.00, so be nimble here.

Looks like [[GLD]] is comfortable staying over $106.50 at least for now.   Whether we continue to break out, or will consolidate some here, will depend on that line, I believe.

On non-PM related topics, Jacksonian Long Term Hold Monsanto Company [[MON]] had a BTFO on the revelation that more of their universe-changing IP is being rolled out earlier than expected.  

Odd, no?  

Get Frankenfoods or go eat a frankfurter, hippies! 

I sold half my $70 strike November MON calls that I bot on the Bollinger Band crash trade back in the high 60’s a week or so back, and am holding the rest to dispense with on a follow-up tomorrow.    Or not, if none materializes.  

Also, [[BIOS]] continues to btfo, despite my having sold half my position in the high 7.90’s.   I will continue to hold as a result of this continued move.

Good luck, piazza pizza eaters.

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UPDATESome fun facts for the healthcare debate crowd, courtesy of The National Center for Policy Analysis.

Enjoy!

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‘Twas Brillig and the Slithy Toves

jabberwocky

`Twas brillig, and the slithy toves
Did gyre and gimble in the wabe:
All mimsy were the borogoves,
And the mome raths outgrabe.

“Beware the Jabberwock, my son!
The jaws that bite, the claws that catch!
Beware the Jubjub bird, and shun
The frumious Bandersnatch!”

He took his vorpal sword in hand:
Long time the manxome foe he sought —
So rested he by the Tumtum tree,
And stood awhile in thought.

And, as in uffish thought he stood,
The Jabberwock, with eyes of flame,
Came whiffling through the tulgey wood,
And burbled as it came!

One, two! One, two! And through and through
The vorpal blade went snicker-snack!
He left it dead, and with its head
He went galumphing back.

“And, has thou slain the Jabberwock?
Come to my arms, my beamish boy!
O frabjous day! Callooh! Callay!’
He chortled in his joy.

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(Note: Above is actual eye witness report of my Fed Dollar battle today)

Not much to report tonight.  A little bit of pullback at midday, but I did indulge in some egregious silver miner [[CDE]] call options (as reported in the earlier thread, I took down 40 Oct. 17.50’s at $2.60) for a lark.  I really do think CDE will be a nice hold here for a bit.

IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] had some run up today (to $14.87!) but then sold off to end the day at $13.40. This stock doesn’t seem to know what to do (it was up again 25 cents in AH), but I would guess it’s going to consolidate along with a bunch of other fast runners here, including even our $HUI index. I still like silver here, as I may have mentioned.

On the non-precious side The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] has broken out over $33 and my next target is $39. Despite all the other rockets popping, this is still my best performing Jackson at +99.6% since our May 1st inception.

Other non PM Jacksons that look strong here are again Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] and Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] . Monsanto Company [[MON]] bides its time, but reserves the Hippocratic Oath for now. Other non-PM “hoppers” I like include RTI International Metals, Inc. [[RTI]] , Calgon Carbon Corporation [[CCC]] , Titanium Metals Corporation [[TIE]] and yes, even Alcoa Inc. [[AA]] .

The Jacksonian Portfolio stands at a “mahvelous” 31.4% return for the little more than four months its been in place. I thank you for your patronage.

See y’awl tomorrow.

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Has Anyone Seen My Little Dog?

tequiladog

Last I saw him he was running around, all ass & tail, gunning down shots of Don Julio and screaming “New Lows in July, damnit!!”  

But here it is August, and the only lows I’m seeing are the catatonic stair steps of [[UUP]] as it heads to its crypt in the basement.  Remember my post about the “noise zone” from the other day?  Here’s our result:

uup

Looks like $23 is the make or break area, here.   If we get there, I think we get at least a bounce.   Would not shock me to see further deterioration after that.

Again, that means good things for our PM and Jacksonian buddies, and they all rallied today, with the overall portfolio up 3.23% today and now breaking to new highs since our May 1st inception, with a return to date of 26.62%.   My only regret is that I didn’t put more cash to work last week when I upped my Monsanto Company [[MON]] and Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] holdings back to their former strengths.  

Another interesting note — while Mr. Anderson — The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] remains my top performer with a 92.81% return since May 1st launch, my second chasing close on his heels is also my newest pick Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] which is up an astonishing 88.76% since first purchase back on June 16th at $15.04.    Most of the PM’s are in the 20’s percentile range (still off their June highs, mind you) with IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] leading that pack, up 32.06%.

The one Jacksonian clunker (for which I receive a large “cash” dividend) is Natural Resource Partners LP [[NRP]] , at a negative (4.11%).   I will consider NRP’s inclusion in the ongoing list, unless it’s laggard status improves.

As for the best of the Jackson’s currently, the silvers seem to be standing out nicely, with my favourite (sic) Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] breaking out past it’s 61.8% fib, and looking to continue here to resistance in the near term at $11.00 or so.   I of course will hold onto it until the bonds of time are loosed.   Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] also looks extremely strong here, with another breakaway gap, up over 6% today like SLW.  [[PAAS]] was only up over 5% today, but is exhibiting the same tendencies.  

Last, non-Jackson junior silver [[EXK]] was also very strong today, with a nice volume spike and also gapping up over resistance. levels.   It seems to be heading to it’s recent highs ($2.40) , and I’d say that’s going to come quickly.   My analysis is that the Central banks were so busy suppressing gold today that they forgot about her little brother, and the beach ball popped above the water for all to see….

Onto the non-Jackson golds–  I still like Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , which is becoming almost Jacksonian in its stately and dignified rise here.   Take a look at it’s weekly chart when you get a chance — it’s a thing of beauty.   As mentioned in my comments section, [[BAA]] broke da Flummox out today over the $2.14 barrier I had mentioned in my chart the other day, and Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (USA) [[IVN]] is looking to move higher.  I also still like Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]],  even though it’s rise was crippled by the Curse of DMG early this morning.  

On the non PM front, I still very much like Mirant Corporation [[MIR]] — which also has A and B warrants, if you are interested in that type of thing.   I also applaud any of you that took my [[CNXT]] breakout signal chart from the other day to heart.  I think they’ll be more there, btw.  

 That should be enough for you to digest for now, but check in my comments section tomorrow for trading updates.   Best to you all.

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Monster Santa and the Meltup Miracle

 St. Thug

I figured I’d take some time off from battling economic illiterates and Stockholm-Syndromed left wing Canadians on nature of government bureaucracies to comment on the market. 

The only thing I can say is:  maybe I should do more political blog posts, as it seems to act like Miracle-Gro on my portfolio garden.   And no one is more an example of that than the Ag King Monsanto Company [[MON]] who is kicking down doors and stealing third world children for medical experiments with quite the profitable panache these days.  (Sorry that last was from an E.L.F. brochure I picked up at an Al Gore hedge fund meeting yesterday).  

As a result of today’s ridiculous meltup, [[TZA]] hit my final stop which was $18.30, though my “eggsellent” trading service didn’t sell it for another four pennies.  I will have words for them, believe me.   I always have words.

I also took the opportunity to grab another 100 shares of MON for the Jacksons today at the 10 am price ($81.09), which will get my position size back in line with its former numbers.  Yes, I am buying it higher than where I sold, but what the hell, I didn’t sell it on my “real” portfolio and that should be a lesson to me.  Here I am trying to be more conservative with the Jacksons and all I’m doing is costing you money.   I will try to be more clingy for you in future.

Also at 10 am, I added another $5,000 worth of Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] at $14.13 (354 more shares), which will also bring that position back in line with original numbers. I still like Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] here, but am still waiting for a pullback, which has become a wearying excercise. I also like Titanium Metals Corporation [[TIE]] and am adding here at $8.20 to my personal portfolio. Mechel OAO (ADR) [[MTL]] I have mentioned and bot a small amount earlier this month. It is “BTFO” today.

On the PM front, I like Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] here, if for only for the fact that it’s lagging, and that I think it will catch up with the crowd. On the fast moving fronts, the silvers are off the blocks again and sprinting ahead. I like Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] here, a lot. On the non Jackson front, the juniors are not exactly kicking as much arse as I would expect, but I continue to like their prospects over the majors. All the N’s are good Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] , NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] and New Gold Inc. (USA) [[NGD]] as well as [[EXK]] , [[BAA]] and Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] . Also keep an eye on Nevsun Resources (USA) [[NSU]] and Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (USA) [[IVN]] . Last of the list, Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] looks nice now, but will look really good on a break of $2.50. As always proceed at your own risk on these little pocket rockets.

I would be remiss if I were to ignore the relative beating the Obama Machine is taking in the polls on this healthcare initiative, and the effect it is having on the prospects of the horrendous bill (mentioned in last post) getting through Congress. I think the alleveation of that impending government blanket on our economy is what’s causing this meltup. That said, the euphoria could be temporary, especially if the Messiah Road Show gets any traction. If last night’s Ramble-a-thon is any indication, I think we’re moving closer to safe ground.

The big insurers are also taking some heart today, with Humana Inc. [[HUM]] , CIGNA Corporation [[CI]] , UnitedHealth Group Inc. [[UNH]] and Aetna Inc. [[AET]] all showing solid gains. I will not buy a one of them, however, until I know Obamacare is dead, and then I might only grab some Almost Family, Inc. [[AFAM]] when I know its safe. Let’s face it, health insurance companies are going to be under the gun for years to come here, and until Congress gets its hand out of their pockets, they’ll struggle within their regulatory environment. You are better off sticking with the inflationary names for now.

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UPDATE: I forgot to mention Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. [[CWCO]] which I am buying here at 16.45 (1k shares, starter). One of the miracles of St. Thug. (Salt water into potable)

UPDATE:  Just bot 1k more The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] for the personal portfolio @ $31.09.

UPDATE:  Just bot 2k more  [[BIOS]] for the personal portfolio @ $6.32.

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Bring Out Ya Dead!

 [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=grbSQ6O6kbs 450 300] 

The above scene brought to you by Obamacare rationing.  Get used to it.  

Seriously, I hate to go on and on, but this Obamacare bill before Congress right now could be the worst legislation rammed through the Congress since the bad old days when Wilson okay’d the Fed and then got the 16th Amendment passed, essentially giving the Federal Gummint the license to meddle with your pay forever.

   You owe it to yourself to take the painful steps to read at least a couple of pages — just open it up in the middle, anywhere — it’s 100% bad from nave to chaps.

And if you aren’t keyed up enough to get angry for your own families’ sake, then at least feel some empathy for the Canadians that will lose their only available avenue to decent healthcare.

Wake up and do the research, America, before you wreck the greatest health care system and innovation purveyor on the globe.  Follow http://twitter.com/fleckman as well, for all the latest on the Healthcare bill.  I’d send you to his blog, but it’s been literally innundated with visitors and therefore cannot handle the traffic at this point.  His stuff on Twitter has links and downloads that are very helpful, however.

Remember, you are a sovereign citizen.   Take back your country from the authoritarians who would order your life for you, and limit your freedom.   Even if you voted for Obama, you didn’t vote for this.

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The Jacksons were off a mere tad today (0.4%) but are still returning a blink under 19% since May.   As mentioned Monsanto Company [[MON]] had a huge day, which promises more in future.   Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] was up even more, and don’t act like I haven’t been pounding the table on both it and Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] .   I continue to pound.   You must endeavour (sic) to listen.

More on the juniors that I will be purchasing tomorrow.  Until then…

Best of health to you all.

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