(The Doctor Was Right!)

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Le Docteur du Drosfila was correuct yesterday when he promised that The Santa Bernank would arrive soon and solve all your troubles. 

Well, he would if you were an earl and precious metal investor at least.  The rest of the “stock” market may take a little breather here as we reset for the next devaluation of your crumbly-tumbly dollar (down another 0.6% as I type this).   I wouldn’t get too worried, however, unless you are on food stamps or some other COLA-regulated form of government teat.   Because be assured, your welfare state is not looking out for your welfare, even if you are on Welfare!

Yesterday, on weakness, I indulged — as per my announcements on The PPT, peace be upon it — in a double helping of additional gold stocks.  I am quite full up on silver, though I may turn fat fingered vulgarian and grab a smidge more AGQ to take full advantage of any weakness.  The stocks I added to yesterday were EGO and NGD.   Some comrades on The PPT followed me, at even lower prices than I received.

Cursed be their names.

Today, I am looking at some additional weakness in ANV and IAG, and those would be where I’d alight first.  I am also looking at AAU and IVN as “exotics” as it were.   Royal Gold (RGLD) is also looking  juicy.

We’ll talk more tonight.  Good luck and Merry Bernanke to you all.

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Listen up kids, I don’t do drugs.  

No, really.

No, I get high on… silver highs.   New one’s especially.  ‘Fact, I might even OD on breaking all-time highs, but I am doing wind sprints and having my sons jump out of random closets at me— “Cato-Clouseau-style” — in order to get my adrenaline glands in good condition for the eventuality.

Cause I’m pretty sure it’s coming.   Tonight we have new 31-year highs at $33.12, which is making me very happy.  Mind you I started buying physical silver at about $4.50 an ounce, and have never sold any of it.  That’s over 630% since 2002.  I wish I could say the same for my silver stocks, which I’ve traded perhaps with over-zealous vigour (sic).  In truth, they’ve been even more volatile than the commodity price itself.  

My favorite silver play continues to be the royalty play Silver Wheaton — SLW— which does not dirty its fingernails with crude dirt-scratching but instead secures royalty payment in silver at a certain price in exchange for financing miners.   Would you screech out loud if I told you that SLW had arranged to be paid in silver at the equivalent of less than $5.00 an ounce?   That’s like taking a time machine back to 2002 and rifling the unsuspecting corner numismatic storedfront for less than appreciated 100 oz. ingots, only to return to February 2011 and have them assayed for over $33… and counting.

Can you see why I’m so excited about royalty plays?  They are, in fact, leverage for the leveraged price of the precious metal, as that is what the miners do — they allow one leverage on an increasing precious metal price.  The royalty play is one step higher up the chain of amped return.  Is there risk of default and other mining related problems?  Of course, but like a bank, a diversified portfolio will absorb some of that volatility.  

 Remember this SLW  chart from a couple of weeks ago?   The two arrows are the places where I’ve made recent buys.  We’re still not back to our old December highs, but I think we’ll be there, maybe as soon as this week.  

 Royal Gold — RGLD — is another royalty play, this time on the gold side, and with an even more diversified portfolio than SLW.   That’s another Jacksonian you want to own.

I also like EXK, AGQ (be careful with this one), PAAS, MVG, SVM, AG, CDE (small), and SSRI.  Another great catch all for all of these (or most) is SIL, the silver miner ETF. 

For gold, the old standards, ANV, EGO, RGLD, IAG, GDX, GDXJ, NGD  are recommended, and newcomers IVN and AAU to taste.  I continue to believe also that the rare earth metals will resume their volatile climbs, and I like AVL and QSURD best.

Nothing going on in the U.S. stock markets tomorrow, but the precious metal, U.S. dollar and futures markets should be fun.  Ciao for now.

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And Just the Right Colour (sic), Too!

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It certainly feels good to stretch one’s wings once again, especially after a period of soreness and chafing, when the gold and silver markets pulled back in feeble, milquetoast fashion, rendering my hedges dull and feckless, and largely a waste of my time.   Luckily, I exited the remainder of my precious metal hedges today, and for the most part in the plus column (while my short ETF hedges were not), and the whole unpleasantness was avoided save for a more optimum re-entry price on a few select names.

As I previously stated, the dollar and the Amex Gold Bug Index ($HUI) were my guide in re-entering this morning, and the $HUI preceded the dollar in breaking that “roof” at $535 that has been plaguing us for the best part of a week.  I think today’s strong candle — on volume not evident in this chart, but in the individual names — gives we longer term players the assurance we need to be back in for the final ramp into Spring:

Note that upon the strong break this morning, I piled into AGQ with the gusto of a small ravenous narwhale amongst the migratory squid, immediately purchasing my first allocation (about one half of my expected total) without a limit order.  When things are breaking out like this, you always want to make sure you at least wet your beak so that you are not left behind in a tidal surge.   I also put in limit orders at this morning’s gap — and they never came close to being filled all day.   Tomorrow I shall try again for my fills there.

As planned, apres this break,  I also added to my considerable hordes in EXK, SLW, SIL and NGD.   As early as tomorrow I expect something of a pullback, but I will be adding at each opportunity.   Next in line is PAAS, AG, MVG and perhaps even CDE and HL.   I shall be as a fat suckling pig in a candy shoppe.   And no, I will not forget Prometheus’s gold — EGO, ANV and IAG will be added to as well, perhaps with IVN and AAU.

Scratch that, I just looked at the charts.  I will definitely be adding some AAU tomorrow.

Cheerio! Wot?  Your friend, Happy Jake.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XfuBREMXxts&feature=related 450 300]

Boomer’s First Signed Act! (Check out the Instrumentalism!)

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As you well know, I am a believer– in many senses of the word (and the Word, and the weurd ).   But like Mickey Dolenz aimlessly tapping against the rim of a snare drum in an attempt to appear Ringo-weurthy, I am stuck here twiddling my Thaler collection, waiting for the second shoe to drop.

You remember my “I want to Believe” chart from four days back?  Well, it’s still stubbornly refusing to resolve itself, neither breaking down nor breaking out.   It’s enough to make one test the family flame-thrower out on the neighbor’s bird-stalking cat…

My patience is wearing to a thin thread, but I know I won’t have to wait much longer.  The dollar looks to be in its last throes, and will either spit the bit tonight, or take off in one last spasm of orgasmic excess followed by a quick-wilt into mid-February.   Your cue will be the $77.80 line on the DX-Y.  I believe that is our point of no return. 

Should the dollar fail there, I will be loading kegs of AGQ-brand sweet mead onto the back of my ale truck, along with SIL, SLW, and of course, EXK.    I will also have gold brands for you to swill, likely headed by IAG, ANV and EGO.   I never sold much RGLD, but I will likely be adding to that role as well.

For those of you who want something right now ,and cannot otherwise hold your water, I think the Borg cannot resist assimilating this latent bull, and so BWA should be bought here with alacrity.   The same goes for the providers of mining machinery to the mines above, JOYG and TEX.

JOYG to you all.

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I’ve got an extremely busy week ahead of me, so while I will attempt to log in as much as I can, I don’t expect I shall be my usual garrulous self.   I’m traveling out to Southern Bustopia on the West Coast, and I hope to be safely wheels down before the airport bonds go teats up, and the baggage handlers start throwing Molatav cocktails at the TSA while storming the control tower.

I expect I may end up having to be Hummer’d out — a la “Mad Max: The Road Warrior” — so I’ll be bringing several ingots of .999 silver to pay for the petrol and extra ammunition.

As far as that goes, this week may be a good week to trade some silver in for consumer goods like eye black and B.A.R. rounds, if you are so inclined.  A nice plow and a brace of oxen wouldn’t hurt to hold in reserve either, if you’re agriculturally minded.   You see, with regard to precious metals, I think we may see a dollar respite here, so I sold another 10k of EXK on Friday, bringing my position down to about 30% of my original peak.

I also divested myself of some IAG, some GSS, some CDE, a touch more SLW,  half of my PAAS, and about 30% of my ANV, with the remainder of those both being hedged, along with hedging most of the rest of the portfolio I didn’t choose to sell.   I now have egregious amounts of cash with which to buy what I believe will be a forthcoming dip in the precious markets that I believe we’ve been holding out for since early December.

I may be wrong, and if I am the first thing I will be purchasing is AGQ.   I will certainly let you know.

God bless you all, this night and always.

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Sorry Florida fans, we’ve got your “Urban Meyer Magic” right here in the Lou, and he’s not going anywhere.

(At least not this year)

No, seriously, though… do you think it’s a coincidence that The University of Florida, with the best recruiting classes over the last ten plus years, bar none, sucked balls this year without Defensive Coordinator Charlie Strong?  

And do you believe it a coincidence that Florida head coach Urban Meyer has decided to resign again this year, and flee back to the bosom of his family and “good health?”  C’mon.

I happen to think it’s no coincidence, especially as Charlie Strong has managed to not only make the Cards bowl eligible in his first year as head coach (after 27 years as an assistant at various racist SEC-Conference schools), but also to win their first bowl since winning the 2007 Orange Bowl four years ago (with former, now Arkansas coach Bobby Petrino), 31-28 over Southern Mississippi.

Okay, so it was the Beef O’ Brannigans Beer & Cheesenutz and Light Draft Bowl, but you have to start somewhere right?  And that “Florida Magic” —  which really stemmed from Charlie’s ability to recruit fine young men from Florida –has already begun to bear fruit.  Note this week’s news — as Louisville has landed it’s first five star recruit, Teddy Bridgewater of Northern Miami, since hometown boy RB Michael Bush (now with the Raiders), signed seven years ago.   Here’s the skinny:

Miami Northwestern quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, a five-star recruit who is widely considered to be one of the best dual threat quarterback prospects in the county, announced his commitment to coach Charlie Strong and the Louisville Cardinals earlier today. Bridgewater, a one-time Miami commit who reopened his options after Shannon’s termination, made it clear that the chance to get on the field early was the biggest factor in his decision.

 

That’s right, they stole this guy from “The U” — Miami University — his own hometown school.  Now that’s strong… that’s Charlie Strong.   Looking forward to watching my Cards continue to kick ass until the SEC steals Charlie back, swallowing crow on their 27 year mistake.  I fear will ultimately be our porridge, and am resigned to it.

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Speaking of “resigned to our porridge,” I am ultimately resigned to a pullback here, and have begun hedging my large PM positions with sold “in the money” calls on my largest pieces.

I sold 80 $34 strike February calls for SLW today, for example.   I also have written call orders in for EXK, ANV, IAG and several others that have yet to fill.  I also sold 10k shares of GSS today at $4.79, which was 45% of my position.  

I plan to keep on with these moves as we go to year end.  I am writing calls because I’ve already taken egregious gains this year, and would like to defer any additional taxable gains into next year.  Also, I would like to maintain my “core position” in many PM positions despite my inclinations toward lower prices in the near term.  Silver, however is looking like it will pull back in dreadful fashion.   Be apprised.

One other thing, I must take the opportunity to brag on my “rare earth metals” position in AVARF, which I will likely trim by 30 to 50% tomorrow.  After holding for about a month, that sucker took off today with a newly announced AMEX listing.  Sometimes it’s as simple as that.

Best to you all, my gente.

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