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Thar’s Gold in Them Thar Hills!

YukonBumble

Dang, I should be out of the office more often. Looks like the “Dollah Dollah Bill Y’awl” prediction  I made yesterday is staying true and we are continuing to see a break down in the much beknighted green back– [[UUP]] .

The dollar’s breakdown is causing a “so sorry” event for bears, but a “yippe kai yi yeah, muthaflickah” event for those of us in the precious metal camp. What’s ironic is that the bears are correct — the only thing keeping this market going right now is the craptastic dollar. In other words, it’s not “real” value but “inflated value” that’s driving stocks upward. What is doubly ironic is that bears will short this market thinking that the dollar will strengthen.

Very odd.

We’re here to make money so let me throw out some picks that are looking good. First — the junior golds, which on the Jackson side include only Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] , which is my strongest Jackson today. Non Jacksonian juniors I like, and will mention again are Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] (which is breaking out as I type this), Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] , [[BAA]] , NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] and Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] on the gold side and Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[CDE]] and [[EXK]] on the silver side. I also like the double silver ETF [[AGQ]] here as well.    Finally, the Jackson silvers are looking strong here as well — Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] , [[PAAS]] and [[SLW]].

Non-PM Jacksons Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] and Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] continue to look great while agro man The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] takes a breather.   Still a buy as well, though.

From a non-Jackson picks side, [[BIOS]] is getting knocked back today, but it’s still on trend by a long piece, so look to add. Also , the rockets I gave you the other day — Trimble Navigation Limited [[TRMB]] and Given Imaging Ltd. [[GIVN]] , are flagging here and if they begin to take off from the bottom of these flags (instead of breaking down), they too could be a nice purchase here. Use caution and mind your sizing with these big movers. Best to you all, and look to the PM’s if the dollar continues to deteriorate.

UPDATE:  I almost forgot to throw something in on Rage’s regional banks  play.  Of those I like Fifth Third Bancorp [[FITB]] and KeyCorp [[KEY]] .  Somewhat  related — I also like the Irish shilelegh-wielding banks too — Bank of Ireland (ADR) [[IRE]] and Allied Irish Banks, plc. (ADR) [[AIB]] .

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Nuit du Français

Mime stomp 

Tonight is French Night on iBC, as ably demonstrated by Le Fly, who’s been buzzing around the streets and back alleys of Brooklyn on a moped, wearing a mime outfit and carrying hardened assault baguettes with which he has been smacking passing bearshitters.

As a consequence, our entertainment tonight will be of the French variety.  Someone sent me this following vid … some fan I guess (of the girl, not me).  I was intrigued, given the alleged huge popularity of this young woman over in Francais-land.  

Putting my French prejudices aside (as always), I look at this vid and I say — “what the hell is wrong with these people?”

I mean… haven’t they ever seen a Madonna video?  A far more hideous woman, from Michigan no-less, and yet, she makes for a far more entertaining spectacle, what with her sweaty dance kicks and conical breastusses-plates and all.  

Watching this piece, one is compelled to ask — what brilliant choreographer designed the 18-inch diameter dancing circle this young nymphette was forced to remain within?  And, was it John Travolta who taught her the “hand jive” she’s so desperately working here… maybe less to the music and more to the invisible flames engulfing her hands? 

Get this woman an L.A. talent agent, post-haste!    (Anton, I am suggesting you apply.)

And will someone… someone please insert a decent “Yo, Adrian!” at approximately 3:57 of this piece?   Thank you.

  [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ceSxEjwXHcM 450 300] 

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As for the market today, we saw some winship and we saw some consolidation.   As a consequence, I think [[TBT]] is ready to go north tomorrow after a nice pullback today.   [[BAA]] was a glorious win of many flying colors, and I don’t think it’s done yet.   I still like Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] and [[EXK]] .   If I had to have a favourite (sic) Jackson tomorrow, besides TBT, it would likely be Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] and Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] — pray for a pullback on the latter.   Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] should also be examined closely.

That’s all for tonight.   Wait, there’s one more before I forget… Corriente Resources Inc. [[ETQ]] has popped on my radar, and will likely get some follow through tomorrow.    Also, I added 2k more [[BIOS]] — if you get anything this year, break off a little bit for this consistently stair stepping winner.

Best to you and I will try to continue to update you tomorrow.

Name/   %   %   Portfolio Portfolio     
Ticker 15-Jul Change 16-Jul Change   Value Impact   Comments
ANDE  $     29.20    $      29.30 0.34%    $        8,847 0.02%   Could follow up w. the MOS & POT wins
EGO           9.05              9.20 1.66%    $        8,620 0.09%   Like to see it get above $9.50 here
GDX         38.29            38.33 0.10%    $      11,601 0.01%   50 day at 39.07,  might get resistance there.
GLD         92.24            91.98 -0.28%    $      10,578 -0.02%   Held up at the 50 day (92.08)
IAG           9.99            10.05 0.60%    $      12,392 0.04%   Closed over the fifty day
MON         76.46            75.74 -0.94%    $        4,442 -0.03%   Got the pullback we expected, to the 50day
NRP         22.27            22.89 2.78%    $        4,751 0.08%   All of a sudden looking strong.
PAAS         19.30            19.12 -0.93%    $      11,483 -0.06%   Closed over the fifty day, $20 the test now
RGLD         40.51            40.59 0.20%    $      11,216 0.01%   Still under 20 & 50 day.
SLV         13.06            13.09 0.23%    $      10,634 0.01%   POS consolidating here
SLW           8.41              8.39 -0.24%    $        8,150 -0.01%   Consolidating
SSRI         18.62            18.76 0.75%    $      10,913 0.05%   Needs back over $19.
TBT         53.19            52.00 -2.24%    $      10,359 -0.14%   Will likely buy tomorrow on this pullback
TC         11.61            11.81 1.72%    $        5,540 0.06%   Getting ready to crank one out
TCK         18.46            20.03 8.50%    $      13,318 0.68%   JUST BTFO.  Likely consolidate now.
TZA         21.28            20.35 -4.37%    $        4,100 -0.11%   Prolly get some strength tomorrow
Cash (000)  $      0.00    $    26.42 0.01%    26,420.79 0.00%   Same
AVG (daily)       0.46%    $ 173,365 0.68%    
AVG (monthly)       2.78%   Actual      
AVG (inception)       16.09%   Return 15.58%    

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Dylan Rocks the House

 Dylan

Sorry I haven’t been around to post pictures of ugly food, but I had to blow out of here real early tonight, as Bob Dylan and his Merry Band, along with Willie Nelson and John Commie Mellancamp were in town for a great five plus hours of rock & roll.  They were uniformly good, and Dylan was border line great tonight.   Pretty impressive for a 68 year old dude, living legend that he may be.

Willie is 76 which is just freaking incredible, given that he sounds exactly like he does on the radio.   Even John Commie Melons was pretty spry at 58.  Still, they could’ve dropped him from the team and not have had such an odd mix of iconic greats with aging boy popstar.   It makes one wonder — who will Bob tour with next, Vanilla Ice?

Because I just got back, and because I’m out all day tomorrow, there won’t be a Jacksonian Summary today.  Looking over the list, it’s a pottage of offal.  Down almost 3% today, with our money padrones, both gold (price $911.70/oz.) and silver (price $12.90/oz. ) getting beaten up in a summary back alley fashion, purportedly by Treasury Bond Salesman bearing Snidely Whiplash moustaches.

IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] was the worst of the lot, down over 8%.  I think that means we get a bounce tomorrow, given that there’s strong support at $9.00 (where we bounced today, btw).    I do think that the price of gold goes to $890 or so, here and that the miners are preceding that move.  

 Again, those of you who are lucky enough not to have a full position should be taking this opportunity to add at least some IAG here.   Yeah, we might see lower prices, but not three months from now.    This is stock that I believe will see at least $15 before the year is out, which is a 66% move from here.

The same can be said for Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] , Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] and Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , all bludgeoned today as well.   Again, nibble with a sidelong glance for the great cat named Treasury, but nibble nonetheless.   You shall soon bell that cat.

I expect we’ll get something of a bounce tomorrow — in almost everything — but again would not be surprised if there is some follow through drubbing on some of these, including even [[TBT]] .   I will be out, but may take the opportunity to dial in some more [[TZA]] on a rise tomorrow, just to continue hedging these summer doldrums.

Non-PM Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] got whacked today too, but I think we may get a bounce tomorrow thanks to our friends at Alcoa Inc. [[AA]] .

On my recent non-Jacksonians, [[BIOS]] can easily get back to $5.25 (its 20-day) and Health Grades, Inc. [[HGRD]] still looks very strong here.   Healthcare seems to be a continuing “safe haven” in this period.   Checkout Amgen, Inc. [[AMGN]] for reference.

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Patience Warranted

Doctor 

Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] is the strongest of the litter, here, and most of the precious still have work to do.  The silvers in particular are giving me agita, but only in that they are making me wait.

I bot some more Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] today as it tested its 38.2% fib, and [[PAAS]] and Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] had similar (though not as severe) pullbacks today.   Seasonally, we’ve entered into a slow period in the PM’s, but I am just not willing to sell anything right now, given the precariousness of the bond and dollar situation.   Sure, we could have more strength in both, but I just keep looking at the amount they have to sell this week (hat tip to Scum Bucket), and… well, let’s just say hard money is looking a lot more appetizing, and I’m getting ready to reload on more [[TBT]] . 

Of my non-Jackson’s Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] was actually a gold miner that was up today, and I’ve already mentioned that I increased my position in Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] .   Pretty soon I’m going to look like a gypsy Queen with gold and silver (and a touch of platinum, though I’ve yet to add to my starter position in [[PTM]] yet) dangling off my fingers, toes, ears and dreadlocks.

But that’s what our major theme is going to be here, folks, for the duration, so get used to it.  Soon, you’ll thank me for my persistent nagging.  In fact, it’s quite likely that someday, you’ll be adorning your children in “just 4 Kids” NY Giant paraphenelia in my honour (sic), and sending them off to college with tuition bills paid for in gold doubloons and pieces of eight.

I have every confidence.   All I need is the patience of a Bengal tiger in the deep brush on the annual Marlon Perkins’ Eat a Safari Tourist Day.  

Non PM picks I like, if you’re interested, include [[BIOS]] and Health Grades, Inc. [[HGRD]] here.   Best to you all.

Name/     %    
Ticker 2-Jul 6-Jul Change   Comments
ANDE  $                 30.89  $               29.67 -3.95%   Bounced off 20 day, sell on break $28.90
EGO                       9.25                     8.75 -5.41%   Closed a cent over the 50-day ($8.74)
GDX                     38.31                   36.94 -3.58%   Gapped down, doji’d, 200 day $35.94 
GLD                     91.25                   90.76 -0.54%   POG $925 headed for $900?
IAG                     10.34                     9.93 -3.97%   Bounced off 50 day, patience, a keeper
MON                     71.96                   73.26 1.81%   Bounced as I suspected, but vol. sucks
NRP                     20.77                   20.70 -0.34%   Still oversold, but hanging in.
PAAS                     18.22                   17.83 -2.14%   Looking weak, still.
RGLD                     41.52                   39.04 -5.97%   Below 200 day EMA, looking weak
SLV                     13.16                   13.10 -0.46%   Oversold, but 200 week beckons (12.40)
SLW                       8.40                     7.75 -7.74%   Closed penny over the 38.2% retrace, I bot.
SSRI                     18.79                   18.20 -3.14%   Doji’d but could seek $17 one more time
TBT                     50.73                   50.94 0.41%   Looks ready to make a move
TC                     10.36                   10.07 -2.80%   Could target 50 day ($9.00)
TCK                     16.09                   16.88 4.91%   Chinese investment give a pop.
TZA                     23.63                   24.34 3.00%   Portfolio saver again, still 1/2 position
Cash (000)  $               13.44  $              13.44 0.01%   Same
AVG (daily)     -1.76%    
AVG (monthly)   -1.14%    
AVG (inception)   11.26%    

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Bernie Madoff, Prison Bride

Bernie Madoff, Prison Bride

So they gave Bernie 150 years in the slam. Sounds like a big deal, but I bet he doesn’t do 12… this side of the daisies, at least. Hey fugheddaboudit, he might even escape the above elaborate costume by becoming the “prison accountant” and doing Bubbah’s taxes every year. Can you see it?

Bubbalah, I have news! Yoah tax refund estimates out at 16 cahtons of Marlboro Reds and a case of Mint Jelly Spam. No, dahling, it is no trouble.  You just pay me my “dahposit” of five cartons, and we can get the ball rolling on this new “thing” right away!

He should be fine.

But enough about old Bernie.  Let’s face it, he’s getting what he deserves, and that’s what we’re all about on the Jacksonian Plan too.   Right now, it looks like the market is taking its time taking a decision.   Will she run up to the top of the hill at 960 again, or jump off the cliff righ here at 926-ish, and end it all, emo lemming style?   I admit I don’t know, as today was a veritable “stick in the mud” despite the drop in the dollar and the increase in oil prices.

Earnings are still coming out favourably (sic) in some industries, including health care and selected technologies.  Aging pension filler behemoths like Johnson & Johnson Johnson & Johnson [[JNJ]] , Amgen, Inc. [[AMGN]]  , Merck & Co., Inc. Merck & Co., Inc. Merck & Co., Inc. Merck & Co., Inc. [[MRK]] and even good old staple stock Pfizer Inc. [[PFE]] are starting to look like they’ves got some gusto here, and the Jackson’s seem like they want to go into hibernation.  

That doesn’t mean there’s not money to be made, however, and on top of the Jacksons I’ll be watching these nutty juniors like Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] and Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] , and some key techs that The PPT has been alerting me to.   Two I purchased today were Fly’s current hot pick [[ARMH]] and perennial PPT favourite (sic) [[BIOS]] at $6.02 and $5.83 respectively.  I am also waiting on an entry for TEKELEC [[TKLC]] , perhaps tomorrow.  

In the meantime, the only Jackson that I think looks appetizing here is [[TBT]] , as I think it’s getting very cheap again.   I continue to monitor the silvers closely, however, as they’ve been volatile lately.  That said, the spot price of silver is back above $14 tonight, and gold is back over $940 again.   Good signs.

 I promise to make myself more available tomorrow, and keep you updated on the purchases and sales, if any.   Good night for now.

Name/     %    
Ticker 26-Jun 29-Jun Change   Comments
ANDE  $      30.23  $      29.91 -1.06%   Low volume pullback.  Keeping an eye.
EGO            9.40            9.45 0.53%   Plateauing.
GDX          39.20          39.15 -0.13%   Hanging on the 20-day
GLD          92.29          92.04 -0.27%   POG over $940 now.
IAG          10.48          10.30 -1.72%   Low volume pullback.  
MON          75.25          76.20 1.26%   Still a lot of work to do.
NRP          20.82          21.02 0.96%   Watch for break of bear flag here.
PAAS          19.08          18.55 -2.78%   Turned away at the 200 & 50 day
RGLD          42.07          42.97 2.14%   Low volume retrace, not trusting.
SLV          13.90          13.66 -1.73%   POS back above $14 this evening.
SLW            8.72            8.52 -2.29%   Between the 50 and 200 day EMA.
SSRI          19.52          19.16 -1.84%   Same as SLW
TBT          50.84          50.65 -0.38%   Very slight pullback… looking to add again
TC          10.44          10.57 1.25%   4th upday, on light volume
TCK          16.56          16.06 -3.02%   Low vol, still above 20, 50, and 200.
TZA          22.50          22.52 0.09%   Flat on low volume. Do or die, here.
AVG (daily)     -0.56%    
AVG (monthly)     -6.96%    
AVG (inception)     14.80%    

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Friends Don’t Let Friends Score FAZ

Sometimes it’s not about the money, it’s about the high.  The high you get from being right when everyone else (or most everyone) is wrong.   Let me tell you it can be a heady thrill,  as good or better than any triumphs on the athletic or academic plain.

But I implore you to forswear this high.   Do it today.   For it will turn you into a ravening frog-eyed hermit, cursing the clouds and the crowds for not bending to your superior will and your knowing…. your knowing.

This is a game of accepting defeat after all, shaking the Fly’s hand in a firm, but gentlemanly fashion and then moving on.  It’s  not a game of self incineration.   We must keep foremost in mind that a mass of blackened carbon cannot sally forth ever again.   He can only sit, and smolder and fume and smoke…. 

And curse his fate…

On alternating Mondays.

___________________________

   It looks like no one will be able to keep these commodities down for very long.   Is it the dollar?  Is it our interest rates?  Looming inflation?   I don’t know.   “KISS” — not the rock group but the acronym — instructs me to “K-eep I-t S-imple, S-tupid,” and so I will.

Just follow the trend til it ends.   

Is that instruction really that tough to follow?   Yes, the Devil Dog is in the details, but then you’ve many friends here (and on The PPT) with whom to consult.   We shall not leave your side despite your sweaty palms and mild B.O..      The bio-techs are still working.  Don’t ask me why, I blame CA  for starting the conversation with a grainy haus frau in a smoke-filled bar in Washington Heights three weeks ago.

You know how the flutter of the butterflies wings in a crowded tavern leads to hurricanoes in the porcelain room?     I like [[HEB]]-rews here, and First Phillip-ians [[MO]].    Another stealthy bio-tech I’ve been mentioning is [[SVA]] which had another solid day.  Last [[BIOS]] could take off at any time.    Or not.  I like it in the low 4’s.

As well, the commodites are working their tiny little mono-muscles .   General Jackson’s [[TC]] rebounded with great vigour (sic) and newly acquired [[TIE]] (non-Jackson) looks good too.  Even the PM’swere not pulling back with the vigour I expected from this mornings sad state of affairs.  My goodness, the worst hit Jacksonian was our highest flyer thus far, Mr. Anderson [[ANDE]], down a little over 3%.    By the way, if he could see his way to $28.40 tomorrow, or close thereby, he would offer an excellent entry for all those seeking his agrarian charms.  

Let’s look at the rest of the Jacksonian Core Holdings list, with attendant commentary:

Name 8-Jun % Change   Comments
ANDE  $ 29.12 -3.09%   Finally backing off a hot run. $28.40 entry.
EGO       9.27 0.32%   Gapped down, bounced off support & finished up.
GDX     41.30 -0.07%   Got our $40 target and bounced at support.
GLD     93.56 -0.16%   Hung on 20-day and 78% long term fib.
IAG     10.21 1.49%   Beautiful hammer off support, could be ready again
MON     82.79 0.99%   Still battling.
NRP     23.93 -2.33%   Still struggling with that $24 line.
PAAS     21.50 -2.63%   Another long tail doji, good EOD volume.
RGLD     44.10 0.05%   Gapped down, bounced off support & finished up.
SLV     14.76 -1.67%   Tested $14.50 early, then up the rest of the day.
SLW     10.18 -1.83%   Gapped down, bounced off support & finished up.
SSRI     22.13 -1.03%   Yet another hammer doji, this time on the 38% fib.
TBT     57.29 0.61%   $60 next stop.
TC       9.74 -1.81%   $10.96 near term target.  Another hammer doji.
TSO     15.68 0.77%   Wretched, but alive for today.
AVG   -0.69%    

Let’s hang together shall we?   I’d rather not hang separately.

____________________

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