iBankCoin
Joined Apr 19, 2009
721 Blog Posts

Friends Don’t Let Friends Score FAZ

Sometimes it’s not about the money, it’s about the high.  The high you get from being right when everyone else (or most everyone) is wrong.   Let me tell you it can be a heady thrill,  as good or better than any triumphs on the athletic or academic plain.

But I implore you to forswear this high.   Do it today.   For it will turn you into a ravening frog-eyed hermit, cursing the clouds and the crowds for not bending to your superior will and your knowing…. your knowing.

This is a game of accepting defeat after all, shaking the Fly’s hand in a firm, but gentlemanly fashion and then moving on.  It’s  not a game of self incineration.   We must keep foremost in mind that a mass of blackened carbon cannot sally forth ever again.   He can only sit, and smolder and fume and smoke…. 

And curse his fate…

On alternating Mondays.

___________________________

   It looks like no one will be able to keep these commodities down for very long.   Is it the dollar?  Is it our interest rates?  Looming inflation?   I don’t know.   “KISS” — not the rock group but the acronym — instructs me to “K-eep I-t S-imple, S-tupid,” and so I will.

Just follow the trend til it ends.   

Is that instruction really that tough to follow?   Yes, the Devil Dog is in the details, but then you’ve many friends here (and on The PPT) with whom to consult.   We shall not leave your side despite your sweaty palms and mild B.O..      The bio-techs are still working.  Don’t ask me why, I blame CA  for starting the conversation with a grainy haus frau in a smoke-filled bar in Washington Heights three weeks ago.

You know how the flutter of the butterflies wings in a crowded tavern leads to hurricanoes in the porcelain room?     I like [[HEB]]-rews here, and First Phillip-ians [[MO]].    Another stealthy bio-tech I’ve been mentioning is [[SVA]] which had another solid day.  Last [[BIOS]] could take off at any time.    Or not.  I like it in the low 4’s.

As well, the commodites are working their tiny little mono-muscles .   General Jackson’s [[TC]] rebounded with great vigour (sic) and newly acquired [[TIE]] (non-Jackson) looks good too.  Even the PM’swere not pulling back with the vigour I expected from this mornings sad state of affairs.  My goodness, the worst hit Jacksonian was our highest flyer thus far, Mr. Anderson [[ANDE]], down a little over 3%.    By the way, if he could see his way to $28.40 tomorrow, or close thereby, he would offer an excellent entry for all those seeking his agrarian charms.  

Let’s look at the rest of the Jacksonian Core Holdings list, with attendant commentary:

Name 8-Jun % Change   Comments
ANDE  $ 29.12 -3.09%   Finally backing off a hot run. $28.40 entry.
EGO       9.27 0.32%   Gapped down, bounced off support & finished up.
GDX     41.30 -0.07%   Got our $40 target and bounced at support.
GLD     93.56 -0.16%   Hung on 20-day and 78% long term fib.
IAG     10.21 1.49%   Beautiful hammer off support, could be ready again
MON     82.79 0.99%   Still battling.
NRP     23.93 -2.33%   Still struggling with that $24 line.
PAAS     21.50 -2.63%   Another long tail doji, good EOD volume.
RGLD     44.10 0.05%   Gapped down, bounced off support & finished up.
SLV     14.76 -1.67%   Tested $14.50 early, then up the rest of the day.
SLW     10.18 -1.83%   Gapped down, bounced off support & finished up.
SSRI     22.13 -1.03%   Yet another hammer doji, this time on the 38% fib.
TBT     57.29 0.61%   $60 next stop.
TC       9.74 -1.81%   $10.96 near term target.  Another hammer doji.
TSO     15.68 0.77%   Wretched, but alive for today.
AVG   -0.69%    

Let’s hang together shall we?   I’d rather not hang separately.

____________________

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15 comments

  1. The Fly

    Great title. Oh, and good content too.

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  2. JakeGint

    Grazie. I like the pic, m’self.

    _______

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  3. JakeGint

    BTW — CBL priced a secondary tonight.

    Merrill Bank of America and Wachovia on the cover, alone.

    If that’s not a metaphor for a phucked economy, I dunno what is…

    _________________

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  4. Cuervos Laugh

    Aside from the fact I’ve been looking at FAS strategies timed with SPY, this was interesting:

    http://shockedinvestor.blogspot.com/2009/06/next-fas-faz-eclipse-679-another-18.html

    FAS and FAZ have lost whoever buys them a total combined $4.2B. They last had an “eclipse”, i.e., the same nominal value, at $8.32. The constant losses since then have continued. The next theoretical meet at this point can be computed by the equation below:

    10.43/X = 4.42*X

    X = SQRT(2.359) = 1.53

    Where 10.43 and 4.42 are the current values. In other words, a 53.6% move will make them meet, or a 17.8% move in the underlying (since these are 3X ETFs).

    Next “eclipse” = $6.79

    That would be another drop of 18%, and a loss for investors (track it here) of $4.6B!

    Follow the link for the accompanying chart.

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  5. Just For Fun

    Jake,

    I keep trying TBT, twice again today in last hour 58 calls, took it twice for a whopping 10 cents x 10 contracts. I wanted to stay away until it held 57.50 area, so tell me why I want it so bad? Do I just allow myself a bad target to get long or what?

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  6. JakeGint

    JFF- I am afraid you are going to have to make your question a little bit clearer.

    Are you asking what is the proper buy for AGQ, or where you should sell calls?

    $47.70, if I recall correctly, is an optimal entry.

    ___

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  7. chivasontherocks
    chivasontherocks

    TO THINE OWN SELF BE TRUE

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  8. JakeGint

    Aside from an affinity for Hamlet, what should I parse from the above well-capitalized Chivasism?

    ___
    Btw- I better be getting an e-mail too!

    __

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  9. chivasontherocks
    chivasontherocks

    check your e-mail sweetheart.

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  10. MOOBS SIMMONS

    “KISS” — not the rock group but the acronym — instructs me to “K-eep I-t S-imple, S-tupid,” and so I will.

    Oh, no, friend. It is always about the hottest band in the land.

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  11. JakeGint

    Boom- I have been out of touch with “the Scene.”

    Is KISS hot again?

    Even when I was a little kid I loathed them.

    __

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  12. SatanicChihuahua
    SatanicChihuahua

    CBL is dishing out almost 50% dilution and the stock is only down 13%? Insane market.

    BTW, I once did the bitch in that pic in a Tijuana back alley.

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  13. JakeGint

    Satan’s —

    Yeah, that is a true Satanic Chihauhau! I hope you used protection.

    The CBL call is baffling. My sources tell me they did not need to raise capital here, and they are a bit pissed.

    Of course, if you fear the window may close on you… probably a portent of things to come in CRE. I have no position as of right now, however, long or short.

    _______________

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  14. Cash-N-Guns

    that dog is classic…looks my neighbors-SRS…starting to build position- now dont get all Armageddon labeling on me..mista lawn guyland …..

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  15. MOOBS SIMMONS

    KISS was never popular in that sense. But they did geezer rock the American Idol finale in a big way.

    Make you a deal: if they come to your city I will drive up and take you to the show.

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