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Getting Ready to Jump

 Jump

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No, it’s not what you think.   I’m talking about  a jump to value ovah heah.  

Getting ready to add even more Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] this morning at $14.87 (announced on The PPT yesterday) as I have a longer term buy-stop in at that level.   Also liking Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] at these ridiculous levels as well.  

The one thing that’s great — and horrifying – -about these PM miner markets is that  you are never really “out of the game” until that final ridiculous blow-off top.   There’s almost always an opportunity to grab shares cheap thanks to the high volatility, and more important, low float aspect of these markets.

I am hoping for a nice hard sell off into the 10 o’clock time frame.  Hard enough to make one’s kidney’s seize up like they’ve got hold of a spot of rancid hot cawfee.  

I want to buy into that fear this morning.   I am putting on the armor of steely determination now.   

For your bennies, I’ll be looking at the gems — not only the above mentioned two, but Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] , Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] , [[EXK]] , [[PAAS]] , IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] and yes, Chanci, even [[SVM]] for the first time for me.

Don’t forget also about the bank stocks I’ve mentioned — BB&T Corporation BB&T Corporation BB&T Corporation [[BBT]] , PNC Financial Services [[PNC]] , Pacific Capital Bancorp [[PCBC]] , Huntington Bancshares Incorporated [[HBAN]] (watch for earnings on this last), and the two LED sweeties — Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] and Veeco Instruments Inc. [[VECO]] .

Last, note the ags are again on the march.  My favourites here are The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] , Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR) [[SQM]] and of course, the Franken-Corn Friends at Monsanto Company [[MON]] .

I hope to have more for you later….  Hit ’em low and hard.

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Going Full Eeyore

Eeyore

He was Emo when Emo wasn’t cool.
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Stubbornly and like an ass, I sold continuously throughout  the day.    

In drips and drabs of course, but it becomes cumulative after a while.   Frankly, I don’t know how Docteur Le Fly does it.   It seems like one day he’s fully invested and then — BOOM! — He’s 60% in cash.

It doesn’t even seem to faze him.

I, on the other hand, agonize on every share sold in a rising market, even as I know deep down in my medulla oblongata (sic), it must be done.  I am at a little more than 25% cash right now and I feel as if I’ve been scourged on the wheel for a fortnight.

Perhaps I shall cut out that nasty M.O. and be shrived of my cognitive dissonance sins at last.  Who needs motor function anyway? I can always blog at you via sophisticated “eye-blink” technology, right?

Onto the shriving.   Needless to say, I bought nothing today, despite the ambulatory nature of such Ag Gems as Jacksonians The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] and Monsanto Company [[MON]] , which finally broke back over the $80 barrier.    You remember the old Fly-saying, yes?  “If it gets over $80, it’s going to $120?

We shall see.   I also like Intrepid Potash, Inc. [[IPI]] and Agria Corporation (ADR) [[GRO]] , but lower.

Sales today were across the board on the PM’s and I even took the time to sell off some odds and ends as well.

I sold some enormous Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] today — almost 30% of my stash, 4k at $13.12.     I also sold 2k shares of the enormous performer IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] , one third of my holdings in that name, for $18.85.    Sawing a hunk of my shoulder blade off would’ve been less painful.

Of my 6k shares of [[GDX]] I sold 2k outright at $50.18, and then hedged the remainder by selling March $50 calls at $5.25 a piece.

Taking a dull spoon to my eyes, I sold another 4k of Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , and then hedged 7k of the remaining 11 by selling 70 March $16 calls at $1.90 and $2.00.     Perhaps talking about it here will assuage my pain? 

I sold 2k of [[PAAS]] at $24.68 and another stray K of Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] at $12.16, leaving me with 4 and 10k respectively.    What will you have of me next?  My children?

Oh my, I must have been putting this one out of my mind, as I’d almost forgotten… I also sold 8k of [[EXK]] today (40%!) at $3.68.  Arthur Koestler, I know your Darkness at Noon!

Last on the precious fronts, I sold 1.5k of [[CDE]] at $21.99 and $22.03, and 4k of Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] at $4.16.  

On the “odds and ends” front, I sold another 2k of [[BIOS]] at $7.68, leaving me with only 2k left, which I will not sell outside of Armegeddon, where I may need River Styx fare. 

I also sold 6k of Citigroup Inc. [[C]] for a rare loss (only a couple of pennies plus commish) on a complete “cautionary” basis.   I think I can buy those back cheaper, is all.    Last, I sold a stub amount (1k) of Sinovac Biotech Ltd. [[SVA]] which I’ve owned since the low $3 range, for $7.51.

Last, but not least, I booted the remainder of my [[ERX]] (1.5k) with the dividend pushout, at $38.46.

I am quite exhausted and on tenter-hooks, ovah heah, but I must trust my charts and instincts, or all is lost.   I am thinking we will see a correction at least into Turkey Week, as Tim Geithner and the Klown Kircus will be selling more yummy T-bonds into the maw of Mother Market whilst we prepare for Pilgrim Foods.

You know what that usually means by now, I expect.   If not, you have not been paying close attention, and are condemned to suffer the fate of Piglet during Swine Flu Saison (sic).    (Ostracism)

Best to you this weekend.   Off to see an Opera.

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Addenda — if you haven’t already done so, be sure to ring up your block head Senator and tell him/her that this Obamacare is a train wreck waiting to happen.     It looks like Dirty Harry Reid and the Dem Senate are taking a page out of Madame Pelosi’s book of legerdemain and are going to try to jam this through in a Saturday Night Special.   If this were a good bill, of course they’d have no need to be so serpentine.

Ciao.

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Don’t Get Too Cocky…

After all, this is why we are socking away wins for a rainy day:

deficit

So yeah, the Jacksons (up a collective 36.5% since May 1st as of today’s close) may be doing egregious “loaves and fishes” type miracles with your cash pile, but let’s keep our nose to the grindstone, as you’ll need that dough when a ham on rye, hold the mustard sets you back $36.25.

Remember we are all about dollar destruction here.   Take a look at that chart and ask yourself if the Congress and the Fed are going to support that kind of spending (not to mention the huge Medicare and Soc Sec liabilities) via the good old fashioned “belt tightening” of increased taxation and spending cuts?  

As they say in Texas, “No, hail no.”

So let’s be opportunistic and remember that there will be pullbacks in these metals, but that we need to manage our positions to maximize cash flow in this critical period.   For me that means selling calls at critical junctures, and even trimming the sails to raise cash from time to time.  If I’m reading things right, however, you are in for a bumpy, but enjoyable continuing ride here.

Keep in mind Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] has broken to new highs yet again, and Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] remains a favourite pick.   I may take some leverage (ie, bot calls) off the table in Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] soon, as it’s run faster than it’s brother silvers by far, with over 66.8% returns since May 1st inception, while [[PAAS]] and Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] are only at 43.5% and 29.2% respectively.   I think SSRI especially will gain from here. 

On the junior level [[EXK]] continues to be a junior trooper, and I continue with a leveraged position in [[CDE]] as well, because of the acute lack of overhead.  I also own Hecla Mining Company [[HL]]

On the gold side, IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] remains the monster of the pack, with 85.8% returns since inception, but I’d look for a pullback here before jumping in.   Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] and Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] still look like they can pack punch here, however, so keep an eye out on them and yesterday’s mention Gold Fields Limited (ADR) [[GFI]] .  

 Last, non-PM Monsanto Company [[MON]] grabbed back some ground today but continues to be undervalue in the Jacksonian sphere.   Still a “grandkids pick.”   The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] –up over 106.5%  since Jackson inception — is still our leader, and looking for $39 as it’s next “achievment.”

I’ll have more tomorrow, but let’s shut it down with a veritable classic from my youth.   Share it with a favored son of daughter, and it’s likely they’ll never forget it:

  [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7tQVEEPWv0 450 300]

Slange.

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‘Twas Brillig and the Slithy Toves

jabberwocky

`Twas brillig, and the slithy toves
Did gyre and gimble in the wabe:
All mimsy were the borogoves,
And the mome raths outgrabe.

“Beware the Jabberwock, my son!
The jaws that bite, the claws that catch!
Beware the Jubjub bird, and shun
The frumious Bandersnatch!”

He took his vorpal sword in hand:
Long time the manxome foe he sought —
So rested he by the Tumtum tree,
And stood awhile in thought.

And, as in uffish thought he stood,
The Jabberwock, with eyes of flame,
Came whiffling through the tulgey wood,
And burbled as it came!

One, two! One, two! And through and through
The vorpal blade went snicker-snack!
He left it dead, and with its head
He went galumphing back.

“And, has thou slain the Jabberwock?
Come to my arms, my beamish boy!
O frabjous day! Callooh! Callay!’
He chortled in his joy.

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(Note: Above is actual eye witness report of my Fed Dollar battle today)

Not much to report tonight.  A little bit of pullback at midday, but I did indulge in some egregious silver miner [[CDE]] call options (as reported in the earlier thread, I took down 40 Oct. 17.50’s at $2.60) for a lark.  I really do think CDE will be a nice hold here for a bit.

IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] had some run up today (to $14.87!) but then sold off to end the day at $13.40. This stock doesn’t seem to know what to do (it was up again 25 cents in AH), but I would guess it’s going to consolidate along with a bunch of other fast runners here, including even our $HUI index. I still like silver here, as I may have mentioned.

On the non-precious side The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] has broken out over $33 and my next target is $39. Despite all the other rockets popping, this is still my best performing Jackson at +99.6% since our May 1st inception.

Other non PM Jacksons that look strong here are again Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] and Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] . Monsanto Company [[MON]] bides its time, but reserves the Hippocratic Oath for now. Other non-PM “hoppers” I like include RTI International Metals, Inc. [[RTI]] , Calgon Carbon Corporation [[CCC]] , Titanium Metals Corporation [[TIE]] and yes, even Alcoa Inc. [[AA]] .

The Jacksonian Portfolio stands at a “mahvelous” 31.4% return for the little more than four months its been in place. I thank you for your patronage.

See y’awl tomorrow.

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Let’s Hear it for a Massive EGO!

Slavery

Today was a bit of a crapola day, no denying, with “Most Favoured (sic) Jacksons” The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] and Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] taking a severe frond thrashing to the buttocks, and most favoured (sic) silver stock Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] feeling the pain as well (among others).

However, for balance, my giant Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] is breaking the futz out, again!  Since this Jackson has been a laggard for a while, it gives me some hope for the whole group of PM’s in the Jackson Portfolio.  And believe me I need some surcease after being gutshot with a double barrel full of salt-rime this afternoon by my top two reliables and my “reliable laggard” Natural Resource Partners LP [[NRP]] –which I truly am beginning to tire of. 

Fat dividend or not, NRP may soon go the way of Tesoro Corporation [[TSO]] and onto the charnel heap if it does not get its act together soon.  

But on to sweeter things.   Two Jacksons are showing great promise, EGO being one, as mentioned — and look at this bust out chart:

egodaily

And the weekly show even more clearly the significance of the breakout into the “free air” territory:

egoweekly

Is it overbought?  Sure, a little.   But so was The St. Joe Company [[JOE]] yesterday, and that sucker kept steamrolling today.  Ours not to reason why, Jacksons….

But let me show you one more that may turn out to be the best gold stock in the Jackson Portfolio (I’ve felt that way for a while now).   Look at how IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] is setting up here.   This may be the one you really want to look at for tomorrow:

iag-daily

As the chart says, a break of $11.51 on volume will tell the tale.   Happy Hunting Jacksons.

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Jake Buys (More) TCK

obamacarei

For the Jacksonian Portfolio, I’ve purchased 300 more shares of Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] @ $27.51, using the available cash reserves.   Since the Jackson Portfolio is “paper” only, I wanted to assure you that I am also adding to my personal stash to the tune of 1k more shares at the same price.   I think this baby is a tiger that will not be tamed ovah heah. 

FWIW, everything is “on the table” today, and I am eyeing The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] for a buy if it breaks out over $31.50 again.   All the silvers are incredibly strong, and I may add some Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] just for the heck of it.   I am “full up” in the personal port, unfortunately. 

Best to you, today.

Best.

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