Ironic commentary from left-wack0 Ted Rall, circa November 2008.

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Just a quick, drive-by Mac-10 gloat on some of these magnificent late summer calls, right in the middle of the doom-and-gloom apoplexy, I might add.

If I were gloating.

Which I am, to some extent.  Just to review, SLW is still my favourite precious metal stock, but even I– with my already naturally large head– have to step back in awe and admiration at this ANV 200-day touch call. 

If you missed it, don’t feel bad, as I made a much bigger deal of it amongst the refined moneyed gentlemen of The PPT.  If they missed it, well, I blame the Monsieur, who hates l’or for some odd reason.

I only hope he does not feel the same about l’argent, and that he breaks from his stubborn bear-shitterishness soon, and joins the rest of the crewe in rich bloggy coin banquing. 

And just in case you think the condition of my cup over-flowething is just a shiny metal condition, check out what this other Jacksonian has been doing as of late.  Can you say BTFO, Mister ANDE?

And yes, that’s a $47.00 target… near term indeuuuuud!

Now stop being such a piker and join The PPT.  We need more Precious Pride in that forum anyway.  Why let old Hawaii Five-O and East Hampton Brucie get all the glory?  That’s just unfairness, plain and simple.

Best to you all.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQtq4Z4t1yQ 450 300]

Coupled With an Egregious Loss of Dignity

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SLW was up 25% this past August.  You’re welcome, any time. 

I expect we’ll see a bit of consolidation in the PM names into early September, perhaps even coincident with a pullback in TLT, our nemesis.

Then again with the action in ANV today, that might just not happen at all.  I hope, however, that it will, as I would like to add a bit more ANV before that behemoth continues to roll on.  Remember what I said about how powerful that stock was off a touch of the 200-day EMA?  That was back below $16 a share, less than six weeks ago, and today she hit $24.50 before backing off to a dollar lower than that. 

Now futures are raring up in a wholly unexpected September first blastoff.  I mean who could have thought all that low volume selling on Monday could have been big money positioning? 

Right? 

PM’s may rest here, but I’m thinking ANDE and SQM — two recent mentions, along with old Jacksonian friends TC and TCK, will offer plenty of fun-haus trading for those so inclined tomorrow.   Dollars to doughnuts, our friend earl starts launching again tomorrow.   I may partake in some eeeevil ERX as a result.

For the adventurous, it looks like CREE and VECO are ready to “POWR” up one more time.  Or you can go equally nuts with Triple Sec Russell play, TNA.

My best to you and your Boomer parents.   Well, kind of.

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Don’t dare ask me about the dollar, small pleb!
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Quickly, quickly now, as the spice melange takes maximum hold…  I shall reveal the revelations of the spice dreams as controlled by special Bene Gesserit training taught exclusively to me by Madonna.

First, I reiterate, with cement-like, no…concrete-like certainty, the devolution of this market will be marked by the application of much spice melange to my upper respiratory tract, especially my nostrils, where it is most tasty and vision-producing.

I envision our dollar to be entering some significant retrace territory on the weekly chart here, and soon, trouble:

As you can see, we are not yet oversold on the weekly (we should not be as we bottomed a mere two weeks back), but we are approaching some significant Fibonacci retrace levels at 61.8% of the latest large drop from the March to December ’09 period.

Not coincidentally, that huge dollar drop brought us our relief market.   Now I think she gets ready to drop once again, as the dollar “recovery” continues to weaken at the firm but effeminate hands of Ben Bernanke.

The dollar daily is even more immediate:

As you will note, on the daily, the Gom Jabbar  lies even closer to the neck of the weakling dollar, as it is overbought already after a mere 11 days since it’s last bottom-scrape.    A mere word will bring it to it’s knees, and I think that word is “Fibonacci.”

Or it could be “black candle,” even though that’s two words, technically.

No matter, gold held fast today, and as I commented to M. Le Docteur earlier today, whenever gold and the dollar rise simultaneously, it usually means one of them is about to break.   Today, the dollar blinked first but recovered.   The rest of the week should tell our tale.

In the meantime, gold and silver miners may continue to consolidate here.  While you are eating that sandwich and waiting for them to break out once again, take a gander at ANDE, the old Jacksonian agricultural stalwart.   I expect MON to recover here with the rest of the ags as well.

May the great red beard and moustaches of Frank Herbert bless you all, and good night!

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Guess Who?
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It’s very important  thaty you make your own inquiries in this world, and not rely on the expert testimony of even the chief-most of Lemmings.   There are many ways to skin a rodent, and each trapper has his own preferred signal.   One should not just adopt this ferret’s “inventory to sales” ratio, or that stoat’s “days short outstanding.” 

For example, I’ve offered you two macro-drivers that keep me optimistic in the near term:  Overall poor sentiment and the continuing degradation of the dollar.

I’ve mentioned here before that Jason Goepfort of Sentimen Trader had been warning for weeks prior to our current relief that bearish sentiment had dropped to levels equal or worse to those we saw prior to the early March ’09 market rebound.  

 That kind of bad sentiment doesn’t just provide a wall of worry for a corresponding bullish cycle — it offers a veritable Great Wall of China of Worry.   Look around the site at the posters pulling out great hanks of hair in disbelief that their prophesied market crash has yet to appear.  Remember this: the frequency of their ululations shall be your comfort.

I just hope they are not holding their breath.   Well, there’s always open auditions for the Blue Man Group, I guess….

My second contrarian-return to the mean reason for my bullishness is the fact that this current bull is powered by steam from a steam-punk unit. 

Well, er, okay… it’s either that or the fact the dollar has been plummeting since early June...

That’s quite a move in two months, no?   In fact, I for one continue to expect a rebound, and $80 looks like the right place.   That won’t mean I will discontinue laying the hot blade of lemming death to mine enemies, or lose my bullish bias any time soon.  There are reversals and then their are “corrections.”   The latter is all we’ll get here.

In fact, you all may want to take advantage of that bounce at $80, should it come, and grab some quick fire longs or PM’s you’ve been lusting after.  The way the dollar’s been trading since the Euro scare, it’s not shown a whole lot of relative strength, and even in a rebound, we may not have to wait for long.   

The charade is about up, I think, and pretty soon there will be a full fledged waterfall action on the greenback.   This is my reserved and considered opinion, of course, but one formed in the crucible of study and scenario generation.  I would advise you take similar steps to determine your own way, lest you find your next step deeper than you expected.

You know I like EGO, GFI, IAG and SLW here.   RBY is starting to move again as well, and watch for a break of $6.45 on MVG before partaking.   That may make the difference.  Oh yes, ANV is not done by a long shot, but it should pause for a breather here at $18.50 or so.  

Non-precious, I like farmer ANDE here, again.

Play on, then.

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Update! — Some interesting news from our 1.5 billion-count creditors.

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The gold and silver and even platinum plays have been taking off with very strong relative strength these past weeks, even in the teeth of the Goldman Doom on Friday.   Now that it looks like Greece is going to get bailed out to the tune of $150 bn drachmas, or cowchips, or whatever they’re using for currency in Europe these days, I would bet dollars to doughnuts we’ll have a sell the news dollar reversal here soon, which will mean even more money flowing into the precious metal bull in the short term.

But we’ll save that for another day… you’ve plenty of names to consider from last week, and we’ve got other hard asset plays to speak of… particularly those in the Corn Belt, or who create notches therein…

Specifically I’m speaking about our old friend Mr. Anderson: The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] , who has skyrocketed recently to new 52 week highs, only to be brought back down to the top of the breakout area on Friday:

You can see there are three bars of support in the above chart, one of which we rest on as of Friday’s close.   I feel more comfortable with a pullback to the next (middle) level at $35, and that’s where I’ll be adding to this Jacksonian beauty.  

I think we should be keeping our eye on the other ags as well, and while I’m not going to post the ugly chart of Monsanto Company [[MON]] I will tell you that I added another 1k shares to my already large horde at $63-ish on Friday.   As I’ve mentioned before… like Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] ,  Monsanto is a “set it and forget it” type of long term hold, and if I can find it in the low 60’s like this, I’m going to be a buyers for sure.

In other news, I did attend the somewhat rainy Derby (but was under cover, thank the horsey gods) and had a much better day than the Oaks, nailing an exacta box bet on the Derby itself, and coming away with quite a bit of cash, considering how pikerish my bets remain.   Derby is defiinitely something you’ll want to consider if you are a “bucket list” kind of guy/gal.    For what it’s worth, I’ve never NOT had a great time, no matter the weather.

My very best to you all.

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Avast Ye Steam-punk Scalawags!
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Looks like the bewigged and wedge-shoed scarlet coats of the Federal Admiralty have thrown down their first frilly gauntlet and taken a shot across our portside bow last evening with a cannon-load of “hot grape” called “quarter point discount rate increase,” in the less civilized quarters of New Orleans and other pirate dens.

Powdered pooftahs that they are, they are already begging our mercy come the morn as we swing our starboard cannon about to rake their pommy sides amid-ships.    Too late for them, and theirs, I’m afraid, as there’s gold in those Admiralty cargo holds and we mean to have it.

Let’s not get all a-sweat and a-lathered, me scurvy dogs.   The thesis has not changed and certainly the Fed is not going to take the “brave man’s step” of setting the Caribbean afire with rum-soaked English scrip whilst our Parliament (of Whores) continues to spend like grog-stupefied wainwrights on barrel-selling day.    No, maties, they seek to confound us with this Mary-move of callow authority.   No man can call his actions bold while pleading apology in the next breath!  

If anything, said grape-shot toss was mere subtrafuge to cover for additional scrip production in yonder Admiralty’s subterranean printing gaols!  What will occupy the Admiralty’s cargo holds for years — baser and baser scrip — will be what ensures our golden Treasures worth! 

So be not a-feared but rather emboldened by the tightness of Rear Admiral Bernanke’s wedgies, and the sagging of his pompadour.  Now is the time to press the hot cutlass to their throats and let roar with musket, grape and cannon.   The battle is near-won, me swabbies.   Let us not then quail at the size of the Admiralty’s frigates, but rather laugh at their frailty — they are made of paper, lads!

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This day I shall be indulging in all me favourites, but  most especially those in the silver Escudo doubloons, for the price of bonnie silver is racing back up even faster than that of gold.    To that end I shall be indulging in me favourite miners, Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , [[EXK]] , [[SVM]] , [[PAAS]] and maybe even the worm-bitten dogs [[CDE]] and Hecla Mining Company [[HL]] .   [[AGQ]] is only for the traders, but it may boom off of any pullback here.

Don’t forget me favourite golds either, which number three — Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] and Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] .   Some dogs that may be opportunities thanks to yesterday’s scare off  could be New Gold Inc. (USA) [[NGD]] , Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] , NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] and Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] , along with Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] and even [[BAA]] .  Of course [[GDX]] is a great purchase if you want a catch all.

I also think the Ag side will continue to stay hot, so any weakness in Monsanto Company [[MON]] , The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] , The Mosaic Company [[MOS]] , and Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) [[POT]] should be seen as an opportunity.  I will likely have more to say on this front.   

Many of you may have seen I chose Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] as my March Madness pick (SLW is too volatile).   I like it and Veeco Instruments Inc. [[VECO]] as my two hottest tech names for the intermediate to long term (the only way I play).  

Best to you all, my hearties, and if anything today — WATCH SILVER — something seems to be “up.”

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